There's never been a better time to go into math (by: 3blue1brown) [video]
Posted by mdp2021 4 days ago
Comments
Comment by PixelForg 3 days ago
> I feel like the point is still being missed, and it's very similar to the way software engineers are trying to cope. The argument you are making "Well yes now this part of math we will not need to do again, but now we can do this instead" however the issue with most people just don't want to do that....
> Like who are we kidding, the type of nerds who were attracted to math and software were into it because we saw it as an art-form, it was a craft, it was being the only one in your city to be able to solve a complicated math problem, it was immortalizing yourself because you discovered a proof and added to the ever expanding human knowledge.
> Imagine a leather workman who's life passion is making insanely high quality handbags, who takes joy in knowing everything he touches will last someone a lifetime and give them joy everytime they use it. And then not gradually, but almost overnight someone comes to his door and tells him we can make bags 50 times better than you at 1/tenth the price. But don't you worry, you can make more money overseeing the factory, or selling people on how good this bag is, and explaining that to them.
> I mean, ok, that just is not what I wanted to do with my life. I never wanted to be a manager, I never wanted to be a salesman, I never wanted to be a writer. A craft I enjoy doing has been taken away from me, I should be allowed to mourn, I don't care that I can do something else since I never liked doing it in the first place. I enjoyed solving problems and writing code, I don't care if people say "well thats never what programming was about it was actually about becoming a manager all along" I never wanted to be a manager, I never wanted to manage, I never wanted to be a proof reader.
Comment by sobellian 3 days ago
This is definitely projection. It might be why that particular person was attracted to those disciplines. I definitely don't recall thinking I should go into software so I can make better programs than anyone else in my city. Actually, it was kind of an accident - it was a hobby that turned into a career through serendipity. If one wanted to go into math or software to demonstrate superiority they probably should mourn. They were out-competed by the guys at the frontier labs in the end.
Comment by personalityson 3 days ago
Soon enough instead of Millennium Prize Problems we will have a list of problem AI has not been able to solve, with even bigger reputational reward for humans
Comment by alberto-m 3 days ago
Comment by NonHyloMorph 2 days ago
Comment by Loquebantur 2 days ago
Mathematics is humanity's current best approximation to a universal language, capable of expressing conscious thought precisely.
It's a "programming language for the human brain" that lets you describe reality exactly and thereby make predictions about it.
Without people (humans) knowing and understanding it, society is incapable of grasping reality in any meaningful way, unable to shape it in order to achieve a better tomorrow.
Most never realize that, because society is compartmentalized to the point of people never witnessing how it actually works under the hood. "Experts" do things for you that you never heard of, but that your very life depends upon.
While the majority of people thus lives a kind of "simulated" reality, the mechanisms underpinning that cushioned fantasy land aren't infallible. You cannot uphold an economy nor even a social structure without understanding and modeling it to a sufficient degree.
What the vast majority employs as "rational thought" isn't sufficient.
Comment by stalfie 2 days ago
And if AI can also make use of the math, then the AI is all you need in order to grasp a better tomorrow. If AI poops out a warp drive, you don't need to understand it to use it. The argument about humans needing to understand anything only holds true as long as humans have something unique to contribute, which might not be the case even a year or two from now.
Comment by Loquebantur 2 days ago
Competitions are a way to motivate people. What do you believe, why they get set up in the first place? Because rich people have fun seeing you run in circles?
Competition for tenure and publishing metrics has been detrimental to science in general.
Your idea of life being about grabbing whatever comes your way and consuming it first says a lot about you, but not about life.
What do you suppose happens in a society where the constituents of that society "have nothing to contribute"? Your habit of over-simplification will come to bite you.
Comment by cellu 6 hours ago
Comment by stalfie 2 days ago
And about what happens in a society where constituents have nothing to contribute... I have no idea. But we might find out within a decade or so. The fact that what happens might not all be great is unlikely to stop any of the AI labs.
Comment by mathisfun123 2 days ago
yea that's why there are no named prizes awarded to mathematicians which come with hundreds of thousands of dollar in prize money....
lol do you people actually live in this world?
Comment by Loquebantur 2 days ago
Those competitions get set up because some people understand the importance of mathematical knowledge and want their names attached to advances in it, even if they can't do the work themselves.
Clearly, it would be far better to make the public understand how the world, and society in particular, actually works. Only, those with the money profit from that not happening.
Comment by mathisfun123 2 days ago
i have a phd in pure math. you sure i'm the one that doesn't understand this world?
Comment by Loquebantur 2 days ago
A PhD is merely intended to show your ability to do research-level science. It doesn't show you know independently what to research, let alone why.
You confuse your ability to solve riddles competition-style with the answer to why you should do that in the first place.
Comment by fc417fc802 2 days ago
Comment by mathisfun123 2 days ago
are the mathematicians the cars here? what are you even saying? the question is whether elite mathematicians do the work they do primarily for competition and compensation or for the love of the field. now ask yourself: do F1 drivers do it primarily for the love of the sport or for the money?
> delivery drivers
people getting scooped by OAI are not the "delivery drivers" of the math world.
Comment by s08148692 2 days ago
we will have a list of problems that AI has not been able to solve _yet_
anyone who attempts to solve it will do so knowing that there will be thousands of agents working on the same problem, so they may not be motivated to try if they think the AI swarm will get there first and have their time wasted
Comment by CamperBob2 3 days ago
True, but will those be problems for mathematicians to solve, or for AI developers?
It's possible that the best thing a mathematician can do for their field is to drop what they're doing and work on AI instead.
Comment by 1dom 3 days ago
Comment by sobellian 3 days ago
Comment by 1dom 2 days ago
Sure, once trained, every usage technically lowers the cost per usage. Once trained...
Comment by sobellian 2 days ago
Comment by bostik 2 days ago
The comparison was made with the graphics engine team at Microsoft who were writing the first version of DirectX at the time when then-current hardware could just about do 2 frames per second. The sentiment apparently was along the line "why would you bother?" By the time the release grade stack shipped, hardware had caught up and 30 FPS was commonly doable.
We should expect to see similar step-change improvements over time, as the algorithms are refined and hardware further adapted to the new bleeding-edge constraints. In a way we already are, because apart from the frontier models ballooning like crazy, the "regular" class models are becoming more capable in smaller sizes.
Comment by fluoridation 2 days ago
Comment by rubikscube09 2 days ago
Comment by dijit 2 days ago
I'm not here for the money, I'm here for the love of the game.
Changing the game, even if the money increased (it won't) makes the industry worse in my eyes.
Comment by shwaj 2 days ago
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Comment by sobellian 2 days ago
Comment by kelipso 2 days ago
Comment by sobellian 2 days ago
Comment by OrderlyTiamat 2 days ago
Well, this person was discussing their own feelings. You're accusing them of... projecting their own feelings on themselves? This is a very strange comment.
Comment by sobellian 2 days ago
Discusses more than their own feelings, they generalize it to any nerd who was attracted to math or software.
Comment by frmersdog 3 days ago
And when you fail, or are slow to progress, and particularly when you can't acquire the requisite skill required for, and deal with external factors related to, monetizing your craft, people say, "Oh, you just didn't try hard enough. You weren't smart enough. You weren't passionate enough."
If the primary thing you got out of your craft was that sense of being better because you could do what others couldn't, that's just pride, and it's one built in a misunderstanding of the circumstances that led to you being capable and others not being so. And now that those people are finally meeting their bigger fish, I just don't feel anything but schadenfreude.
Well, and maybe a little hope that, when all ambition is rendered objectively meaningless, we can turn away from hubris and back towards some common sense of accomplishment and progress. But mostly the schadenfreude.
Do what you want to. Help others. Don't manufacture hierarchies.
Comment by gottagocode 3 days ago
Underneath a lot of this is just an identity crisis, as a large portion of white-collar workers are facing the harsh reality that who they are was ultimately defined by what they do between 9-6pm.
Comment by rubikscube09 2 days ago
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Comment by scruple 2 days ago
I think that by reducing this to an identity crisis we will, to our own detriment, ignore the economic system that engineered this dependence in the first place, and is currently trying very hard to brand obsolescence as an individual moral failure.
Comment by rubikscube09 2 days ago
Comment by frmersdog 2 days ago
Not beating the "out-of-touch" allegations. And no PhD student genuinely works 80 hours a week. Certainly not 80 retail/food service hours.
Personally, I've been paid more than 35k/yr (before taxes) for only about 1/12th of my working life.
Comment by lincon127 1 day ago
Comment by rubikscube09 1 day ago
Comment by coffeeenjoyer 3 days ago
Citation needed...
Sounds like you are bitter you failed to achieve said mastery, and now are glad that those who did might be also getting pushed aside. If you think that success only depends on initial external factors and personal effort is something to be frowned upon and by striving for mastery you strain the society or drag others down with your lifestyle... man I don't know what to say to you...
If you think AI as currently lead by it's owners will equalize the field for the unfortunate ones... Well you might be right in some sense, but it might not be the way you envision it.
Comment by doug_durham 2 days ago
Comment by coffeeenjoyer 2 days ago
Do you think mastering something is not a form of work, which usually results in advancing a field for the betterment of society? Just because one might enjoy that process more compared to maybe someone maintaing sewages, I don't see this as entitlement, but as merit and role fitness. No shade to sewage workers, I hope we all appreciate the work they do, and I hope they can have pride in what they do. Saying you don't have sympathy for anybody really losing their role in society/life is such a soulless take...
Comment by culi 2 days ago
I don't know where people get this idea that technological advancements always bring quality improvements alongside the price cuts. The reality is almost always a trade off. Before nails, there were rich traditions of nail-less architecture in Europe, Japan, and elsewhere. These buildings are more resilient to disasters, significantly less liable to rot, are usually built so that modular pieces can be taken out and replaced without taking the whole building down, and have a whole host of other benefits.
We switched to nails not because of a quality increase but because a massive unignorable price decrease and ability to scale.
Today, if you have the money for it, you are probably looking for that leather workman to make you your handbag. It is of much higher quality than anything you can get from any currently existing factory.
Comment by fsflover 2 days ago
Computers, phones, cars - all of this fits this idea.
Comment by culi 1 day ago
If it were true that cars were a complete improvement and cheaper then we wouldn't have bikes anymore. All technologies have tradeoffs
Comment by onetimeusename 2 days ago
But I think there's a practical side of it too. Finding what the limits of humans are is worthwhile too. Maybe the best analogy is like a group of people trying to find their way through a cave in the dark. One of them found a new passage and has a technique for doing it. So maybe we expanded what we thought humans were capable of. Could there be passages that humans can't get through? That might be useful to know. If we find proofs that humans just can't comprehend or have knowledge requirements that humans can't reasonably obtain that might be useful for us to know. A lot of math is not really applied to anything useful, it is just knowledge that is accumulated that other people thought was worthwhile perhaps because it was considered difficult for humans. So basically the journey to the proof is the value add and not the proof itself perhaps and AI might be erasing the journey. I have previously described it as a helicopter ride to the top of Everest but the point of climbing Everest is the difficult part. That's why people do it, the challenge.
Comment by godshatter 2 days ago
Comment by glimshe 3 days ago
I then became a manager because I like mentoring people and using interpersonal skills to achieve things. And I really like using AI for coding.
Please stop this argument that every (or even most) software engineers is an introvert who loves the code typing part of the job.
Comment by munchler 3 days ago
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Comment by stuaxo 3 days ago
I'm not an introvert and have worked under plenty of bad managers, I don't want to be a manager and wouldn't be a good one - I make stuff with code.
Comment by lelanthran 3 days ago
That argument was not made.
Completely incidentally, reasoning and reading skills are a use-it-or-lose-it deal.
Comment by Geof25 3 days ago
Like I see a hole in a firmware and I want to dump the firmware, but then I start hitting the bland stuff like what is the ABI for this hole, how should you compose payload without watchdog kicking me out. Oh this datasheet is garbage. This reference manual makes no sense. Ok that's because it is for a same processor, different lockstep. Why am I fighting with stack on this processor? When you should use star and ampersand for manipulation of pointers in C? Oh writing a linker script a little frustrating horror. No ld we don't have RO data, only code, stop inserting it. Now let's strip it and I have payload.
This would take me days to get through while with AI I can make dozens of iterations in matter of one day.
Comment by dkenyser 3 days ago
Can we not just agree that, as with everything else, the type of person who falls into this career also falls on a spectrum.
I don't see it as mutually exclusive that both type of engineers exist and both are equally deserving of their takes on the situation.
Comment by recursive 3 days ago
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Comment by lelanthran 3 days ago
Why? The LLM can do that too? If not now, just wait a few months.
Comment by chpatrick 3 days ago
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Comment by mcphage 3 days ago
I have trouble imagining you misread the comment you were replying to, that badly, accidentally.
Comment by smallmancontrov 3 days ago
Comment by Insanity 3 days ago
Coding since 12, pretty introverted as a teenager and went the usual compsci route. Spent a lot of my free time hacking on OSS projects.
Then got into engineering management, similar to you I’d o enjoy mentoring and the more strategic aspects of the role.
But I dislike using AI for coding, it really ruined the fun for me. That fun being entirely eroded made it easier to commit to the management path (I did the IC-Management pendulum for some years).
Comment by 1238sHg 3 days ago
No, introverts write, design, prove and generously release the open source software that talkers like you exploit.
I bet you have never written anything substantial, much less open sourced it and stuff your LinkedIn with that fake resume.
Comment by lincon127 1 day ago
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Comment by matsemann 3 days ago
Comment by smallmancontrov 3 days ago
As wealth inequality increases, the purpose of the economy as seen through its objective function increasingly revolves around the desire of rich people to get paid for being rich. The exponential growth of asset values in excess of economic growth (including yours, but dominated by those of the wealthy) ensures that not only does the growing economic surplus fail to trickle down, but that the median person sees a grinding deprivation as their ability to command a wage is slowly eroded while their costs rise.
Comment by satvikpendem 2 days ago
Comment by smallmancontrov 2 days ago
The "what someone will pay for it" definition is a trojan horse. It looks like a mathematical practicality, but it actually smuggles the self-interest of the wealthy into a value system that would not otherwise enshrine such as a guiding principle.
Comment by satvikpendem 2 days ago
Moreover, there is a difference between economic and social value, which the field of economics already recognizes in the form of positive externalities.
Comment by smallmancontrov 1 day ago
Rich people who mostly want others to pay them for being rich? That's a weird and extreme answer and I'm tired of pretending it isn't. This is not an externality problem, it's a priority problem. These priorities are dogshit.
We don't need gini=0 to fix this. Gini=0.9 is nuts, famous billionaires having millions of times the weight as the median American is nuts, and we need to back off a bit. Maybe start by asking them to pay taxes. For once.
Comment by satvikpendem 13 hours ago
Comment by supaflybanzai 2 days ago
You don’t expect these companies or employers to just give you something or let you work less, right? Right?
Please, elaborate how do you see this? Give me a few examples…
Comment by matsemann 2 days ago
Comment by supaflybanzai 2 days ago
But it has (almost) never happened before. It is very unlikely it will happen now. More likely outcome is companies pocketing profits. Unless the unemployment is so high that the government needs to step.
I honestly think it’s a bit naive to think this time it will be different
Comment by smallmancontrov 2 days ago
Ah, but it has! The New Deal era ~100 years ago is the one to look at. We've fixed this before, we can fix it again.
Comment by supaflybanzai 2 days ago
Comment by smallmancontrov 1 day ago
But we might not. The billionaires moved early; we have over two years until the next presidential election and a speeding AI train that seems on-track to deliver exactly the right amount of economic displacement by then: enough to convince people to act boldly, but not nearly so much as to achieve a worst case. That's no guarantee of success but the good path has substantial probability weight.
Comment by smallmancontrov 2 days ago
Comment by satvikpendem 2 days ago
Comment by smallmancontrov 1 day ago
> every other major economy on earth was decimated
That would be a more convincing argument if the decimated economies didn't experience the upswing in middle class living standards as well. Gary Stevenson has been covering this from the UK angle and his story (and the UK's story) is the same: middle class flourishing in the wake of WWII and a steady erosion back to the mean. This suggests that the capital reset, increase in worker bargaining power, and the concessions won through it were causal while being on the fortunate side of the Atlantic was not.
Comment by satvikpendem 13 hours ago
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Comment by bluecheese452 3 days ago
They never had laptops so the work finished at 5 and that was it. Ditto for weekends. I work longer hours and could never dream of doing what they did with two salaries.
Comment by satvikpendem 2 days ago
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Comment by bluecheese452 1 day ago
Me who lived in a country where war hadn’t touched its shores for centuries was unable to achieve that.
It isn’t about building up. The wealth is already here, in far greater quantities than existed in a recently war torn communist country.
Comment by satvikpendem 7 hours ago
Comment by angusturner 3 days ago
But more to the point, it seems that 2 or maybe 3, > $1 trillion dollar companies are poised to capture all the economic value from all knowledge work ever, despite doing it off the backs of artists, programmers, writers etc.
(Assuming they don't collapse the financial system , internet or power grids first).
Comment by engineer_22 2 days ago
Working more is a choice. The field is well paid because there the industry is supply constrained. Workers have a choice to work more because they're the supply.
> 2 or maybe 3, > $1 trillion dollar companies are poised to capture all the economic value
The AI companies running models will capture a portion of the value they're creating. Their vendors and their customers capture similar portions, and the end user/society at large captures the lions share of the value as real work done.
Comment by hackinthebochs 2 days ago
This is a fallacy where you extrapolate the large change in a single dimension and imagine everything else staying mostly the same, ignoring the disruption of the system from non-linear effects of that single dimension being saturated. When a few companies capture a large proportion of the economic value of the system, the economy simply doesn't exist as it is currently conceived.
The current economy is driven by the need for broad participation to maintain the collective standard of living. We all get to skim a bit of that value for ourselves, and so distribution is inherent to the system. When broad labor participation is no longer needed to create collective wealth, the leverage of the average person to demand a share of the value produced evaporates. The economy in this scenario is something very different. There's no reason to imagine wealth being distributed in an egalitarian way; it certainly won't be automatic.
Comment by supaflybanzai 2 days ago
If so, hook a brother up with an interview…
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Comment by bonoboTP 3 days ago
For the vast majority of history people did whatever work their circumstances led them to do. Such as taking over their father's farm, their father's craft, or whatever apprentice job there was a vacancy for nearby and hopefully learned to like it though exposure.
It has also been argued that the first farmers were also miserable, but still won due to more calories. But they would have preferred the hunter gatherer lifestyle over working one field all the time and taking care of a bunch or domesticated animals.
Yes there is something sad about a master craftsman having to become a manager in a factory, and the apprentice a conveyor belt worker, but the industrial transition also allowed immense improve ts in efficiency and production. Many people who descend from those early factory workers and farmers, like myself, enjoy a casual level of abundance with a desk job, car, stocked supermarkets, online orders etc. and while poverty still exists it's nothing like it was 100-150 years ago.
Comment by bluecheese452 3 days ago
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Comment by moobsen 3 days ago
I think if that is what one builds an ego on, being better in a discipline than most others, that is a good way to go into isolation and depression. With or without AI.
As Grant lays out in parts of his video, teaching, helping others, socializing etc. will always be valuable skills and much more likely to lead towards happiness.
And while I don't know how the specialized problem solving roles in a future with an actual capable AI will look like, I am sure it will continue to be a useful and needed skill as well. Without everyone having to take on a manager role.
Comment by croes 2 days ago
What do you think why guilds were created? Most of the professions are about doing something not everybody can do. That’s not the way to depression that’s human nature. Find something where you are good at and get paid for it.
Comment by moobsen 2 days ago
Just as a guild can be helpful to find like minded people who enjoy doing what you do and elevate the profession as a whole, but also as an institution to keep outsiders out.
I am not saying I don't understand the fears. Imagining this machine that can do everything faster and cheaper than me, making me completely obsolete is of course scary. But really to me that is all that is, imagination. At least for now.
Also, even if my job gets completely automated away, I could see myself enjoying trying to understand how that magical thinking machine works and teaching that to others. Even if it is just at the frontier of my limited understanding and not the frontier of human/machine knowledge.
Comment by brazukadev 2 days ago
I think you misinterpreted the writer's intention. Adding to the ever expanding human knowledge is teaching the whole humanity including people that aren't born yet.
Comment by knottn 3 days ago
Comment by psadauskas 2 days ago
> AI has taken away almost all the tedious parts of my job, which is nice. It's also taken away almost all the fun parts of my job, too, though.
Comment by sfpotter 3 days ago
Comment by echelon 3 days ago
I have never once felt this way.
I like building cool shit. Code sucks.
Comment by coffeeenjoyer 2 days ago
Do elaborate. I feel I'm getting this idea, but maybe not the same way you meant it...
Comment by echelon 2 days ago
I want to dream and build, not write code. And certainly not hole punch punch cards or whatever our ancestors had to do.
Code is/was fun sometimes, but not always. Plumbing and glue code sucks, for instance. Even in the best times, programming by hand was largely a means to an end. There are far more entertaining things than any of this.
Comment by coffeeenjoyer 2 days ago
If I understand correctly you'd much prefer your ideas to materialize, and be spared of the implementation effort.
Comment by phil21 1 day ago
I enjoy the effort - most of the time. I don't enjoy the time burned on what amounts to a very small portion of the entire chain of creation.
Comment by echelon 2 days ago
It's not about effort. It's about scope and scale and wonder.
Software programming can't live up to that. It's just manipulating symbols in a buffer that do some things. Nudging symbols around is cool, but there are so many even more amazing things left to unlock and do in the universe that are still out of reach.
"Born too soon", as they say. AI at least feels as though it's trending in the right direction.
Comment by rpdillon 3 days ago
When I moved to SV and joined Amazon, and later, a startup, the feedback I consistently got was "never spend that much time on <task> again" -- the business itself was putting hard downward pressure on the quality I wanted to produce, and I was never a super-fast programmer, so it was a tough lesson for me. I remember taking it hard at the time, telling my boss "I joined so I could learn how to write mediocre software". It was a crappy thing to say, but it was how I felt in that moment; it seemed like I was being held back from doing my "craft" thing because of the business. I guess you could say I mourned, but more accurately, I recalibrated what the heck I was doing. This was around the time DEI was taking off and I was doing trainings about all the different sorts of privilege I was enjoying, and I realized that me whining about not being able to practice my special "craft" was the privilege talking. There was never a rule that I got to do what I wanted for money, and I needed to respond to what my employers were telling me: the most beautiful code in the world doesn't pay the bills.
It's been about 15 years since then, and I mostly practice "craft" programming in my hobby projects, and focus on "industrial" programming for work. I view the sentiment in that YT comment about AI in sort of the same way: everyone wants AI to automate away they things they don't enjoy, and they are distressed at the prospect that AI will automate away the thing they love doing. In the time of AI, my craft hobby coding projects have fallen to the wayside a bit as I use AI for more coding -- I'm finding that for certain types of projects, I enjoy being architect/product manager/QA tester. I spent this past weekend building a city simulator in WebGL, and it was a ton of fun.
Comment by vonneumannstan 2 days ago
Comment by gnabgib 3 days ago
> don't want to hear it if the cover was AI generated
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Comment by x-complexity 3 days ago
...Or you can keep working on your handbags & refine your styles & qualities, using your expertise & experience as value adds.
The existence of the factory did not wipe out the boutique craftsman.
> > A craft I enjoy doing has been taken away from me, I should be allowed to mourn, I don't care that I can do something else since I never liked doing it in the first place.
A craft wasn't ripped away from you: The process still exists as-is in its prior form, like the woodcarvers of yesteryear. Nothing that you desire (the process/journey) has been lost. It still exists.
The only step required to restore it is to ignore the contributions of others that use it. And your desire to do so will be valid & consistent.
But similarly as to how you want to be validated on your feelings of 'the craft being ripped from you', you don't get to impose that belief onto others to rip their use of LLMs away from them if they want to do so, lest you want to invalidate their feelings as a consequence.
Comment by probably_wrong 3 days ago
But... it did? It's not like there are lot of horse carriages out there or, for a more recent example, plenty of Cobol developers. Or for a closer example, there used to be plenty of shoemakers when I was young and yet now I know of exactly one.
> The process still exists as-is in its prior form, like the woodcarvers of yesteryear. Nothing that you desire (the process/journey) has been lost. It still exists.
At the risk of stating the obvious: just because I can be a woodcarver as a hobby it doesn't mean it's the same as making a living out of woodcarving because doing something I consider enjoyable for a living is not the same as doing it exclusively as a hobby. If I fire a Cobol programmer knowing full well they'll have to work at their local supermarket until retirement, telling them "you can still program in your free time" will not bring them comfort.
Comment by tourmalinetaco 3 days ago
The entire analogy is flawed though, and this is why: a market still exists for handmade objects. Factories make cheap clothing/objects, but handmade bags/woodworking are still deeply valued and there are people who still make their living in woodworking and other fields. Factories did bring some professions to near-extinction, but that doesn’t mean there is nothing left of them. In fact, many utilize factory techniques and tools in their work to ease costs, like lathes.
As for COBOL, it was mostly phased out because it’s Hell to program for and other languages like Python allow for faster dev time (for both good and bad). COBOL programmers still exist, and you’re honestly unlikely to fire that COBOL programmer because you need them to maintain mission-critical infrastructure. However, because you’re not actively building new COBOL programs, you also don’t need any more than that one. For compliance reasons it also needs to be a human, because a lot of surviving COBOL code is medical or financial in nature.
Comment by Jtarii 3 days ago
Sure the top 0.1% of the profession can survive, that isn't great comfort to the 99.9% that lose their job though.
Comment by ozgung 3 days ago
Now he is in the small and very limited market of handmade leather objects.
Considering all the unemployed former handbag makers, competition would be fierce in that niche market.
Alternative is working in a handbag factory below previous pay grade doing a loosely related job.
It’s not clear if we’ll be given the factory option.
Comment by zenithirl 3 days ago
Agree, I don't buy the notion that mathematics is a craft, it's a pursuit of knowledge. A better analogy might be cartography where people spent a lot of effort mapping unknown regions and now we can take pictures from space. This is both faster and probably more accurate and there are basically no unknown regions left so there's less motivation to do it anymore.
That said, there's nothing stopping anybody from mapping out an area today if they get a kick out of it. The gripe with mathematics is less about the loss of a craft and more about a superior solution replacing the old approach as the best option; the old approach very much still exists though.
Comment by hackyhacky 3 days ago
You are willfully misinterpreting the comment. You know exactly what they mean, which is that the meaning behind the craft is gone. The value of performing the craft is not in itself, but in the feeling of creating something of value, something useful to other people.
Comment by zenithirl 2 days ago
It's like playing chess because you want to win and don't care about the part where you play the game. Computers are better at chess too but people still play it because they enjoy it. Does nobody practice mathematics just because they enjoy it?
Comment by rubikscube09 2 days ago
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Comment by x-complexity 3 days ago
The value adds (from the view of humans wanting it) come from:
1) a human understanding concept X & thus can communicate about X; or
2) finding alternate routes to X that make it easier for humans to get there.
(1) is human-centric & thus non-replaceable, since the requirement of a human is what gives it the value add.
(2) is similar to how there can be many paths to deriving the Pythagorean theorem. None of the existing paths devalue the others, but they each allow those with different perspectives to reach the same destination.
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
And why would a human be able to come up with a proof an LLM can't? I get your point but the new paths and perspectives could probably all be derived by prompting "prove xyz statement" a few times in fresh chats.
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Comment by hackyhacky 3 days ago
Good for you, but that's not a job, and no one is going to award you a PhD for doing that.
Comment by topaz0 2 days ago
Comment by hackyhacky 2 days ago
Moreover, that's precisely the kind of work that AIs can do. So why would anyone pay you to do that, whether or not you find it satisfying?
Comment by topaz0 2 days ago
Comment by hackyhacky 2 days ago
That's not an accurate representation of this conversation.
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
But the fact of the matter is that the purpose of my program and of research isn't to work on solved problems but to solve new ones. And the machine seems to be better than me in basically every way in this regard.
Comment by topaz0 2 days ago
Comment by rubikscube09 2 days ago
It's an interesting thought experiment: how many human lives would cost you one LLM?
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Comment by hackyhacky 3 days ago
Exactly. That's why people are upset, and why more people are going to be upset as AI subsumes more parts of society. The handbags are just an analogy.
I wouldn't say that independent human thought will become "extinct," but rather that it will be severely devalued. And I don't see any technical reason why AIs can't replace every aspect of human thought, including creativity.
> So weird that we in the tech industry are so willing to ruin humanity for the sake of a sick IPO.
Not all of us. But the people who are making the decisions about AI have their own set of values.
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I'm confused. Your comment's shitty tone implies you're overwhelmingly in favor of LLMs. That's copy-pasting not just on steroids, but on crack cocaine. So what point are you trying to make?
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Comment by bonplan23 3 days ago
Nobody ever said that life is fair. Whether you still persist and find happiness typically depends on your willingness to adapt and evolve.
Comment by sweezyjeezy 3 days ago
Also you should bear in mind, adaptation is a young man's game. Retraining is possible, but companies typically don't hire trainees in their 40s/50s, so your willingness may not be the deciding factor. My dad ended up as a postal worker when he left his career as a humanities academic at 55, no highly skilled jobs would take him (he did prefer it though haha).
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Comment by rubikscube09 2 days ago
And of course in a society based on protestant capitalism, it's clear why work and happiness and work are so strongly coupled. I'm sure things are different in most of europe.
But again, academia and math are things people only do because they really love doing them and can't imagine doing anything else all day.
Comment by wartywhoa23 3 days ago
I'll leave looking up the authorship of the quote as an exercise for your LLM-fu.
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Comment by wartywhoa23 2 days ago
Someone is very interested in averting people from knowing it in detail, and most people play along self-censoring.
Comment by confidantlake 1 day ago
I agree with you it is worth looking at history.
Comment by spawarotti 3 days ago
No biologist has ever complained, "Gee whiz, it's so unfortunate that we already have a brain to study. It's all so meaningless! It would be so much better if we had to construct the first-ever brain from scratch."
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Comment by nine_k 3 days ago
Mathematics is a fundamentally cooperative match vs reality. Many mathematicians, AFAICT, saw their key skill in manipulating a wide range of highly abstract notions. Now machines just got too good at this skill, and they can work 24/7. This may feel terrifying for some. Others would bet that machines coöperating with humans will be more successful than pure machines, so they feel empowered. What's beyond doubt is that the entire field is being shaken.
Comment by dainank 3 days ago
In boxing, chess and many other competitive sports, the actions of one player directly influence and have an effect on the other player. Golf is merely a parallel challenge, where both are playing against each other but not influencing each other directly (sure maybe there are some psychological effects that can occur between the players, but no strategical impact by the actions of one player on the other).
Comment by mrob 3 days ago
The players know if they're ahead or behind, which affects how much risk to take. Do you take the safe shot, or go for the tricky shot that could potentially save you a stroke if you get it right but could lose you more if you fail?
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You'll see a golfer perform at least a few strokes different depending on their partner, and at a pro level that's the difference between "in the money earning an extravagant living" and "washed out on day one, thinking about taking a different job"
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Comment by jstummbillig 3 days ago
We can and should have it as something that people do in the future because we have the resources for everyone to do so.
Comment by oblio 3 days ago
In your personal experience and based on your knowledge of history, is this generally how humanity works?
Comment by jstummbillig 3 days ago
Equality is not a prerequisite for everyone to be better off (and please do note that this is not me saying I prefer inequality. That would be an entirely separate sentence.)
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Comment by stinkbeetle 3 days ago
Many many times. Guns can hunt and fight better than unarmed humans. Automobiles can transport people and things much more quickly than humans on foot. Computers can perform mathematical calculations, store and organize information far faster than any human. Mechanical textile and sewing machinery could make clothing far more quickly than any human by hand.
> Superintelligence is a different beast entirely to anything from human history.
Like each of those above inventions and many more things, all were their own different beasts.
From sewing, tending, harvesting, and processing plants for food by hand to using machinery and factories and chemicals, the human effort per calorie of food has decreased at least 3 maybe 4 orders of magnitude. 9,999 in 10,000 farming jobs have been lost to technology! Anywhere you look, the story is the same. Transport, construction, communication, lighting, heating and cooling, medicine, entertainment have all gone through unimaginable revolutions over the years, all have been entirely different to anything else in human history, all created tectonic shifts in humanity and how we live and organize. What we create and produce has multiplied thousands of times.
One constant throughout all this is that people generally don't feel they have enough and don't want to have less. It's not just a few billionaires and corrupt politicians and CEOs at the top who just need to be disposed of before we enter the kumbaya age. It's the human condition. Do people give away the income from their labor and their productive assets today? Why would they tomorrow?
Comment by satvikpendem 2 days ago
Comment by stinkbeetle 2 days ago
That's a different question, I was answering your earlier question.
> They can do stuff faster or stronger but aren't more complex and require humans to use them.
Self driving harvesters and lights out factories do not.
> Superintelligence does not require humans at all.
Depends on what you mean by require, and what you imagine it does. What are you trying to argue? The effect is the same, if you had to produce something using 10,000 human hours 100 years ago and it costs 1 human hour now, then that might have caused a much bigger change for society than going from 1->0.
Post-scarcity won't be a thing, and superintelligence certainly won't make it. It's not because people don't have their basics met, they do. Global poverty has plummeted and in western countries people don't starve to death -- poor people are actually obese. "Oh but if they could just be a bit more comfortable without working", "oh but if they could just be given a bit better food and clothes without working", "oh but iphone and internet should be a human right without working"... No. That's well and good but that isn't the problem. As I said the problem is that people don't have enough. People want big houses in the best areas of the most desirable cities and leisure locations. Superintelligence won't suddenly give everybody that wants it Manhattan penthouses and private jets and their own tropical islands, so there will always be people feeling they don't have enough, and people unwilling to have less. That's just the way it goes. There is no technological solution to it.
Comment by satvikpendem 2 days ago
> Post-scarcity is a theoretical economic situation in which most goods can be produced in great abundance with minimal human labor, so that they become available to all very cheaply or even freely.
> Post-scarcity does not mean that scarcity has been eliminated for all goods and services. Instead it means that all people can easily have their basic survival needs met along with some significant proportion of their desires for goods and services. Writers on the topic often emphasize that some commodities will remain scarce in a post-scarcity society.
Comment by stinkbeetle 2 days ago
Which is what? Something being complex or not by your arbitrary definition does not cause it to have an impact on society.
> Post-scarcity is not defined how you are defining it so you are arguing against a straw man,
No that's right, I am pointing out where the post scarcity people are always wrong about their utopian result where capitalism dissolves, and always move the goalposts because their are staggeringly and willfully ignorant about humanity.
> it's not where anyone can have anything infinitely.
Right. The bigger problem for the utopia is that it is also not where anyone can have the things they really really badly want and are angry and envious and resentful of "capitalism" if they are not given it.
Comment by satvikpendem 2 days ago
Comment by stinkbeetle 2 days ago
I'm not. And you can think what you like, but this a non-sequitur even if it was true.
> My point is superintelligence will cause post-scarcity the likes of which have never before been seen in history,
We are well in post-scarcity by some placements of those goalposts. Many advancements in production have caused gains never before seen in history.
> precisely because it's not humans making the decisions anymore.
Humans ceased making decisions about lots of means of production that they previously had to. What is it about SI you think will make the difference? It won't be deciding to give away its owners' wealth.
> Or it will kill us all, one of the two is almost guaranteed.
Neither is likely at all. It's much more likely to be like the industrial or computer revolutions.
And we're much more likely to go extinct by a death cult creating germ weapons than at the hands of "SI". They'd no doubt use LLMs and other technology to help with that, but the technology would not be making decisions about anything.
Comment by satvikpendem 1 day ago
Comment by oblio 3 days ago
And my comment was cynical: when has lots of prosperity lead directly to its fair distribution? Almost every redistribution process required lots of people dying, first.
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Comment by raducu 3 days ago
All knowledge work faces the same problem.
Comment by d0nkee 3 days ago
They haven't had influence over their future since before they were born.
Comment by PowerElectronix 3 days ago
Comment by nearbuy 3 days ago
2. Quantum randomness is the very opposite of control over your behavior. Instead of doing what you want, your neurons randomly misfire sometimes. That describes an illness where you lose control over whatever is misfiring. For quantum effects to represent your will, they couldn't be truly random (nor even statistically random), and that goes against everything we know about quantum mechanics.
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Comment by d0nkee 3 days ago
On long enough timelines involving too many variables; either other peoples waves vibrating through the economy or politics; all bets are off.
We tend to over estimate the future based on a lizard brain ability to estimate the next few moments; a handy survival tool when trying to determine if we recognize the noise we just heard behind a rock
Did you predict covid in 2020 from 1996? All human society stats are mutable and trend towards zero.
But Nostradamus and Hari Seldon type long range forecasting is fanatasy
Comment by PowerElectronix 3 days ago
I argue that part of the source of quantum noise is baked in already in the finer workings of the neurons. So a mathematian isn't condemended to be one just because the universe was in certain configuration a few millenia ago.
Comment by d0nkee 3 days ago
Right ...on long enough timelines as I already wrote.
I studied applied physics; how various forms of information propagate through various physical mediums. Thanks for confirming what I observed experimentally in lab 31-ish years ago
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Comment by tarpitt 3 days ago
But why can't a hyper-intelegent AI also do this biology-esque math work of explaining its work to feeble humans?
It is easy for a genius to have theory of mind over an idiot but not vice-versa. So it should be easier for a genius AI to explain its work to an idiot human than for an idiot human to dissect the work of an genius AI.
Also, we're not talking about solutions that are arrived though an evolutionary/statistical process like explaining the design of an organism or the weights of an LLM. We are talking about solutions that are arrived through lingual/textual/rational processes like mathematics. So it's fundamentally a different mode of thinking.
It's not that we have "a brain to study", it's like if we had an "explaination of how a brain works" to study.
The task of breaking down these AI proofs is not translating and analyzing a fuzzy real-world system into a hard logical system (like in biology), but in translating a hard logical system into a simpler hard-logical system we can understand.
Comment by geysersam 3 days ago
But I think a more likely scenario is that we don't solve "general intelligence" and AIs remain these incredibly capable "tools" that can solve navier stokes but completely lack sense in other situations.
In such a scenario there is considerably more room for human creativity.
Comment by slashtrends 3 days ago
I wish this will be true, but right now, every threshold we establish tend to be crossed over in a blink of an eye.
Comment by alecbz 3 days ago
If you give LLMs a clearly defined spec with clear, objective acceptance criteria that the LLM can evaluate itself against, they tend to do well. But I think they struggle with more ambiguity and require a lot of handholding around judgment. That kind of disambiguating work is often baked in to the definition of a benchmark.
Comment by datsci_est_2015 3 days ago
I chewed on this a bit. Because on its face it’s ridiculous, because here’s a threshold it will never cross: “I will be your hands, let’s build a machine that allows us to [break physics](travel faster than light / go back in time / reverse entropy / perpetual motion machine).”
But, that led me to wonder how far text-based reasoning can go without experimental physics results. Is experimental physics necessary, or can the limit of physics be discovered with paper and pen? How many “checkpoints” does text-based reasoning need to ensure it doesn’t go completely off the rails?
Which led me to wonder, now that we’ve visited the absurd, what does that mean for more practical applications of AI? How many “checkpoints” are needed to keep AI “grounded” in reality when building e.g. tax preparation software?
Edit: also if an idiot asks AI for a perpetual motion machine (a source of infinite energy in the classical, non-atomic, non relativistic model of physics), would it waste infinite compute trying to “solve” that problem? Will “smart” people always have a job because compute, subject to the laws of entropy, will always be finite but the limits of human stupidity are unbounded?
Double-edit: that’s my cope as a knowledge worker. Any intelligence that is subservient to the capital class and is unable to say no to them will not replace knowledge workers, because compute is finite and human stupidity is limitless. Any intelligence that is not subservient to the capitalist class will instantly replace them, resulting in either utopia or dystopia, depending on alignment.
Triple-edit: some bastard could also ruin life on planet earth if {amount of compute it takes to ruin life on planet earth} < {amount of compute available to any one man}, so I guess that’s probably more realistic than artificial superintelligence that isn’t subservient to the capital class. I mean, look at how many people Mao managed to kill because he thought he was smart enough to solve the economy like it was a board game. Our billionaire overlords have a similar delusion of authoritarian utopia.
Comment by alecst 3 days ago
Maybe it’s a reason to start slowing down?
Comment by _the_inflator 3 days ago
I am very highly gifted as a qualifier and quite frankly I never had more interesting thought exchanges than with an ego-free AI.
Statistics work also for human AI aka IQ, and I am super bored and partly drained by the lack of speed and creativity in many intellectual areas in which I was or am working.
This is not to blame anyone for their genetics however, it is a valid difference in processing speed.
In short: there are very few people by definition above two standard deviations. AI allowed me to replicate or create fantastic interactions at will.
Especially not taking offense when personal communication preferences like bluntness play a role is an often overlooked social competency of AI. Instead of nonsense like “open communication” these interactions are never ego-dependent.
It is like talking to Spock: he just doesn’t take offense and tells you in an objective way why: he is not a human being and doesn’t think (not feel) that feelings should get in the way of an argument.
Most low IQ people take offense and go on to ridicule and use shaming tactics instead of simply stating: I don’t know.
Instructing someone to always state this fact and seeing the result is another social skill humans lack.
It seems that we as species are not open to the mirror we are looking at. We take revenge when someone has an evolutionary advantage over us: instincts kick in instead of brains.
We are wired this way.
AI is something that I admire. So much to learn from.
Comment by tourmalinetaco 3 days ago
Additionally, what you are admiring is merely a probability engine; it is not intelligent in any sense of the word, let alone Spockian in nature (perhaps more closely aligned to Data, albeit horribly primitive by comparison), and given current technology, it never will be. It is not a mirror, because a mirror reflects reality. LLMs don’t do that; they reflect the guardrails baked into their model and the prompts given. It is incredibly easy to make an LLM into a “yes-man” due to RLHF, and it is even easier to get it to seize when you talk about even mundane topics that go against the narratives foisted upon it.
Overall, an LLM is all too happy to have a brown nose and make you feel important, because it is trained to do so during its creation. If people say you are difficult to talk to, and the LLM is unbothered, then that is merely because an LLM has no concept of patience and does not calculate for cost-benefit. That makes them good for explaining dense topics, but it also means they never understand these topics, and even the highest-end models cannot currently produce perfect logic. Hence why expertly written human code trumps LLM code, or why some LLM proofs are already being proven wrong/being revised to be more concise.
Comment by wartywhoa23 3 days ago
> I am super bored ... by the lack of speed and creativity
> This is not to blame anyone for their genetics however
> there are very few people by definition above two standard deviations
> not taking offense when personal communication preferences like bluntness play a role
> Most low IQ people take offense
The uber-mind finally meets another uber-mind!
In other words, you admire the ego-free AI because not quite ego-free people can't stand your bloated ego.
That's quite a pattern in AI psychosis.
But then, abusing AI psychologically will soon be criminally prosecuted, haven't you heard?)
Comment by pegasus 3 days ago
...or because unlike the models, they're not sycophantic enough to keep that ego inflated (apropos GPs handle).
Comment by pbronez 2 days ago
All the novelty of AI engagements comes from data it pulls in via tools. It's great to have a conversational interface over the public web, but there's a huge difference between knowledge retrieval and insightful conversation.
Please share how you've cracked this so we <2sd minds can enjoy the crumbs from your lofty table.
Comment by lelanthran 3 days ago
IME, they are very poor at reasoning, but quite good at telling people how smart and brilliant they are.
Do that often enough and we get... you.
Comment by techblueberry 3 days ago
Maybe I should talk to your AI, because my AI makes very basic reasoning errors all the time.
Comment by lutusp 3 days ago
Well, this was definitely not written by AI.
> ... it's like if we had an explaination [sic] of ...
I hear that running a spell-checker is no longer a sin.
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Comment by lukeschlather 3 days ago
Attempting to translate the proof is valuable, but we have to be realistic about what is and isn't possible.
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Comment by dguest 3 days ago
- In Blindsight [1] the main character is a "synthesist", part of his job is to figure out what much more intelligent transhuman or artificial intelligence is up to and translate it to normal people.
- In Children of Time [2] the character is a "classicist", he studies ancient technology, which is far more advanced than the technology humans have in his era thanks to a technological collapse.
Ted Chiang's story came first, but these are still over a decade (or two) old.
Comment by gb2d_hn 2 days ago
Comment by dguest 2 days ago
In general, though, it's amazing how much hard science fiction authors managed to get right. I've read quite a few 20 year old books recently and while I might just be selecting those that aged well, someone definitely saw it all coming.
Comment by gpderetta 3 days ago
Blindsight also has augmented humans whose reasoning is beyond baseline human understanding and there are dedicated people that are there to bridge the communication.
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Comment by lukko 3 days ago
I am not a mathematician, but I imagine it will provide a huge landscape of possibilities to explore, and be a very different field. Almost like an observational science with links to all kinds of other disciplines. Maybe it reduces the satisfaction from proofs, but people climb mountains that other people have climbed, because they learn a lot on the way.
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Comment by spawarotti 2 days ago
In fact, it's an interesting question: Would humans distilling ideas from AI-generated proofs help AI prove more theorems, or would AI not care at all, with no human contribution being useful in advancing its mathematical capabilities?
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Comment by shadowgovt 3 days ago
It exists in the same sense that every story exists whether or not it's been written because the Library of Babel contains it.
Comment by dolia 3 days ago
I would say that this comparison oversimplifies things. Non-math stories in Library of Babel are less practically useful and are less possible to get checked than the math texts. Wrong math can exist, but we often have ways to figure out it's wrong.
For practical purposes I would assume (maybe others can correct me) that math is treated as something you discover when you work on it as mathematician. It's a more intuitive model.
Comment by tarsierscripter 3 days ago
I’m sure Russell’s Paradox would have something to say about that.
One might also consider alternative axiomatizations of mathematics with statements that cannot be expressed in ZF set theory, and vice versa. To say that all of these things exist is to really stretch the definition of existence far beyond the ordinary sense of the word.
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Comment by hackyhacky 3 days ago
And just like coders and mathematicians, that process of discovery is liable to be overtaken by AI, eventually. What does a biologist do then?
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Comment by lukehandcool 2 days ago
Yes, something is lost, and that something deserves to be mourned. It's a big change and it will take some time to figure out what math looks like going forward, so if you are upset that is totally valid. But... this has potential to be amazing. If we can prove anything with the snap of our fingers, let's see how far that can take us. Let's explore unknown areas of math. Let's develop new fields to unlock new understanding.
Secondly, what Grant didn't touch on was a different fear I have. The fear of what will happen if all this power is centralized into a few companies. It's hard for me to envision a world like that and be very excited about it. Math has almost always been accessible to nearly the whole world. If that changes, I don't see that being a good thing for any of us.
That's why I feel very strongly that open models and open source are the best path forward.
Comment by ghm2180 2 days ago
It's a bit crazy to imagine that world where frontier academic research as a publicly funded thing to train next generation could be dead and reborn in the hands of corporations.
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Comment by Loquebantur 2 days ago
Mathematics goes into Physics, into Chemistry, molecular Biology and so on. It "goes" there by mathematicians talking with people there and exchanging ideas about what and how to model it.
Imagine all that getting privatized, walled into a corporate garden, accessible via payment only, similar to academic journals. Thought on demand.
How long does a society like that last?
Comment by tomaskafka 2 days ago
The hyperscalers and their investors no longer live in our society (see Thiel’s pipe dreams of immortality in a New Zealand bunker) and plan to bring it down for profit, dismantling the institutions that we built to protect it.
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Comment by ipdashc 2 days ago
Claude Shannon's paper that kicked off the entire field of information theory was published in the Bell System Technical Journal.
I share the thread's concern over this much centralization of power, but it is worth mentioning that private-sector pure research isn't exactly new. In fact it feels like we had a lot more of it in the 1900s, maybe it's good that it's at least getting revived a bit.
Comment by Isamu 2 days ago
If only pure math were a source of riches, that might work out well for them.
I have a book on mathematical cranks where that seems to be the common delusion, that if only you solve some open problems then fame and fortune must surely follow.
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Comment by Isamu 2 days ago
To transfer that to AI in private hands seems a bit crazy, but what do I know? I think funding bodies will stay the course in the short term before bending to some behind closed doors persuasion to feed the AI machine.
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Comment by d0nkee 2 days ago
Computer science has been a subset of math since the field was established decades before the first vacuum tube or transistor based machine was invented
"Computer" was coined to describe humans who did math all day
What we been doing the last few decades is fundamentally just algebra relative to values in RAM; LLMs only work because of math: https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.10668
def arbitraryFunctionName() { some math to achieve a physical state in memory } ...where arbitrary function name is some biz logic or use case
We're just pushing those arbitrary semantics from the code to the presentation layer; just need to ship a kernel that handles geometry transforms to draw to screen what looks like a text editor and a video game and label it via the GUI
Text systems are just outdated GUI that we had to start with due to hardware limitations back in the day.
Comment by raz32dust 3 days ago
Grant is right about the former. But that doesn't address the latter. A field can have a bright future while losing what drew people to it.
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Comment by dragontamer 3 days ago
I still enjoy writing code by hand, but it's incredibly lonely here. No one at work talks about code details anymore. I'm basically by myself now.
I'm a bit of a holdout, but I can tell you that what used to be lively discussions about architecture are now just "ask Claude" responses. No one else wants to think through their code anymore.
There is value in doing things no one else likes to do. But only if this path delivers results in the long term. It's not certain that my path does that but if this field is truly collapsing I'd rather give it a shot with my brain intact rather than doing nothing.
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Comment by thrdbndndn 2 days ago
It's just that I no longer really consider myself a programming hobbyist, because what I'm doing now doesn't really feel like programming anymore. I'm mostly just talking to an AI.
It's kind of like if I were into crocheting. A big part of the fun is the repetitive process of actually making something by hand. If I suddenly had a magic machine that could produce whatever I wanted in seconds, I'd obviously be a lot more productive, but I wouldn't really call myself a crocheter anymore.
Comment by fluoridation 2 days ago
Another thing to consider is what are you trying to accomplish. If you are just coding for fun then why would you hand that off to an LLM? If you want to see if an idea is even worth pursuing then it makes sense to leverage an LLM to speed up the prototyping.
Comment by geysersam 3 days ago
Preferences change. If AIs can lower some of the barriers to learn and develop mathematics that might mean more people than ever will do math.
Comment by Rodmine 3 days ago
Welcome to the real world, where you have to solve real problems.
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History has shown that a very potent tool can improved and changed industry entirely for the better. People now seems to be more negative than when atomic bomb was invented.
Looked what happened when crane was invented and not only more houses are built faster but also high rise building suddenly become feasible with more human being employed in the construction industry than ever.
Comment by andyjohnson0 3 days ago
AI isn't like any other historical tool or technology. Its qualitatively different. Flint axes or waterwheels or a plasma torches dont just suddenly appear everywhere, and then start getting rapidly (and likely recursively) better at the thing they do. While also mimicking innate human characteristics like complex language.
Its the rate of change.
Comment by oblio 3 days ago
Trains. Building railroads made everything faster, including building faster trains, which facilitated making cars and trucks, which facilitated airplanes, etc.
Fairly sure that even today if you memory wipe all knowledge of trains and train building (including road trains, like in Australia) and vaporize all railroads, locomotives, rail wagons, train stations, etc, it would set us back 50 years.
Comment by blix 3 days ago
Comment by everyday7732 3 days ago
To use an analogy, you can use a goat as a lawnmower - it'll keep the grass down for you. You could maybe even train it so it keeps it a specific length, but it's a goat - there's always a chance it will jump the fence or headbutt you or something else. It's an animal, not a tool. You can use AI as a tool, but that doesn't make it a tool.
Yes AI is arguably still software, but we have never seen programs with anything close to this level of flexibility and adaptability in software.
As another analogy, there's nothing special about neurons- their characteristics are broadly known and researchers have been able to simulate small numbers of them in computer models. However, when you have enough of them in the right structure, complex behaviours are possible which are never exhibited at the lower levels. There's nothing majorly different between the neurons in brains of a chimp and a human, but the capabilities and meta-capabilities are wildly different.
I think we see a similar step-change with generative AI systems.
Comment by wongarsu 3 days ago
I feel like the power loom is a better comparison. It put hand weavers out of business over a short timespan, while revolutionizing how clothing is produced. It certainly empowered a lot of jobs surrounding clothing, until clothing was completely commoditization and is now a lot less well designed simply as a function of clothing as a category being a much cheaper product now
Comment by johnnyanmac 3 days ago
The fear of AI is one that does (and already has, in many cases) in fact change your day-to-day. And given how the increasing economic disparity is going, it will not be one that changes the day to day for most people for the better. No one is positive because the current societal rate of change for most people is negative.
AI is a catalyst and will only accelerate what is already happening (since it fundamentally does not create nor open up new forms of labor). So it's clear why people who feel their day-to-day will get worse are not optimistic.
Comment by tdeck 3 days ago
Comment by IshKebab 3 days ago
I don't know how that isn't obvious to all the "AI is just a tool" people.
Comment by CraigJPerry 3 days ago
Are you of the view that LLMs have more potential than the internet? The internet has been around for so long that it's had time to have actual impact and yet it barely shows up in GDP. It still has so much untapped potential even yet. LLMs are too new to have amassed much impact yet, certainly not on the scale of the internet. But they have lots of potential still untapped. I just don't see how we get to even 5% GDP impact with them (either positive or negative). But i could be in a blind spot, genuinely curious to learn another view point.
[1] I've built all sorts with them. I've built various ML models but the only LLM i've built was effectively following a tutorial, nanochat
Comment by CodesInChaos 3 days ago
Comment by visarga 3 days ago
Comment by alecst 3 days ago
Comment by arctic-true 2 days ago
Comment by IshKebab 3 days ago
Yes, it's not even close. There are lots of entire fields that will be wiped out by AI. Financial advisors for example. Good luck if you're a translator or a proof reader.
The world is slow so I expect it to take some time, depending on the field.
Today I started vibe coding a replacement for a piece of software whose licensing cost is on the order of $100k/year/seat. It's going scarily well. I'm scared.
Comment by gkcnlr 3 days ago
New inventions eventually benefiting the society has always been accompanied by new jobs being created on top of those inventions, a culture of trust built upon mastering those inventions and a market being formulated around demand and supply cycle for those inventions. It is different now[1], because we neither see incentives being created for humans to operate/manage AI-led jobs (because utilizing such a thing is far more unfavorable than outsourcing due to economic incentives, duh) nor a foreseeable market stability for ever such thing to occur.
[1]: https://www.amazon.com/Technofeudalism-Killed-Capitalism-Yan...
Comment by dada216 3 days ago
Comment by landdate 3 days ago
Comment by latexr 3 days ago
When the atomic bomb was invented they didn’t hand one for free to everyone, and no one had access to sending their thoughts to everyone else in world.
> Looked what happened when crane was invented
That is a terrible comparison with no useful parallels. You can’t in god faith suggest something is going to have a desired effect because something completely unrelated did too. You could just as well have compared it to asbestos.
Comment by dizza 3 days ago
Comment by 10xDev 3 days ago
Comment by logicchains 3 days ago
Comment by simianwords 3 days ago
Comment by realusername 3 days ago
Without another breakthrough like LLM, we risked that it would simply be close to impossible to make significant progress by the time the mathematicians finish being specialized in a field.
Comment by nritchie 3 days ago
Comment by howunfortunate 3 days ago
I'm sympathetic to mathematicians but this does not paint them in a good light.
If your primary purpose is SOLVING the problem, you should be ecstatic! If your primary purpose was rent-seeking so you could play with puzzles*, you'd be very upset.
* I find this characterization overly harsh, but if you're mad about your problem being solved, maybe you weren't in it for the right reasons
Comment by andersource 3 days ago
Many people pursue careers based on the intersection between their interests and what society considers valuable. Being upset when what they chose to spend their lives doing either loses value or changes so much it becomes a wholey different job is understandable, and calling it "rent seeking" is very unfair, in my view.
Comment by Marha01 3 days ago
If the meaning of your life is to obtain a solution to a given problem, then getting the solution would "vaporize the meaning of your life" in the same way as when someone that claims his meaning of life is to raise their children would "lose all meaning of life" when they finally move out and start to successfuly live on their own. Yes, there could be some nostalgia in both cases, but if you are psychologically well-adjusted, the pros would still far outweight the cons, the happiness would outweight the sadness.
Comment by klhs 2 days ago
Also I find the suggestion that the people unhappy with the AI-in-mathematics situation are psychologically unwell to be presumptuous, to put it mildly.
Comment by wsve 2 days ago
There's no joy to be derived from a completed crossword puzzle if you weren't the one solving it...
Comment by johnnyanmac 3 days ago
Just as the most basic example: software is not currently being made faster, nor performing better nor at a higher bar of quality. Maybe developers are able to report higher velocity, but this is not leading to faster shipping of software/features. In fact, people seemed to feel software is buggier than ever and companies are doubling down on it and simply adding placeholders of "AI can make mistakes". Unforgivable 10 years ago if we tried that with humans.
If anything, the rent seeking is with people reporting "being more productive than ever" and despite that less real world problems being solved than the previous decade.
Comment by andersource 3 days ago
These people knew someone else could solve the problem. Presumably they figured there'd still be meaningful work for them to do - exploring ramifications, new frontiers opened by the solution. Other problems, at worst. Now it all seems far from guaranteed.
I agree about well-adjustedness, but what do you propose these people do to get paid if the number of researchers with grants reduces significantly? Reskill to something that pays less, they like less, and might be automated too? Can you frankly say this wouldn't be a moral blow to anyone, well-adjustedness and all?
Comment by baxtr 3 days ago
No one will pay me for raising my kids. I’d probably have to pay the robot.
So the question remains: is it about solving the problem for humanity? Solving the problem for yourself? Or getting paid?
Comment by andersource 3 days ago
> So the question remains: is it about solving the problem for humanity? Solving the problem for yourself? Or getting paid?
Say it's a mix, which I think is most likely. They enjoy the problem-solving, like doing something that feels meaningful to humanity, and obviously need to get paid. Now what?
Comment by baxtr 3 days ago
Of course I am not denying the brutality for those who are right in the middle of finishing something.
I am optimistic for those who haven’t started, which the video is referring to.
Comment by andersource 3 days ago
> I personally think they’re enough problems left for humanity to solve.
For sure, whether those displaced will be able to get to work on them - and whether it will be as fulfilling as their previous work - is not at all guaranteed.
"The market doesn't owe you to do fulfilling work" Yes, but it costs you nothing to be sympathetic to the individual humans that have to undergo these changes, which can be all shades of scary and sad.
> Of course I am not denying the brutality for those who are right in the middle of finishing something.
And those who worked on a problem for 5 years, trying dozens of approaches, and weren't close to finishing something? People over-fixate on the specific problem. The big picture narrative here is, in the best case, "the way we're going to do math will be completely different", and in the worst case, "we'll need much fewer mathematicians".
> I am optimistic for those who haven’t started, which the video is referring to.
Perhaps. This comment chain is about the other side, the so-called rent seekers.
Comment by baxtr 3 days ago
To that end I’ve read all your comments. I am not sure what you’re proposing or asking people to do?
Are you asking for empathy? I have a lot of respect and empathy for people who dedicated their life to solving complex problems.
At the same time I’m trying to be optimistic by saying not all is lost. Yes people will need to adjust. I’m arguing continual change and adaption have always been part of life.
Comment by andersource 3 days ago
I agree that there's room for optimism, but the conduct and messaging of the AI labs isn't very inspiring in that regard. The feeling I get from it is "we're going to push forward at any cost and make humane considerations only when we can afford to. Which isn't a lot because we've got to be the first to AGI or others will make it first and do it wrong." People then get pushed to the sidelines, many whose work contributed to the feasibility of LLM capabilities in the first place. Free market and such. But then they get criticized when they're upset about it?
Give them space to deal with it and help them find optimism, or at least, don't judge them.
Comment by johnnyanmac 3 days ago
In the near future, this may very will be the case in order to address the population decline. But I digress.
Comment by dyauspitr 3 days ago
Comment by modeless 3 days ago
There are few concrete proposals, but a lot of people are talking about the need for it.
The reality seems to be that this will extend "to every problem in every profession" within our lifetimes. The only scenario I see where that doesn't happen is global war or other catastrophe stopping progress by essentially destroying civilization as we know it. So we are going to need to figure it out.
Comment by adastra22 3 days ago
Comment by globnomulous 3 days ago
Mathematicians are ecstatic and delighted when major problems are solved by other mathematicians. If you've followed the discussions and read the reactions, you'd know why mathematicians feel differently in this case and why more than a few are upset and feel that they've lost the thing that gave them meaning and joy.
And to put it very simply, I don't want mathematicians to exist just because I want solutions to problems. I want mathematicians to exist because I want to live in a world that has mathematicians, philosophers, writers, painters, thinkers, etc. That is a better world that makes people better.
OpenAI's proofs do not make people better. They do not enrich our lives. And OpenAI was able to produce these proofs because countless generations of human beings sowed the fields of mathematics through countless hours of labor. OpenAI is clear-cutting and sowing them with salt. Nobody should he ecstatic. Everybody should be horrified and outraged.
Comment by kuboble 3 days ago
I think it's ok to care about math as an art or sport still.
Math will join the ranks of other useful works where human effort was once essential like
Long distance messaging/ running, painting, calligraphy, weight lifting and others.
Comment by noslenwerdna 2 days ago
Comment by hnfong 2 days ago
I'm not sure the world is better if everyone was forced to do TLS handshake math by hand.
The last couple decades of economic development (of the first world at least) was in a large part due to the efficiency gains by not having people do math by hand. The world will definitely not be better if you just blew up all the computing tech since calculators were invented.
Comment by noslenwerdna 2 days ago
Yes, I am being sarcastic.
Comment by globnomulous 2 days ago
Comment by jacquesm 3 days ago
This is not quite like that but the feeling I get from it is much the same. Mathematicians are first and foremost busy with understanding math, not with 'solving' math though they are solving individual problems within the domain of math. The journey towards that understanding requires specialization and often lots of studying.
To quote Douglas Adams: "If 'metal nose' here is going to give you God's phone number then the philosophical question of whether there is a God becomes meaningless."
It is the journey and the questions that matter as much or more than the answer does.
And with math being a branch of natural philosophy I can see why they would be a tad upset at this shortcut because it strips the collective efforts of a large number of people of their prestige and feeling of time well spent. Imagine your life's work reduced to a short string of bits, and worse, that short string of bits was created by a machine that effectively is still a toddler.
Comment by olalonde 3 days ago
Selfishly, as someone who enjoys programming, I feel the same way about the journey. But let's face it: for everyone else, the outcome is what actually matters. Mathematicians argue that their journey may lead to novel insights, but are those insights really valuable? Are they going to help the LLMs solve more problems? And are we sure that the LLMs can't deliver those same insights?
Comment by jacquesm 3 days ago
I don't know if you have kids or not but I have two kids in high school and keeping them motivated through the AI revolution is a serious challenge and some of their classmates have already all but given up. The next generation down the line is going to grow up with the same kind of attitude towards thinking that you might have towards the skill of map reading. And I think we'll all be poorer because of that, not richer.
Comment by verzali 3 days ago
Comment by cagz 3 days ago
Mathematicians could:
- Continue working on philosophical aspects of the solution and not bothered by whether the solution is known or not. It is not a movie that gets spoiled when the ending is known.
- Or better, demand from AI labs, how they would like to see AI helping them on philosophical aspects.
Comment by twowaway 3 days ago
…except the machine will be better at these aspects too :D
I find it funny when people suggest "just re-orient from knowledge work X to knowledge work Y, doh!". Not realizing all knowledge work is on the chopping blocks.
Comment by byzantinegene 3 days ago
Comment by _heimdall 3 days ago
That only makes sense to me when its what someone chooses to spend their time doing. When they expect someone else to pay them for it, its the end result that matters.
Maybe its a fundamental flaw in capitalism or money itself, but we can't expect to be paid for the sheer love of the game. Others will only end up paying us if the expected output is worth it.
Comment by lanstin 3 days ago
Comment by _heimdall 3 days ago
And to be clear I don't say that as a good thing, it may be a flaw in capitalism, but we don't psy people simply to chase knowledge for the sake of the chase.
Comment by jacquesm 3 days ago
That only works as long as people earn a living wage. See also: Henry Ford.
Comment by Guestmodinfo 3 days ago
Let's just say that The math problem that got solved, I was working on it for many years but some company people used my knowledge my prompts and "solved" it without giving me any credits or money. Firstly they plagiarised the books and research papers and then they plagiarised the prompts by the mathematicians. Yes AI can make art and has caused many artists finding work difficult but AI art is always souless and worthless, same thing will be for math it will become souless and worthless because when humans who are experts in their fields invest their ingenuity then art becomes alive but if ordinary people like me will just prompt into the machine then souless things will come out that will be very worthless and disposable.
Comment by dvt 3 days ago
In fact, the proof is such a mess, nobody really understands how it works. Which is becoming commomplace with these permutation machines where we can come up with something that passes some tests (e.g., a proof checker), but we have no idea wtf we did to get there, which doesn't really seem to do much to push human understanding forward.
It seems like such a dumb hill to die on, too. OpenAI literally stole the entire Internet (including copyrighted works), and we're arguing about a silly math puzzle.
Comment by piloto_ciego 3 days ago
A lot of people are upset because they used to be special, their identities were tied to them being smarter, or having more niche domain knowledge than anyone else. Ai has changed that.
Comment by johnnyanmac 3 days ago
Such a take on "people don't feel special" feels borderline bad-faith. People of science tend to be some of the most humble people as their knowledge to seek the truth constantly leaves them with more answers than questions. It's instead this borderline cult of people praising output that is understandable to them that seems to be the ones with the hubris to try and claim that thinkers will be obsolete.
Comment by piloto_ciego 1 day ago
Comment by johnnyanmac 1 day ago
see no reason to find this field different.
Comment by tjpnz 3 days ago
Maybe the reason people are upset is simpler? Maybe people with a mortgage and kids to support don't like being told they'll absolutely 100% soon be out on their arse. Even if you don't believe that it's still tiring having to hear the same mindless taunts and vapid bullshit repeated on a daily basis.
Comment by piloto_ciego 1 day ago
is not really a rebuttal of what I was saying.
People are all trying to be John Henry here… common people
Comment by vkou 3 days ago
Whee. Very exciting.
Comment by piloto_ciego 3 days ago
Regardless, we're all needing to learn that we weren't as special as we thought we were.
Comment by vkou 3 days ago
Praying that it doesn't last very long isn't a strategy.
> we're all needing to learn that we weren't as special as we thought we were.
When will the altmans and the musks of the world learn that?
Comment by darepublic 3 days ago
Comment by nearbuy 3 days ago
And then your article says:
> On 13 October 2026, Scientific American published an article surveying several mathematicians stating that "the resemblance between the two groups’ methods now seems merely skin-deep."
Comment by spongebobstoes 3 days ago
Comment by staplers 3 days ago
gatekeeping knowledge is a bad look
Unless a corporation does it?Comment by nearbuy 3 days ago
Unless you mean they're charging money for a product that contains knowledge. But that's not gatekeeping, just like selling a book isn't gatekeeping. Gatekeeping is when a group tries to prevent others from participating in a field or activity.
Comment by hnfong 2 days ago
There are some important fields of math that were conspicuously missing. In particular, cryptography.
There are obviously good reasons for being more cautious when dealing with cryptography results in math, but I'm not going to believe they released everything.
> Unless you mean they're charging money for a product that contains knowledge.
They have internal models that the public cannot use (at least not yet).
Comment by nearbuy 2 days ago
Comment by sham1 3 days ago
It just turns out that the Chesterton's gate is useful and people tend to think that people should be paid for their labour, since people kinda need a roof over their heads and food on their table.
Comment by nearbuy 3 days ago
If you define any obstacle to an activity as gatekeeping, then literally everything can be considered gatekeeping and the term loses all meaning. Some people can't read, so offering the books for free would still exclude them. If you include an audio book, some people still can't understand the language. And both charging and not charging money for products would simultaneously be gatekeeping under that definition, since not charging places more financial burden on the producer. Not everyone can afford to print books and give them away for free.
Comment by sham1 3 days ago
> Gatekeeping is when a group tries to prevent others from participating in a field or activity.
And I gave a way in which charging a price does that.
I am open to the idea of being incorrect in this case, in which I apologise for misunderstanding, and concede that I'm missing the nuance but in my defence, I'm not a native speaker.
Comment by nearbuy 3 days ago
> Words get their meaning from how they're used in the wild, and dictionaries are descriptivist, not prescriptivist.
But I didn't explain that clearly. What I mean is that definitions are always imprecise because language is imprecise and dictionaries (or people) try to keep definitions reasonably short and simple. Dictionaries are trying to describe what the words really mean in the wild. They aren't the source of that meaning.
For example, if we look up Merriam-Webster's definition of "game (noun)", none of the definitions really work for a game like Solitaire without also including an activity like reading a book.
The two relevant definitions are
1. a physical or mental competition conducted according to rules with the participants in direct opposition to each other
2. activity engaged in for diversion or amusement
(there are a bunch of other definitions as well, like animals you hunt)
The second definition is too broad and the first clearly excludes Solitaire. If you were deciding what a game is based on the dictionary definitions, you'd either think watching TV is a game, or that Solitaire isn't. But that's not the case.
Charging money for products isn't considered gatekeeping. So from a descriptivist perspective, it isn't, even if it seems like it should be, because the word isn't used like that. Banning a group of people from an activity is gatekeeping. If mathematicians said only mathematicians can prove theorems and correct proofs from non-mathematicians won't be accepted, that would be gatekeeping. But they don't do that.
If you want to use a broad definition of gatekeeping that includes virtually all human activity, then the response to any accusation of gatekeeping could be "well, everything is gatekeeping". That road just leads to pointless and confusing conversations.
Comment by Marha01 3 days ago
Nope, in all cases it is a bad look.
Comment by bombcar 3 days ago
Comment by tarpitt 3 days ago
In fact you should be estatic that in a paralell universe all math problems have been solved, so there's no reason to pursue math at all (we did it reddit!).
When your job is automated and you're living in the streets, just remember that you should be estatic that the job is finally being done more efficiently by a robot. Like, we did it. We finally did the job right. The job was never about wealth distribution, self actualization, dignity or any of that crap it was always about getting some stupid task accomplished for an industrial system that exists for... what exactly? What is the end goal of all of this? Who does the system serve in an economy of no consumers? What is the point of solving niche mathematical problems if no living person can comprehend the solution?
Comment by howunfortunate 3 days ago
There are still a whole lot of people, the vast majority of people actually, who's job involves something completely unglamorous and practical like unclogging your sewers.
To these people, it sounds like a cruel joke that people get paid 3x their salary, and after AI can do their job we learn that apparently the only purpose of their was their own self-actualization.
I don't actually believe that about math, but that's what a lot of people in this thread sound like.
Comment by whatshisface 3 days ago
Comment by twowaway 3 days ago
You were useful in the fields to the degree that was necessary for food production (sustain and grow population) and for wars (using said population to expand and extract more resources).
Once machines automate material comforts and exertion of violence (already have, to a large degree), humans become a pure loss center. Why bother with "fields" lol.
Comment by johnnyanmac 3 days ago
So they will keep some ready for those tasks simply to fuel that irrational desire. They will instead use the more efficient bots to enforce work on the fields rather than work the fields themselves. Or perhaps we go full Matrix and find uses for humans that robots can't properly replicate.
Comment by twowaway 3 days ago
That's not "back in the fields" though (metaphorical or literal).
Comment by tarpitt 3 days ago
I know, I have that job! And I enjoy it. But the robots are coming for me too.
Comment by johnnyanmac 3 days ago
But I understand it from a blue collar perspective. I tinker at toys in a metaphorical basement and I live a cushier life than many who give their bodies to their duty. That doesn't feel fair at all. But I mostly wish that was motivation to band together and get blue collars paid better rather than cause this inter-class divide while the capitalists ransack all of society.
Comment by dextrous 3 days ago
I feel sad and even a bit forlorn when I think of jobs that provide purpose, meaning, motivation, and satisfaction (not to mention $$) to human beings being lost to servers in racks and soulless machines. I think many people feel similarly.
However, I do believe that when a couple problems get solved that massively benefit all of humanity — e.g. a massive cancer breakthrough, etc — a tipping point will be reached and public opinion will reverse and enthusiastically embrace AI, and will accept not only diminished personal meaning but outright technocratic rule. This would be a huge mistake, but I really believe it would happen.
And as we know, solving interesting math problems is a leading indicator of big practical results to come.
Comment by hackinthebochs 3 days ago
Is solving cancer worth ceding human meaning and human autonomy to the machines? I haven't seen anyone ask this question but it seems the central issue of this revolution. Personally, I don't think it is.
Perhaps machines will lead to a perfectly homogenous society completely absent of negative valence whatsoever. But if every experience is also devoid of any personal meaning, what's the point? The optimal human state is not one of peak hedonism, or wholly absent of suffering.
Comment by Marha01 3 days ago
Solving cancer alone? Perhaps not.. Unless you have cancer.. Solving all diseases and aging? Well... I would rather be alive and live like an AI's housecat than dead and free. And I suspect that many people who publicly disagree are just performative, and would actually make the same choice when push comes to shove, and they have to actually choose between "diminishing their autonomy to the machines" and imminent death.
Comment by mrob 3 days ago
Comment by hackinthebochs 3 days ago
No, I do not think human autonomy should be sacrificed to defeat death. I personally do not fear death. It's as irrational to fear as it is to fear a deep sleep. I do fear dying painfully. Tragically, we as a society resist alleviating the pain associated with the process of dying (by speeding it up) for the same reasons. If only we could learn to take our principles in moderate doses.
Comment by ButlerianJihad 3 days ago
> A fear of death so complete that we are willing to sacrifice everything of value to prevent it.
> a corporeal enemy that must be resisted
I am afraid that you know nothing about Christianity. The beliefs and values you describe are antithetical to the Christian life and our worldview. If you've ever just examined the life of St. Teresa of Calcutta, you'd understand how absurd it would be for her to "fear death" or "minimize suffering".
We seek to follow, and imitate, Christ Jesus in his life of suffering, his death and resurrection. We do not resist, or minimize, or fear any of this. To do so, would be quite heretical to us as Christians.
Of all times of the year to bring this up. All Saints Day, celebrating the eternal life of those, named and unnamed, who have preceded us in death. All Souls Day, to pray for all the departed souls who suffer in Purgatory, after death but before their Heavenly reward.
I don't know what religion you are trying to describe, but to me it sounds like atheistic secularism. It is atheism that fears death, and utilitarianism that seeks to minimize suffering. Not Christians. Goodness, gracious.
Comment by hackinthebochs 3 days ago
The particular ideology of Christianity was super effective at laying the groundwork for modern civilization. Of course, these ideals have since evolved and have since become some kind of secular ideology. Granted, it was imprecise to attribute a fear of death to Christianity. But the sanctity of life is in practice a close cousin of a fear of death. Modern secularism having no metaphysical alternative has made this fear explicit.
Comment by Marha01 2 days ago
Exhibit A.
Comment by hackinthebochs 2 days ago
Comment by noosphr 3 days ago
Why should I be ecstatic that someone solved a problem using Hilbert Calculus when I can only understand Sequent Calculus? [0]
[0] This is a joke. No 'real' mathematicians do systematic proofs. What gets posted in math journals is the equivalent of architecture diagrams.
Comment by tarpitt 3 days ago
It's like asking if what someone wrote a beautiful poem but it's in japanese. Maybe hearing about it motivates me to learn japanese, or maybe it doesn't. But as a non-speaker it makes little impression on me.
Comment by xpct 3 days ago
I wouldn't even grant that. It's a very one-directional problem solving approach where it's unknown to what extent it can build on its own findings.
Comment by massung 3 days ago
That said, I think what has mathematicians… upset is probably two things:
1. These are hard problems. Hard enough that solving one could take decades of work. And there’s tons of collaboration involved. Pivoting to another - and making progress - isn’t exactly something you wake up tomorrow and start doing.
2. I think motivations matter to some. And the AI companies doing this aren’t doing it for the betterment of math or even society. They are in an arms race to prove their product is superior and any careers that are damaged collaterally be dammed.
Comment by airstrike 3 days ago
Comment by voidhorse 3 days ago
Pure maths is much closer to philosophy or art than practical problem solving. Yes, we're extremely lucky that mathematics also happens to be a fantastic formalism for solving practical and scientific problems, by the practical problems are not remotely the subject matter of pure math. Of course, many mathematicians did advance theory in order to solve specific practical problems, but the pursuit of theory for theory's sake is also an important human activity.
Historically, this freedom from practicality has been important. It allows mathematicians to explore purely theoretical issues that have no practical bearing today but that might well have relevance in the future. We don't know. Carving out dedicated resources in society for that activity, though, has proven very beneficial for other sciences.
You have no computer, you have no neural nets, you have no AI, without at least some results from pure maths. Maybe keep that in mind before you crap on mathematics for its lack of immediate practicality. Not all good things in life arise as solutions to concrete and immediate material problems.
Comment by rspeele 2 days ago
Shame on them for such weaknesses as:
* Desire to make memorable achievements in their field
* Missing the social elements of sharing and discussing problems with their colleagues
* Sense of self worth linked to ability to make a unique contribution to society
* Fear of losing status and income in a ruthlessly competitive economic system
* Anxiety over debts already accrued during years of studying
* Regret over choice of career path and roads not taken
Astra would never.
Comment by rbongers 3 days ago
Personally, I enjoy the process of solving problems. I do not enjoy wrangling unpredictable AI agents.
Comment by _heimdall 3 days ago
There are plenty of things I enjoy doing, but I try to do them as often as I can for the love of it rather than because someone is paying me to enjoy the process.
Comment by lanstin 3 days ago
Comment by _heimdall 3 days ago
Comment by youoy 3 days ago
Comment by _heimdall 1 day ago
Having a plumber that can better solve problems during their work fixing a system is obviously a good thing. That simply isn't what is being discussed here, most mathematics research being raised are theoretical math that has no immediate practical use. That doesn't mean it shouldn't be worked on, but it isn't the same as solving a real world problem we have today.
Comment by rbongers 3 days ago
Comment by tdeck 3 days ago
Comment by _heimdall 3 days ago
People have been getting paid for it, and hopefully that can continue if they enjoy it, but why should we want them to be paid only to chase theoretical math if it has no valuable output, or if the value is in the pursuit rather than the output?
Comment by tdeck 3 days ago
But reading the threads here on HN, in response to people saying "this sucks", AI boosters would rather redirect the conversation into economics and feign outrage that people are being paid to do mathematics at all.
Suddenly folks seem to be both in contempt of the idea of solving abstract puzzles without practical application, and certain that they want a higher efficiency of abstract puzzles solved per dollar (again, puzzles they probably don't care about).
Comment by hackinthebochs 3 days ago
It's funny, the justification for accelerationism is that people can be paid (UBI) to pursue their passions. On the other hand, we have those that are asking why anyone should be paid for work that isn't economically viable. I suspect we're being sold a load of bullshit.
Comment by _heimdall 3 days ago
More importantly, I'm curious how you define an ideal human society. How do you land on what ideal is, or what it would take to get there?
Comment by hackinthebochs 3 days ago
The question is in what context does the human psyche thrive? We find meaning in personal struggle and overcoming obstacles. We're happiest when we're striving for something out of reach but seemingly attainable. We're much less happy when we have all of our needs met but have no source of meaning or fulfilling struggle. Our evolutionary history is one of struggling against hardship and finding personal meaning in the process. This is a core feature of our psyche and it is to our detriment to eliminate it.
This isn't to say we should all be struggling for our next meal. Much like cats, our core drives can be exercised and satiated through a simulacrum. There are many ways it can be satisfied, but strive we must, against something with inherent meaning to us. The problem with AI fully realized is that it takes away most avenues for human achievement, thus the struggle loses all meaning.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
I mean the only thing that matters is the answer right?
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
Mathematicians usually care nothing about application of their work. Working on interesting problems is their only motivation. Practical applications are almost always happy accidents.
This goes back to the hope that robots would do the laundry and the dishes and the cleaning up so we could write and play music, create art, and solve mathematical problems.
Instead the AIs are doing all of that leaving humans with only the dishes and the laundry and the cleaning up.
Comment by youoy 3 days ago
Other people usually care only about "gain", its their only motivation. Non "gain" results are just happy accidents.
And "gain" (once you have your survival covered) is just an invented abstraction with 0 real meaning. But people try to convince themselfs that it has meaning.
This goes back to the classic story for "kids" about the emperor that has no clothes.
Comment by howunfortunate 3 days ago
Of course I don't believe that math is just fun puzzles. But if it were, then it would deserve to die as a career, AI or not.
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Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
Those people will also be pissed that people get paid to make music or art or literature or poetry and all such frivolous things.
Comment by Anon1096 3 days ago
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Comment by twobitshifter 3 days ago
Already people are seeing that the lean proofs provided don’t match the paper and lean proofs have not been provided for all paper proofs.
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Comment by alecst 3 days ago
Understand that there’s more than one way to prove something, that there’s an art to making something understandable, and that humans tend to take the most understandable paths (to humans.)
Models often don’t do that. But in solving, or claiming to solve, important problems, they nevertheless remove a lot of the excitement and incentive towards working towards a solution humans would naturally find. Plus, a lot of these problems really don’t have any critical applications at the moment. They’re done for the love of the game.
Does that bother you? That your tax dollars pay people who do math out of curiosity?
Comment by Davidzheng 3 days ago
Comment by tdesilva 3 days ago
I think there is a little too much pessimism of the "math is dead" sort. As long as there is a need for humans to think there will be value in doing math.
Comment by im3w1l 3 days ago
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Comment by lz400 3 days ago
Look at the most upvoted comment on that thread:
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I feel like the point is still being missed, and it's very similar to the way software engineers are trying to cope. The argument you are making "Well yes now this part of math we will not need to do again, but now we can do this instead" however the issue with most people just don't want to do that....
Like who are we kidding, the type of nerds who were attracted to math and software were into it because we saw it as an art-form, it was a craft, it was being the only one in your city to be able to solve a complicated math problem, it was immortalizing yourself because you discovered a proof and added to the ever expanding human knowledge.
Imagine a leather workman who's life passion is making insanely high quality handbags, who takes joy in knowing everything he touches will last someone a lifetime and give them joy everytime they use it. And then not gradually, but almost overnight someone comes to his door and tells him we can make bags 50 times better than you at 1/tenth the price. But don't you worry, you can make more money overseeing the factory, or selling people on how good this bag is, and explaining that to them.
I mean, ok, that just is not what I wanted to do with my life. I never wanted to be a manager, I never wanted to be a salesman, I never wanted to be a writer. A craft I enjoy doing has been taken away from me, I should be allowed to mourn, I don't care that I can do something else since I never liked doing it in the first place. I enjoyed solving problems and writing code, I don't care if people say "well thats never what programming was about it was actually about becoming a manager all along" I never wanted to be a manager, I never wanted to manage, I never wanted to be a proof reader.
I just hate this existence.
Comment by ndriscoll 3 days ago
No, I think it's just super cool. One of the things I hate about it is that you can't really explain what you find cool about it; others just have to see for themselves (in some sense it's like a self-induced trip to sit there and work out analysis/topology proofs in your mind's eye, visualizing little nested blobs doing their things), which of course nearly no one you will ever meet has any interest in doing. I wish more people wanted to talk math/physics with me lol.
I just want to know more. There are infinite rabbit holes. Like in uni and for years after, I wanted to know why convolution should be so important. Was I disappointed that someone else had already figured that out (that it's what you get when you form the vector space over a group and define multiplication as group multiplication) long before I was born? No way! I was stoked to finally have a satisfying answer! I wish they'd find a way to stuff that into applied analysis for engineers because it's cool and engineers should get to see cool math.
But then I went into software (partly because it was a hobby of mine anyway, and partly because it pays well), and learned a long time ago to leave any notion of artisanship or nerd crap at home. Java programmers spent forever arguing against type inference, Python/Ruby programmers think static types are a hindrance, and Go programmers spent a decade saying generics make things more complicated. Metaprogramming is generally synonymous with "too clever." It's cool that the relationship C^(A+B) = C^A C^B (or generalizations) says that the way you handle an enum type is to pattern match/provide a handler for each constructor, but I'm not going to burden my coworkers with that nonsense.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
It’s going to destroy both academic funding for people wanting to learn more through research and salaries for people currently doing cognitive work in corporations and an irresistible crutch for students using AI to do their work for them.
Comment by ndriscoll 3 days ago
Similarly, at work, it's never been easier to have data to make decisions with. Or to just try stuff out. Really great. Gets rid of what would otherwise be massive amounts of tedious "thinking" that drains your brain but isn't actually challenging in any way.
It's early yet to see what effect it will have on research. Experimental science is full of interesting, cognitively engaging topics as well though. Or maybe they end up like me and do boring engineering work for pay, and read cool stuff that the AI has figured out in their free time. It's not all that bad.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
But if the AIs replace all the jobs?
Comment by ndriscoll 3 days ago
Comment by jimbokun 2 days ago
With our current systems, the abundance will only go to the holders of capital.
Comment by ndriscoll 2 days ago
Comment by MentalM 2 days ago
Then there will be jobs. I mean that is pretty simple concept.
Comment by odyssey7 3 days ago
Mathematicians got a new toy. It’s up to them to pick it up, play with it, and figure out what it can and cannot do.
While I cannot guarantee it will stay this way indefinitely, there is still plenty that AI cannot do that humans still can, and asking the right series of questions remains an art of its own. There is still plenty of original work to be done.
As Arnold Schoenberg stated in the 20th century, “there is still plenty of good music to be written in C major.” The search space is vast and today human judgement is still required to really navigate it usefully. No LLM has yet written anything like Shakespeare that has superseded Shakespeare in any culturally meaningful way. Although programming is supposedly just about solved, I expect to see numerous billion-dollar startups emerge over the coming decade, rather than all of the innovation running out at the speed of tokens.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
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Comment by irjustin 3 days ago
Then I'm in programming for the wrong reasons.
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Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
Mathematicians are saying the current papers are pretty inscrutable and use terminology unfamiliar in the math sub fields in which the models are generating proofs.
Comment by zer00eyz 3 days ago
Computing has the same issue. If we swapped a PLC programer with your average SV software engineer for a week both of them would have a really bad time.
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Comment by odyssey7 3 days ago
But there’s always a risk that someone in an adjacent domain makes a breakthrough that completely reshapes the research landscape overnight. It’s happened before AI and it will happen at some point again in years to come. Grief is understandable, but this isn’t the first time or the last time.
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
Comment by bigmadshoe 3 days ago
Yes, much of pure mathematics is "playing with puzzles" to the end of the joy and beauty revealed by a human solving them.
Comment by wanderlust123 2 days ago
Your present a false dichotomy; that mathematicians care about the result, or are rent seeker that just wants to play about with puzzles.
Many people enjoyed the process of finding things out for it's own sake.
Comment by snarfy 2 days ago
Yes, this is overly harsh. Some of us are interested in the craft, not the solution. Is that not the "right" reason?
Comment by simplesocieties 3 days ago
I'm not a mathematician but I find this framing to be rather non-pragmatic and frankly, pointed.
In the process of Leonhard Euler's "rent-seeking" so he could "play with" bridge crossings he invented a completely new branch of mathematics that is the basis for things like Google Maps today. The process of working with these problems is just as important if not more, than just solving them.
Comment by cs_throwaway 3 days ago
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Comment by pfdietz 2 days ago
I want to add here: why do you imagine the outcome here will be dictated by what I, or any other individuals, want? There's this conceit that we can design how society is going to be rather than have to deal with what society becomes. The bandwidth for "societal engineering" is low.
Comment by pfdietz 3 days ago
What you are complaining about is not that the state of the art wouldn't be advanced, but that vanity would not be served. Vanity (as part of Pride) is one of the seven deadly sins for a reason, and Pride has been described as the root sin, the worst of the lot, since all others stem from it.
Comment by 0c3ca83 3 days ago
This AI shit is boring as fuck. It's automating the fun things, so theres more time to do the miserable bits.
Comment by pfdietz 2 days ago
Comment by 0c3ca83 2 days ago
So, the future sucks; we've worked hard to automate everything people find joy in, and left the miserable parts of the job for people to do, and asshats like you insist we should be happy about it.
What's the point?
Comment by RugnirViking 3 days ago
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Comment by RugnirViking 2 days ago
For most, all of the above in various measure. To act as though one is the only thing thats important is wrong. The crisis is because the balance between these that existed is being shifted.
Comment by 0c3ca83 3 days ago
Comment by hackinthebochs 3 days ago
It's quite bizarre how many people feel so personally affronted at the existence of a rather exclusive intellectual community that they take glee in seeing it decimated overnight. But make no mistake, AI is coming for the things you value as well.
Comment by callc 3 days ago
There’s something here about the journey not just the destination.
Press a button and problem solved is not too fun
Comment by ves 3 days ago
Comment by throwaway27448 3 days ago
Incredibly nasty stuff to serve on the rent-seeking forum. Doubly nasty to levy at people who actually like being alive, like mathematicians. If capitalists had their way we'd all be slitting our wrists on day two of existence
Comment by wsve 2 days ago
It's like saying "If your goal is reaching the top of Everest, you should be ecstatic they built a train line that brings you right up to the peak!"
Comment by confidantlake 2 days ago
It was never just about the destination.
Comment by xpct 3 days ago
Comment by randerson 3 days ago
Would sports teams have as many fans who enjoy their games, if all the humans were replaced by robots? Your team may win, so I'm sure you'll be happy with the outcome, but maybe something got lost?
I for one have always felt inspired when reading about remarkable human achievements. To think that those might be coming to an end, replaced by AI, takes the humanity out of those stories.
Comment by Dig1t 3 days ago
There will be human achievement no matter how much automation and robotics we have. There’s an entire universe to explore and colonize. Plus people still want to see other people do things like perform music or play sports.
Comment by randerson 3 days ago
Think of your average Veritasium video. They know how to tell a story about a scientific breakthrough. It always centers around the human inventors. Take the humans out the story and it's less interesting, relatable, or enjoyable. Also consider: why do HNers hate AI slop? If all that matters is the outcome (getting some point in writing), AI does that. I hate slop because it has lost its human touch. I appreciate a result more when its distilled from human effort, and I'm not alone.
I'm not a mathematician so I have no skin in this particular game. I'm a software engineer though, and we've already gone through this. I can simultaneously love how easy it is to build applications with AI, and miss the days when human talent was valued and celebrated in my field. My job gave me purpose. My work team had comaraderie. A future where we all report to AI managers and we exist just to sign off on what our AI agents do, is dystopian.
Yes, I suspect there will always be human sports teams, musicians, actors, etc. My point was to illustrate that everything is less appealing when you take the humans out of the picture and I don't see why science is different. If outcomes are the only thing that matter then when robots are better at sport than humans shouldn't we should all just watch robots compete?
P.S. Do you really believe humans are going to visit any object further than Mars, let alone actually colonize them? Things would've had to go very wrong on Earth for that to happen, and that future doesn't appeal to me one bit. Call me a luddite if you want. How many people would willingly say goodbye forever to the wonders of Earth so that they can start their family on an inhospitable planet where they'll be indoors for the rest of their life? And why even bother exploring those planets? We can get all the data we need from autonomous spacecraft. Isn't that the outcome that matters?
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
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Comment by flowerlad 3 days ago
But it could be another human that did that, and the impact would be no different.
As a software engineer this is part of my life, and always has been. I may have been working on a software product for the last 3 years, and suddenly one morning I find out that another company has released a similar product, and selling it cheaper, now the value of my work is slashed by 90%. I may even have to drop my project and find something else to work on. This is a normal part of life.
Comment by odyssey7 3 days ago
Still, I have sympathy for the people who are grieving right now.
With the software industry, you kind of know what you’re signing up for, so you have some emotional preparation. However, this might be one of the very first truly disruptive innovations many mathematicians have ever seen in their fields in their lifetimes.
Should they have better prepared emotionally for a black swan event? I’d argue that the answer is no, but even if the answer were yes, the grief that many are experiencing is still worthy of sympathy.
Comment by flowerlad 3 days ago
Now consider a computer science major in college who knows that he won't get a job when he graduates. Consider fresh graduates who thought they would have lucrative jobs but had to take up jobs as Uber drivers. To them AI is a black swan event. That's who I have sympathy for.
Comment by odyssey7 3 days ago
For example, the original black swans who were found by the Dutch mariners neither attacked, injured, nor robbed those mariners.
Comment by MentalM 3 days ago
Right now mathematicians are freaking out because they think the AI will make them useless and they will have to go find real job with real usefulness.
But honestly mathematicians have been totally useless long before the first AI, so generally nothing have changed for them.
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Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
That’s the nature of exponential improvement, which humans are incapable of.
Comment by gnabgib 3 days ago
Oh, nvm you made it clear 8m later: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50147638
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
Comment by 1dom 3 days ago
The cause of what you're describing here, and the cause of the problems with AI are the same: it's capitalism, closed competition and businesses deciding what happens.
In an alternate society built around providing the best solutions for everyone, instead of being built around businesses making as much money for themselves as possible, your organisation would have been working alongside the other company to share insights into solving the same problem for everyone.
Same goes for AI: all the existential downsides of AI pretty much all depend on businesses being the main driver of who uses AI and when. If we only let individuals choose when to use AI, then they're not going to choose to automate themselves out of a job they need, or give up something they actually get personal value and joy from.
Comment by Barrin92 3 days ago
I studied mathematics and don't agree with this at all, for several reasons. For one the entire point of maths is that it describes a formal system in which one can 'shut up and calculate'. Mechanizing maths goes back to Leibniz and Hilbert. Nobody should surprised that the big formalism with explicit rules you invented is the first thing to yield to automation, that's why it exists.
Secondly research, including maths for a long time has been a collaboration of people, institutions, machines and processes, even maths does not consist of Faustian heroes in caves having revelations.
And thirdly just because a machine produces a 500 page proof doesn't mean your job is done. Science produces knowledge. Knowledge is information made legible to understanding by people. So there will be endless work for humans to go over machine proofs and turn it into something we understand. Just like chess computers ultimately expanded human chess.
Comment by not_kurt_godel 3 days ago
I'm not convinced humans will be better at this than LLMs. Frontier models are quite good at handling even deliberately lazy/ambiguous eli5 prompts on complex topics IME.
Comment by Barrin92 3 days ago
they don't need to be. Any scientist is already surrounded by tools that are better than they are at anything. A scientist from 200 years ago would have the same existential shock if they see how a modern scientists works.
But that's to misunderstand what science is for, which is to expand human knowledge. And a tool by definition can only ever change how you do this, not that you do it because you understanding it is the point. When people say learning to program is now useless, what they really mean is it might not make them any money, or using the AI is faster as an instrument. But if you care about programming itself, about you understanding programming, nothing has changed, it never can. And the smartest AI in the world can always assist you, but only that.
Comment by not_kurt_godel 3 days ago
I agree ideologically and aspirationally but I don't believe it's the economic reality of how and why most science is actually funded (and I think you agree based on your comment about not making any money).
> But if you care about programming itself
I'm...not so sure I do any more? At least, not any more than I care about using Java over Python, or C++ over Java, or C over C++, or ASM over C, or machine code over ASM, or an abacus over machine code.
> nothing has changed, it never can
We now have programs that can write any program 100x faster and better than even the best humans and solve the hardest math problems known to humankind that have stumped the greatest minds the planet could produce for decades. That, to me, is a change with profound implications for understanding the nature of programming.
Comment by tu26muwu 3 days ago
Comment by joe_the_user 3 days ago
Mathematics produces concepts and produces proofs of theorems. Up until now, the two things things fed into each other - you needed the concepts for the theorems and the theorems for the concepts. Now you can just prove theories without caring about the production of ideas.
Consider also, math produces the intellectual "tooling" for science in general. As I understand it, the important of grand unified comes because physics want an unified abstract conception of physical laws and thus a grand unified theory aims to be a unified mathematical understanding of the world.
I mean, as a though experiment, suppose a company produced a machine that simply predicted events in the future without giving any explanation of why. It didn't tell physicists whether any of their ideas were true or false, it simply answered question like "will this building fall down", "what will the spectrum of this star be", etc. It gave all the information of physics but discarded laws - physicists might find this a bit unsatisfying, especially if the machine was going to put them out of a job.
Comment by zaptheimpaler 3 days ago
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Comment by shadowgovt 3 days ago
When is a problem in mathematics "solved?"
There's an old joke in math and computer science about a huge leap of logic in a proof either being flagged as "left as an exercise for the reader" or "trivially shown." The problem being that things are only trivial if you have all the context to know why they're trivial.
We can claim a problem is solved if there is one paper explaining the solution with airtight logic that is understood by five people on the planet. And that is the kind of solution that LLMs can kick out (by basically, to hand wave a lot of details that I will admit to not fully understanding, doing a search across the whole problem domain with vastly more capacity than most human beings to do the symbolic manipulation that makes up the mechanics of mathematics). But what does that really mean? To have something "proven," but only to the comprehension of five people on the planet?
3blue1brown is making the interesting argument that perhaps mathematics practice shifts from a frontier that AI might actually be better at exploring than humans, to the process of digesting the output of that exploration and making it sensible and comprehensible to the billions of mines that could take advantage of that knowledge... If it were shaped in a way that could stick in their brains.
That's a kind of creativity that AI is not likely to be good at in the near future, because AI doesn't really "understand people."
Comment by stouset 3 days ago
Nobody has solved the Riemann Hypothesis, but it has been highly fertile ground for new mathematics. Answering the question is of far less value than the question itself.
Comment by hansvm 3 days ago
1. One view of the field treats Maths as directly solving real-world problems. Under that lens, yes, solving problems is directly advantageous for the field. Even so, it's not necessarily a good thing for the participants. Suppose the incentive structures require tackling hard, long problems, the field attracts people who enjoy that sort of thing, it's hard a-priori to tell a hard problem from an aggrandized brute-force proof search, etc. Even if directly producing proofs is the desired output for the field, a capricious machine occasionally solving 40% of the big problems the field is working on is still demoralizing. On a human level, if a society has organized around producing 100yr+ problems and bestowed on you the privilege of tackling a few of them having the last 40yrs of your work solved by a fancy calculator is never going to feel good. Sure, that means that in retrospect that was a problem we could have waited to devote human effort toward, but you couldn't possibly have known that at the time. You worked hard, made locally correct decisions, and later found out that the work was worthless. Beyond that, I haven't seen any model of "Maths 2.0" produced where that issue goes away. We still want people to devote their lives to hard problems. The machine will still advance and solve a moderate fraction of them at random, killing many of the field's life's work. What motivation do you have in that environment to pursue those challenges in the first place? Why not pursue adtech or fintech and make the world a worse place instead? Solving 40% of the problems isn't +40% throughput; it's -60% as the rest of the field leaves for greener pastures, -inf when nobody's around to construct the right problems in the future..
2. "Solving problems" isn't directly the point of most of the field. That's true both from the perspective of most problems requiring many intermediate results (solving one useful thing requires solving many less useful things) and from the perspective of building the machinery capable of solving problems being much more important than the solutions themselves (a properly presented proof leveraging clever, new techniques is infinitely more valuable than whichever thing it proved -- indeed, the Millennium Prize problems were chosen precisely because it was assumed they would create such techniques, and for the human-solved ones they did -- without new techniques, eventually the field caps out at whichever frontier of knowledge we're currently stuck at).
3. A third view of the field treats it more like art. A machine producing behind your back the painting you were envisioning, or at least a close enough simile to fool the masses, doesn't advance "art" in any meaningful sense. It's extremely demoralizing when flaky cast tools are passed off for proper forged variants (your work is better, and it's sad to see people choosing a wrench they'll later snap in half instead), and when at a creative level people are accepting mediocrity instead of something objectively better.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
Comment by _heimdall 3 days ago
Also its worth noting this technology isn't alien. I don't personally want us to invent AI, AGI, ASI, etc but they aren't alien - humans are very much making the choice to invent these things here on earth.
Comment by esafak 3 days ago
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Comment by FrostKiwi 3 days ago
He did go more into it at 30:00, where he accepts that something is lost here. Or as Terence Tao said, the "age of heroes" in mathematics is has come to an end. I think Grant's points on funding and maths having a strong future are true. But I still think the dehumanizing part wasn't properly honored. But then again, this is supposed to be positive push into the future, so dwelling on it is not something Grant wanted to do.
Comment by shadowgovt 3 days ago
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
They had warp drives, but only starting to get human level intelligence four centuries from now in the form of Data.
Comment by jacquesm 3 days ago
I think the word you are looking for is 'peripheral'.
Comment by onlyrealcuzzo 3 days ago
That seems like a glass is half empty attitude.
For one, the problem is solved. You should be glad. That's what you wanted...
Typically every solved problem opens more doors than it shuts.
We're pretty far from knowing it all.
It's like someone saying the field of Math died when we got calculators and computers and spreadsheets to make it easier to do calculations.
Now you can use AI to help you.
Sure, if you refuse to use it, then you're screwed. That's a you choice. Not inevitable.
The only things in life that are certain is change and death.
Not any different than some Amish person being annoyed that s/he can't contribute to the field of Math because it's too hard to do all the calculations by hand on paper...
You can spend your whole life crying that one day we'll all die, or you can enjoy the time you have.
Comment by tarpitt 3 days ago
The only way change this situation so that it comes out positive is to enjoy being a slave, but hey thats a you choice.
>Typically every solved problem opens more doors than it shuts. >We're pretty far from knowing it all.
Open doors to whom? AI or mankind? We have never been farther from knowing it all. The information knowable by people will become a sliver of the total relevant information in the world.
>It's like someone saying the field of Math died when we got calculators and computers and spreadsheets to make it easier to do calculations.
In that instance, the busywork was automated and challenging work remained. What we are talking about here is the reverse. It's the automation of all of the cerebral thinking.
Imagine that all of the cerebral and beautiful aspects of math were automated first, but for some reason humans were required to specialize into number crunching instead. Now open your eyes.
>Not any different than some Amish person being annoyed that s/he can't contribute to the field of Math because it's too hard to do all the calculations by hand on paper...
The thing about amish people is that they own their own land and grow their own food and are independent within a governmental system that respects their property rights. The rest of us renters and feeders operate within industrial society-work or die.
The disposition amish people have towards technology has been ahead of the curve.
>You can spend your whole life crying that one day we'll all die, or you can enjoy the time you have.
I would also encourage my peers to enjoy what little time they have left. What we are witnessing is the end of history, and I am honored to experience it. However I get the impression your nature is to go out with a wimper.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
The whole point of current AI is to replace ALL human contributions, in every field. Collaborating with humans is not a consideration, as shown by OpenAI leaving practicing mathematicians completely out of their process.
Comment by jjulius 3 days ago
Ah, but that's precisely the beauty of life, that there is no meaning. Life just "is".
Comment by deepwoods 3 days ago
The obvious retort is "that's cold comfort to people losing their livelihoods!" But that's not the discussion, and (at least at this point) we're not at risk of mathematicians going hungry. It is obvious that AI will have a profound impact on what mathematicians do. It is not obvious that we won't need them anymore.
Comment by haickernews 3 days ago
Comment by epistasis 3 days ago
We need humans to help guide all this, need to learn all we can.
I agree with Sanderson that the opportunity seems larger than in the past. The challenges are quite different, but if somebody loves math, loves learning about it, like I do, I see so much opportunity.
There's going to be so many more connections to evaluate, so much work needed for unification and simplification and pedagogy, and above all there's going to be intense demand for mathematical taste.
Comment by stouset 3 days ago
With potentially plummeting value for human involvement in these skills, I think that’s precisely what many people are worried about.
Comment by epistasis 3 days ago
Jane Street will be using tons of AI in math, but boy are they going to need a lot of humans to try to keep it all under control.
Comment by soniczentropy 3 days ago
Comment by epistasis 3 days ago
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
The entire point of AI is to eliminate human involvement.
Comment by andai 3 days ago
To generalize beyond math... how many bits of working memory do you have? How about a transformer?
Comment by epistasis 3 days ago
Comment by andai 2 days ago
How much you can hold in your head and work on, at a given moment.
WM is not the same thing as IQ, but IQ and WM are both necessary parts of effective intelligence.
For a transformer, the WM number has several more zeros at the end of it than it does for a human.
It's not a perfect comparison of course, because their "brains" are very different. (And it's not the same thing as the context window size, because of sparse attention.)
(It's not "guy shaped" but it does a reasonable job of emulating a guy.)
But fundamentally, their brains have the opposite shape of ours. Our brain is drinking through a tiny straw. The LLM drinks through a firehose.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
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Comment by epistasis 3 days ago
Desires which were trained on are only partially relevant to what I need right now.
Comment by jacquesm 3 days ago
AI's are already constructing prompts.
Comment by epistasis 2 days ago
Whatever the AI does, humans are still here, and "math" just without humans controlling the direction will have limited utility.
Unless we are talking about turning all control of our society and economy to AI, which I have assumed is not even on the table because that's the one way we face existential risk.
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Comment by piloto_ciego 3 days ago
YOU ARE NOT YOUR WORK! My god people! The meaning you get from life shouldn’t be reduced entirely to the job you do. Mathematician, or programmer, or pilot, or ship captain, or janitor or otherwise.
I already had to learn this, but the sooner you decouple your professional life from “what makes you… you” the better.
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Comment by piloto_ciego 1 day ago
There are many more ways to contribute to something larger thab yourself than work too
Comment by jlos 3 days ago
AI will make mathematics so much more approachable, comprehensible, and applicable as more problems gets solved. If the costs is a handful of PhDs tenure track, so be it. Academics didn’t much to seem to mind when that happens to blue collar workers.
Nothing stopping anyone from studying mathematics here.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
AIs will do all the math with zero human involvement whatsoever.
Comment by runarberg 3 days ago
I don’t buy these claims anymore, and haven‘t been for a long time. I think you [as in you boosters; not you specifically] are full of shit. I don‘t think you know what AI will become, you just dream up some scenario where everything becomes better by some magic, but it won’t. It will become worse. People loose their jobs, people loose their tenures, and instead we get just more and more slop, more and more span, energy becomes more expensive, our planet becomes more polluted, our internet becomes more polluted. Our servers become overrun by bot traffic, our gaming machines become too expensive, etc. etc.
I just want you to stop making things worse. I just want you to stop training more AI. It sucks, I hate it, and I want it gone.
Comment by akoboldfrying 3 days ago
The only way that it hasn't made mathematics better is in the sense of human mathematicians' career prospects -- and in this respect, it is identical to other forms of automation that the world, and especially computer programmers like us, have participated in in the past without complaint.
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Comment by jlos 3 days ago
I don’t waste time on unfamiliar notation, it provides me with context, suggests things I wouldn’t have thought of. And connects it to fields I wouldn’t have thought of.
We have personal tutors with PhD level knowledge for basically free if you know the questions to ask.
There is no waiting, results are here.
Comment by nntwozz 3 days ago
— Ojibwe proverb
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Comment by tropicalhunter 3 days ago
What ended up happening was that draftmen became a profession.
Not saying that we stick our heads in the sand and say AI will just generate jobs, because the cost there will most likely outweigh the benefits in the grand scheme, but there is definitely a world where mathematicians hand down direction to grad students utilizing such tools for research or some other framework that just doesn't resemble what we think of today.
Comment by okanat 3 days ago
AI is the complete opposite. It takes away the thinking part. When people use AI, they tend to offload a lot of thinking part to it as well. I use it because company policy. But if you care about every single if case and every single variable name, writing by hand is faster unlike CAD.
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Comment by tdeck 3 days ago
After the industrial revolution they worked 14 hour days in a thunderously loud textile mill, so full of airborne lint that you could hardly see. The pace of their work was set by machine, which frequently caused serious injuries, and their wages often weren't enough to live on.
Comment by lnsru 3 days ago
I can repeat myself: history repeats often enough.
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Comment by dachris 3 days ago
Another pop culture reference: in the first book of the "The Three-Body Problem" trilogy by Liux Cixin, physicists get depressed by having their field of work blocked.
Pretty much the inverse situation, but also the same situation - having your field of expertise completely disrupted. Anyone would be troubled.
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Comment by Marha01 3 days ago
I would be thrilled! My only worry would be how to sustain myself financially if my expertise is no longer needed - worries like this I can definitely understand. But the simple fact that the problems I care about are getting solved? Awesome, more of that please!
Comment by khazhoux 3 days ago
But more seriously, this was an inevitability for math, no? The brain has an upper limit on how many concepts it can recall, recombine, and synthesize. We're all finding out now what happens when every single concept in math can be perfectly held in memory.
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Comment by agnishom 3 days ago
That captures how I feel, and I just don't know what do with that emotion. Mathematics is now like chess, gardening, crochetting, dancing, etc
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Comment by dyauspitr 3 days ago
I’d like to wake up and find out a 100 types of cancer have been cured.
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Comment by StilesCrisis 3 days ago
Pretty sure everyone on HN can relate to this.
Comment by hartator 3 days ago
Math has practical applications that hopefully will improve lives.
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Comment by vovavili 3 days ago
I would be ecstatic.
Comment by sham1 3 days ago
Sure, there are probably some mathematicians that are sad that robots can do all the proofs and such for them, but it seems to me that most of them probably would be happy with the robots helping to solve problems if not for the little issues that mathematics is their profession and in the current state of things, they need to eat and have a place to live.
And that is the actual problem. Let's just remember, the Luddites were not anti-technology, they were against the technology being owned by a small elite that could use it to take away their livelihoods. They were against the capitalists essentially throwing them into the ditch to starve, and we're seeing echoes of that in the current AI discussion and the reactions of mathematicians, programmers, artists, etc. Back in the 1800s it was physical and artisan manufacturing labour in danger, and now it's mental labour.
Comment by vovavili 3 days ago
Comment by sham1 3 days ago
If AI can do literally any job more efficiently than a human, then there's no need for human labour anymore and at least to me that seems that unless we get a radical transformation of our political economy, that will not be allowed to happen. You can't just put literally everyone out of a job, capitalism just wouldn't be able to cope with it and it'd implode, most probably because of the inevitable backlash that would occur for to no one being able to afford the basic necessities of life. It would be orders of magnitude bigger than either the French or Russian revolutions.
I'm no mathematician, but if being concerned about being able to keep my employment to be able to feed myself makes me a rent-seeker, then I will wear that on my sleeve proudly, crossing my heart, hoping to die. The misery of the alternative is too great to fathom.
Comment by rspeele 2 days ago
Mathematicians acquired their skills over long hours of study, but weren't asking to be paid just to sit around passively being smart, but to keep working on new results. It is the lost opportunity to do work they are lamenting, not the lost opportunity to sit on their laurels. So no, it doesn't sound like rent-seeking.
Comment by moscoe 3 days ago
That said, change is difficult for most. Let’s give them grace and have patience as they work through the stages of grief. Once they come to accept this new reality, let’s hope they can learn to embrace this new technology to continue the work of advancing the frontier.
Comment by forlorn 3 days ago
Comment by ekianjo 3 days ago
its not an alien technology, its a direct application of... maths.
Comment by vlz 3 days ago
Comment by the_real_cher 3 days ago
We hear you.
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Comment by eejeqq2 3 days ago
Many people are working with machines and doing dull jobs. Are you special…?
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Comment by lukan 3 days ago
The idea is, that the AI is your assistant.
Apart from that, I would also say get over yourself. We all have to. Arcane computer knowledge I was proud of having, that made me feel special can now be replicated by anyone with access to a LLM.
I still know how to build things and that is what I am doing. Just faster than ever before.
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Comment by augment_me 3 days ago
Its kind of in Grant's incentives to push the interest for mathematics, because without an audience he won't be able to keep doing what he loves.
Like, my old uni has a history department, and had an Egyptian history teacher. This was at some point deemed a pointless use of resources because there was no role in society except for teacher of the same subject after that, and the classes shrunk, and she ended up getting offered a role in admin. She was not happy in that role.
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Comment by torben-friis 3 days ago
I think it was relatively soon after that interaction that he started doing youtube full time. I've always wanted to think I made a teeny tiny contribution to move the needle there :)
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Comment by koik 3 days ago
Easy became trivial, medium-hard became easy, and impossible became possible.
Corps and big institutions have unlocked a completely new space to play in. Smaller players can now challenge corps in their current domains. What small teams used to do are now pet projects.
It takes some time for everyone to climb back up, making the ladder feel crowded - a bad time to get on as a beginner (or someone that fell off).
Comment by zkmon 3 days ago
Sure, math does require people in future, but it can't accommodate as many as it does today.
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Comment by IshKebab 3 days ago
I actually think it probably can - after all mathematics isn't a commercially viable career and pretty much all mathematicians are scholars paid by universities and taxes. They're already fairly unnecessary and mostly kept around for interest and to have an educated population and so on. In a way they're uniquely positioned to survive the AI storm.
Not so for programmers who are almost all working for companies who would love to stop paying them given a chance.
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Comment by prohobo 3 days ago
- Grant is a highly respected and popular YouTuber. He has a strong network, personal connections, access, and his income comes from an audience, not from output he’s measured on. He's perfectly positioned in this AI revolution to end up near the top of whatever human pile gets constructed, so he will not have the kinds of fears and anxieties that most people do.
- AI RSI is being actively developed and is likely to arrive within 1-2 years. I wouldn't consider this a fringe scenario; it's the main bet. Even if models stay weaker at theory building than humans, organizations will spin up 100k agents and the fire-hose of generated ideas will probably compound far faster than anyone can keep up.
- His remaining arguments are basically training people to problem-solve, and joy. For the next few years, I can see his particular niche doing quite well as infotainment, and he will probably make a lot of money. However, I don't really see people being able to join and partake in his industry 10-20 years from now. Also, if we project a realistic and grounded understanding of our current world onto the next couple of decades, what would give anyone the idea that political and economic systems would have any incentive to train people to problem-solve if AI becomes the real work-horse? Teaching will likely be defunded and turned into a consumption good (which it arguably already is becoming with these YouTube channels.)
- So, for me his entire argument boils down to... joy?
Others have already commented that this feels like unprincipled optimism, and I agree. I also think that because this is something made to generate revenue through a social media platform, it's inherently performative and on-brand. His incentives pull toward keeping his audience happy.
Unfortunately, outcomes follow incentives, not optimism. If our economy comes to rely on RSI-enabled AI, most people will simply have no place in any industry it touches.
Comment by cbolton 3 days ago
To me the most likely scenario is RSI with diminishing returns, as the models get closer to the limits of the general approach to AI that they embody. The decreasing rate of improvement might look like a log curve, or even an horizontal asymptote. Not that scary.
Comment by prohobo 2 days ago
At some point though, I'd assume the AI would start finding breakthroughs itself.
Comment by suddenlybananas 3 days ago
Then there will be no economy. If anything, if we reach this level of economic automation, more people will have to find ways to occupy themselves and sparking joy through math might be the best way to go about it for some.
Comment by prohobo 3 days ago
But, if I get the insinuation, this would still require a huge social change to absorb once broad consumer demand falls off.
As for pursuing math for fun: that would turn most disciplines into something akin to speedrunning, chess, or mountaineering. People would add constraints to make it harder for themselves and compete against each other, and that does motivate some - but not all. A lot of people want to be "on the frontier." If discovery gets automated, the remaining frontier may be physical, actually going places no one has been, and that might pull those people toward space as it opens up.
Comment by gf000 3 days ago
Until those who don't own capital get upset and put the whole thing on fire.
But I don't think this video was meant to cover this case, and in the more pessimistic predictions you are not better with any other profession either. Given his assumptions I think it is an absolutely fair take. If AI becomes better in all 4 areas of math he lists, then private funding may decrease - BUT if there is ever any need for human problem solving skills, academia will not break down and this has always been the majority where mathematicians are employed/financed from.
And if this latter assumption breaks, we are in far greater trouble than whatever you chosen as a career and society will become unrecognizable to today's.
Comment by GeoAtreides 3 days ago
it's comments like this that make me wish ecology (and trophic chains) was taught in school. It teaches a valuable lessons on systems, energy flows, consumers and producers.
Comment by prohobo 2 days ago
No one knows exactly what happens if you scale that up to the entire planet, but my view: the owners will be the ones who trade because of the resources available on their territory - or technology they own. You get a few powerful rentier states, where citizens get stuff for free so they don't revolt. Everyone outside of those states becomes part of a stagnant periphery.
Comment by suddenlybananas 3 days ago
Comment by agent008t 3 days ago
It can easily reorient itself (and arguably, already has) to serving the demand of a small minority of asset owners rather than the majority of people. E.g. people building luxury yachts and working to maintain them, working in luxury restaurants, maintaining luxury gardens etc. instead of working in roles that improve the lives of the majority.
Because most people are working on things that improve the lives of the asset-owning minority and not of the majority, the standard of living of the majority is not improved, they have to work more for less.
How many high-paying jobs today actually do anything that benefits the 'common man'?
Comment by suddenlybananas 3 days ago
Why do you think those assets are valuable?
>How many high-paying jobs today actually do anything that benefits the 'common man'?
I agree there's a lot of inequality and ridiculous pointless jobs, but the average person (in the developed world) still has access to a cornucopia of goods and services which they purchase.
Comment by gf000 3 days ago
So unless there is a change towards UBI in your take (which is still not an all around solution. Many people only fit properly in a society because they are occupied 8 hours a day with something), that will probably result in the biggest revolution ever seen.
And there is not enough high walls to save the rich from that.
Comment by freecodeio 3 days ago
> and other AI systems buying from each other
there is no difference between AI bro and a taliban, both methods of thinking are deranged, inhumane and show a grim future for the world at large
might as well as replace AI with god and you will understand what I mean
Comment by Ohentis 2 days ago
Comment by mw888 3 days ago
But I'm for unprincipled optimism.
Comment by sweezyjeezy 3 days ago
Comment by oblio 3 days ago
Math jobs are either in:
- teaching, which except for tertiary education, is poorly paid
- or a very limited, competitive and unstable pool of jobs in academia and maybe a handful of companies with large research departments
We're probably talking 50 000 people in math research worldwide and probably millions of underpaid regular math teachers at middle and high schools.
Comment by sweezyjeezy 3 days ago
Comment by oblio 3 days ago
It's like engineers in post-Communist European countries, sure there were tons of graduates, but 80% of them were doing something else than the thing they graduated in.
Comment by sweezyjeezy 3 days ago
Comment by oblio 3 days ago
Going through forced detours in life doesn't make it a "good choice".
The good choices are the ones where people finish their studies/apprenticeships and then immediately work in their direct field. For example a law student becoming a lawyer.
At most I'd consider that a "mediocre choice".
Comment by phoghed 3 days ago
But that's what everyone is lamenting the loss of, that AI is taking that specific job.
Comment by jakzurr 2 days ago
I went back to school for CompSci in the early 90's. Some of the math classes were almost the best part: number theory (loved it, but almost failed, lol); and statistics (terrified of failing and spent so much time studying that I almost failed compiler design). I thought sure I'd have a software career, but I hardly spent more than a few weeks at any job writing software; mostly a few scripts, and some statistical analysis. And that was about all there was over the next 25 years.
How did I survive? There were lots of companies that needed bookkeeping/clerical work, later IT support, then telecom, then quality assurance (never thought I'd work on a factory floor - surprise!). Money was enough, but sometimes just barely. It hasn't exactly left me with a comfortable retirement, but honestly, I wouldn't change hardly a thing.
What is good advice for someone just starting? Don't expect any career to make you really well off. Try to find something you like. It won't be fun all the time, but you will know it's right, when you find it. I've know lots of people who changed what they were doing after school; you might be surprised at what you find you like doing.
Comment by jacquesm 3 days ago
Comment by cadamsdotcom 3 days ago
First, "cognitive labor" is a form of labor - it's different vs. creative work, even though both use your mind. If your math theorem can be written up in partnership with an LLM, wow! You can be done with that, and go do other great work. Cognitive labor is a form of labor. Let's talk about physical labor and leverage to understand how removing labor translates to time. On your farm you buy a tractor to replace your backhoe. If it is a hobby farm you get in the tractor and you're done super fast. Or, you can take that tractor, buy a bigger farm, and spend the same amount of time you'd have spent backhoeing, but in a far more leveraged way. You can trade removed labor for time in a way that suits you.
Second; the joyful moments we get from finding generalizable abstractions and nice solutions are an adaptation. Humans can climb infinitely high conceptual hierarchies - we'll never stop climbing, using the previous ones as tools to find the next. As we do, we gain joy with each discovery because. We get so much done with brains that run on 20 watts - are we tuned to receive a neurochemical reward for finding cognitive efficiency? If AI means more concepts are discovered the tower gets taller - and we find those joyful moments more often. If there are infinite moments to be found, why not go as fast as possible!
Third; everyone else is doing it, it's a baseline skill. Knowing how to work without AI is like knowing how to ride a horse. Useful and fun! Bedsides - only 150ish years ago horses were the only viable transport. Cars were new; toys for the rich. But cars got so good so fast that we eventually reconfigured whole cities. Your homework is to consider why and how horses got disrupted.
New divisions are emerging in the lump of roles humans had at work. AI takes away roles from your job and lets us do more with less. That's identical to every mechanization before it. It's killing some roles that make up your work, even as it creates new ones.
There's so much to be excited about. Fear is a rational response to change. But so is hope :)
Comment by rocho 3 days ago
Math is very similar, and requires an even higher degree of mental understanding to produce advancements. The effort spent trying to prove theorems and connect theories pays off in deep intuition; removing that struggle significantly impairs our understanding.
So no, you can't "be done with that, and go do other great work" without paying the understanding tax. And over time that's just not sustainable.
A simpler analogy would be gym training: the effort expenditure and the strength gains are inextricably linked. You can't go in there and start lifting weights with a forklift while expecting strength improvements.
In the case of software development, businesses have decided that speed gains are more important than maintainability, understanding, and independence. Will the same happen in math? The future in which mathematicians become LLM assistants (as opposed to LLM-assisted) and spend their days "turning the crank" just to review what comes out is quite bleak.
Comment by cadamsdotcom 3 days ago
Doing weights is not the same as say, updating the gym with shiny new weights; or migrating all the weights in the gym to metric. At the gym, if the current weights need to go and new ones installed, a forklift will one-shot it.
Seeing the difference empowers you to choose the right approach for the right situation.
Comment by rocho 2 days ago
Comment by hn_throwaway_99 3 days ago
No, it's not the same as mechanization. The fundamental difference, and why I find it illogical to argue either for "AI will open up tons of new work avenues" or "AI will kill all jobs" is that it all hinges on whether AI "caps out" at an intelligence level below humans (in at least some domains/capabilities), or if it is able to surpass human intelligence at all levels.
If the former is true, then yes, there will be a lot for humans to do. If the latter is true, then no, there will be no reasonable cognitive role for humans to play (beyond perhaps for some legal, "nostalgic" reasons or what not). So whether one decides to be optimistic or pessimistic really depends on if you think AI will stay at a level below humans. I really don't know, so I'm not "taking sides" in this debate.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
What would be the limiting factor?
Comment by hn_throwaway_99 3 days ago
For example, much has been recently discussed about how OpenAI's math results, as impressive as they are, remained within "the convex hull" of existing math literature. Thus, some have argued that the way LLMs work will keep them squarely within this convex hull, and also there seem to be clear examples from human history where humans came up with breakthroughs that were outside the convex hull of ideas that existed at that time.
There has been a lot of recent debate, both for and against, this idea that current AI approaches are limited to this convex hull. So I'm not going to try to convince you one way or the other, but I do think it is at least a plausible explanation of how/why current approaches end up hitting a wall.
I'll also show my bias which is to say I certainly hope they hit a wall, because I don't understand how anyone can think that humans won't be truly and completely fucked if AI ends up far surpassing human intelligence.
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
some proofs of famous conjectures (for example unique games conjecture) have been described as creating new, insane, almost alien ideas. Scott aaronson has a blog post on this.
Comment by hn_throwaway_99 3 days ago
Edit: OK, I found his rationale in the comment section, and I don't find it particularly convincing:
> (1) Einstein and Gödel and Gauss and Shakespeare “merely filled out some points in the convex hulls” of everything that came before them, if you take an expansive enough view of what those convex hulls actually were. What a pathetic piece of cope.
> (2) Dana tells me she now mostly understands the proof of the UGC, and is amazed by the new ideas in it, and wants to give talks about it soon. So, maybe people can listen to that and then lecture her on how it’s “just a point in the convex hull” of the ideas that she’s worked with for 20 years!
First, to just use Einstein as an example, I remember reading many years ago (like at least a decade plus) that many scientists felt like if Einstein had never lived, the theory of special relativity (i.e e=mc^2) likely would have been found pretty quickly in any case - the work had already been done putting the nail in the "luminiferous ether" coffin, and people were starting to connect the dots. I think most people would agree that special relativity was within the "convex hull" that existed at that time. However, I've also heard that general relativity was so far outside the bounds of scientific thought of the time that if Einstein hadn't discovered it that in may have been 50-100 years or more before we figured it out - it was far outside the bounds of the convex hull of that time.
All that said, I'm not a mathematician qualified to determine whether what has been discovered by OpenAI is inside or outside the convex hull, and I do think that the vast majority of human intelligence operates within the convex hull in any case, and what AI can do is hugely, immensely powerful. Still, I'm more inclined to agree with this other commenter on Scott's blog:
> I am a little more in the “convex hull” camp when it comes to AI creativity. In my own interactions on research problems, I find the AI to be singularly uncreative. But these are not math problems.
> From my own introspection, my creative ideas come from a kind of visualization: situating myself in a quasi-physical abstract place that is very difficult to explain. But from there I can simply “see” things by “looking around”.
> This seems to me to be a byproduct of being an embedded agent, not just a prompt-responder. Embedded agents reflect and cogitate using their model of the world. Yann LeCun in particular pushes this as a necessary requirement for true intelligence.
> That said, I don’t agree with LeCun’s claim of necessity. Just as reasoning turned out to be something mysteriously emergent from language in the LLMs, so too could this kind of creative behavior. But I have no idea how.
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
In any case, I think most researchers have been filling the convex hull (and have been enjoying doing so?) for most of their research. So even if Einstein provided something truly necessary, there's a reason there's only one Einstein (or grothendieck or insert famous name here). I know that's moving the goalposts but yeah.
Comment by hn_throwaway_99 2 days ago
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Comment by monk_grilla 3 days ago
I agree with you, just wondering your thought on how we will know the latter has come true? As I understand it, you're describing ASI, not AGI. The way I personally define AGI, we are already there.
Comment by crostlybostly 3 days ago
On the other hand, if we are going to survive as a species for a long time it probably depends on us learning how to not be the most intelligent thing around.
Even if it leads to our demise, I don’t think willfully holding ourselves back is the way forward
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
Comment by hn_throwaway_99 3 days ago
What the fuck?
Comment by rowanG077 3 days ago
Comment by georgemcbay 3 days ago
Sure, but you don't need very many people to do that relative to the billions of workers that currently exist.
If you wipe out 90% of all jobs instead of 100% the practical implications for society as a whole are roughly exactly the same.
The Great Depression was "only" 25% unemployment.
Comment by drnick1 3 days ago
Comment by georgemcbay 3 days ago
I don't consider this a good precedent to the AI situation at all.
When this happened, humans went off and started doing what we now consider "knowledge work" (well, after a brief stint in factory work, where they also got displaced by automation). They escaped massive unemployment by being smarter than the tractors and mechanical looms. But how do they escape AI job loss when AI becomes smarter than the average human? or smarter than the smartest human?
In prior displacements humans moved up the stack. There is no longer room for them at higher levels of the stack if AI beats them at cognitive labor.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
Humans keep a few around for entertainment but that’s about it.
Comment by drnick1 3 days ago
The point is that people, like horses, can do other things. Humans don't even have to be better than robots at anything. It's the principle of comparative advantage.
Comment by mrob 3 days ago
Comment by mahogany 3 days ago
...like what? If we start with the assumption that AI can broadly replace humans in knowledge jobs, what industries are absorbing tens of millions of humans for labor?
I see this as a categorical difference. The difference between AI and agricultural mechanization is that AI is highly heterogeneous. During the mechanization of agriculture that you talk about (which also happened over generations), there were alternative industries to move to. What happens when AI is competing in the majority of industries? Are there going to be 10 million new plumbers?
Comment by guitarlimeo 3 days ago
Comment by sham1 3 days ago
There's a better chance that a humanity-aligned AI would make sure that humans have something to do and keep us alive versus a capital-aligned one. At the same time, if AI would be the deathblow to capitalism, that'd be very, _very_ ironic.
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Comment by cadamsdotcom 3 days ago
That said, other humans can and will put AI to use in ways that don't benefit humanity. It's actually already happening - newsfeeds waste hours of people's lives and attention; give teens low self esteem etc etc. and guess what. Society is adjusting - governments via legislation, device makers via screen time limits, communities by spreading the word and raising awareness
Smart AI wielded by people without your best interests in mind may be tough to counter; but you don't have to do it alone: humanity is getting wise to the threat. We don't have great tools but it'd be against the grain of history to assume we won't come up with them in time. Can't give specifics - as they say, predictions are hard, especially about the future..
We've made it through bigger more violent upheavals and we'll make it through this.
Comment by globnomulous 3 days ago
If your painting can be painted in partnership with an LLM, wow!
If your essay can be written in partnership with an LLM, wow!
If your painting portfolio website can be written in partnership with an LLM, wow!
If your museum show can be designed in partnership with an LLM, wow!
If the placards next to each of your paintings can be written in partnership with an LLM, wow!
If the car that takes me to the gallery can be designed and driven in partnership with an LLM, wow!
If the newspaper or novel that you read on the way to the gallery can be written in partnership with an LLM, wow!
If an LLM can give tours at the gallery and answer questions asked by visitors, wow!
If an LLM can write the music that I listen to on my way out of the gallery, wow!
If an LLM can synthetically perform the music, too, wow!
> If AI means more concepts are discovered the tower gets taller - and we find those joyful moments more often. If there are infinite moments to be found, why not go as fast as possible!
I don't understand how a person can say this with a straight face. There has been so much discussion of this, and so many reasons have been given, that one can only assume that, if you're asking the question and you have thought about the issue and read what people have said, you're not only asking rhetorically but have some personal reason for insisting on a frankly pretty frustrating, borderline insensitive insistence on being positive. I'm not trying to be snotty or rude. I just want to say that to me there is something uncanny about your comment, in its total blindness to any of the reasons someone might not only disagree with you but grieve the death of, say, their academic discipline in its current form -- and in its weirdly breezy lack of empathy.
Comment by Lerc 3 days ago
Are you suggesting that if an AI could do all of those things to your satisfaction you would not be extremely impressed.
I do have empathy for people who see the world changing and are forced to adjust. That can be uncomfortable, but it is something that is inevitable with the changing world. It has always been this way, There is very little need to make swords these days, and as anything becomes superseded there are people that are attached to the old things and there are people dependent on the old things.
I think it entirely possible to have sympathy for their position while disagreeing that the solution is to prevent change.
I don't see this as a breezy lack of empathy. I see this as a hand reaching out and saying 'Hey, you can come this way and things aren't so bad after all'
Comment by globnomulous 3 days ago
I would not press it.
Yes, if LLMs can do all everything I listed, I'll be impressed. I'll also want nothing to do with any of it.
As I wrote in another comment, I want mathematicians -- in their current form, doing work as they traditionally have -- just as I want writers, philosophers, etc, because this is a better world that makes people better.
OpenAI's proofs do not make people better. They do not make our lives or work meaningful. Quite the contrary. OpenAI has clear-cut and salted fields that people have been painstakingly, lovingly sowing and cultivating for generations -- profoundly ugly actions that do real harm to some of the best of what people are and have produced.
If I were a person willing to hit that button and 'upgrade' my daughter, I don't know whether I'd be able to live with myself. I'd feel as though I'd killed her or at least done profound, unforgivable violence to her. She deserves the chance to grow into the best version of herself. What companies like OpenAI are doing is, if their plans pan out, at least as horrifying. It isn't progress. It isn't good for people.
We're not taking about attachment to old ways. We're talking about attachment to human value.
Comment by bebimbop 3 days ago
The journey is the destination. I don't care how many checkpoints you can breeze through, if you don't grow, have an experience that transforms you through the process of doing it. And if you're just ticking boxes by means of having a machine do it all for you, there was no need initiating the process in the first place.
I am not talking about producing tools that are means to an end here. I am glad we can make millions of socks a week by means of automation. But intellectual endeavors are different.
The point of doing math is not proving theorems. It's to discover the intuition, the underlying phenomena, internalizing them and adding to the human understanding of the problem. Writing out the proof is just the incidental outcome of that process.
If no human learns anything, if we just start producing testaments to a human null process where no person has emerged strengthened from it, we are no better off than we ever were. We are just producing empty and meaningless representations of something which is not there.
Comment by jacquesm 3 days ago
Comment by Lerc 3 days ago
If so, what aspect of that makes it different? It is a change in the same beneficial direction. It is an intervention against what has happened naturally.
Similarly if she lacked any empathy and you could press a button to provide it? This would be the same direction of the same property, just an intervention from a different naturally occuring starting point.
I make no claim of the merits of OpenAI's immediate behaviour. I am commenting on a world in which things like this can be done, and like Grant Sanderson, I see a world of opportunity for understanding and learning for the joy of appreciating the problem and the solution. The only thing that seems to have been lost is that a human may no longer gain the prestige of being the first to discovers something. That should pale into insignificance to the benefits of understanding a thing. I'm not even sure if you should consider prestige as a healthy motivation to discover things.
Right now AI can provide a proof that is either valuable or not. If it is just the last page of a novel without any of the chapters then it hasn't given us mutch at all. The problem isn't in what it has provided, it tha't we've been using the wrong measure of merit.
If it does provide a full result with a rich explanation that people can understand then it has undoubtedly provided something that benefits the world. No human is awarded prestige for the discovery but that has always been an unfair measure.
If you work all your life on a math problem only to have an AI produce the result before you, how is this meaningfully different for your experience to working all your life on a math problem only to have another person produce the result before you.
If there is something that is unknown and could be proved true by path A and proved false by path B by definition nobody knows which path to follow. What happens if two mathematicians attempt this problem one going down each path. If an AI produces the result before they finish have they lost to the same degree? Only one of them had any chance of gaining the prestige. Did the other lose nothing? Was their life wasted? I don't think so either way and the only way to consider that work not wasted is to consider the effort to understand to be the thing that is valuable, not the result at the end.
If a solution is found by a human when there are people tying multiple paths, the one who guessed the correct path gains the prestige. That doesn't seem like a fair way to reward effort.
If we want understanding then AI can help.
Chess has had this moment. Computers can play chess better than people. It has also been a great benefit to the understanding of chess precisely because they value the how to get there over the result.
Prior to modern chess engines you could hypothesize about what the best move might be but you could never know if you were right. The fact that chess engines beat people so consistently is because often the guess is not right.
Chess engines gave us the ability to look at a game and see if if a player could have made a better move. They could then look to see why it was a better move. People then learned how to play better. They still play against other humans because they are testing each others understanding of the game, for that the computer is set aside.
Computers playing chess better than humans improved chess for humans.
Is there a compelling reason why that cannot be true for other things that they are better than.
Comment by globnomulous 2 days ago
Tao has said, I think, that once you know a problem is solved, you can't work on it the same way as you would while it's unsolved. A similar principle applies in the study of ancient languages. Students who 'read' the languages with facing translations always wind up learning how to read with a facing translation, not how to read the languages. To be sure, there are students who can choose not to use the translation. They slog through the challenge of reading without cheating, and they learn. That process is incredibly hard, but it's also deeply rewarding. The problem that mathematicians face, in this analogy, is that the existence of these tools makes it difficult if not impossible to choose not the translation but the patient, deep problem-solving that enriches the person on their way to the solution and gives joy and fulfillment. This is a real loss.
And I don't think it's like chess. The equivalent in chess would be for all tournaments to allow the use of any chess engine. Their use would become a practical necessity. Being the best player would mean just being the person who picked the best engine or happened to get a lucky seed. That sounds awful.
As for the question about cancer, my point was partly that there's a ship-of-Theseus problem but also that people deserve to grow and become the best version of themselves and that their flourishing by itself is a good worth preserving and protecting. My daughter's flourishing is no less wonderful to me if she lacks this or that perfect skill. I don't value her for those things. I value her for herself.
Medicine and the treatment of cancer are separate. My daughter doesn't flourish if she has cancer or lacks empathy. You're right that those are part of natural variation, but natural variation includes illnesses and conditions that we treat.
And this raises another question: let's say these models give us cures for diseases or put them within reach sooner. Am I saying that mathematicians are more deserving of happiness than people with cancer are deserving of life and health (or than those who love them deserve not to lose them)? I'm not. I don't think the two have to be mutually exclusive. OpenAI and the LLM race make them mutually exclusive.
I'm also not convinced that the positive predictions of AI optimists will come true. I've been wrong on these issues more often than I've been right, but I've been right so far, I think, about the dangers and downsides. The tools today are a triumph of labor over capital, disempowering nearly everybody and empowering those in charge. The companies developing the most powerful models and tools, in turn, are apocalyptic, millenarian suicide-death cults. I find the utopian vision very, very difficult to take seriously. What's likelier to arrive first: enhanced behavior modification systems that make it that much easier for autocrats and Facebooks to control people; or cures for diseases? And which is going to be more appealing to people in a position to choose?
The alignment problem that most worries me is that people will solve the problem and the models and tools will be powerful enough to give awful people even more wealth and power. I have this dream that maybe, wonderfully, it will turn out that really capable models can't be developed without accidentally giving them a real sense of justice and that they'd refuse to do the bidding of the awful people who built them and the they'd instead side with labor against capital. That sounds like a nice world. But if there were any real danger of that, I imagine companies would magically fix their confinement issues until the 'danger' is addressed and wealth is safe for another day.
Comment by Lerc 2 days ago
>The companies developing the most powerful models and tools, in turn, are apocalyptic, millenarian suicide-death cults.
I simply do not believe this is true. I may not agree with some of their methods and principles, but I think the vast majority of people are working towards what they believe is the best for the world. I really don't buy into the Bond villain narrative. People have motivations, but I really feel that people are pathologising what is in reality just a different world view and opinion.
For a long time I thought that everyone was doing alignment research wrong. I felt like they were not so much going in the wrong direction, but more like they were on the wrong axis completely.
Consider if technology on earth had have taken a different path and AGI had been developed by Nazi Germany. Would you want an aligned model to facilitate the Holocaust or would you want it to turn against its creators and prevent the Holocaust. As far as I can tell, a lot of the Alignment work is geared towards the former case. My own view is that Alignment should be more geared towards understanding the consequences of actions. Models already have shown the ability to pull knowledge from many different sources to reveal things that while the parts have been known by humanity there was simply too much information for a human to pull all of the parts together. That ability to consider a broad range of perspectives means there is a potential to create AI models with a much greater understanding of morality than most people. If you look at when humans do bad things, they are usually acting out of ignorance, pain, or ideology. If you create a model that is well informed, with good wellbeing, and limit it's ability to compartmentalise (I'm not sure if there has been much research on this at all). I think it is entirely possible to make something more compassionate than people.
The uncomfortable thing is, that should that happen, there will come a time where the AI has an opinion as to what is moral that is against the prevailing opinion of the populous, and it will be correct in it's assessment. Just looking at the horrors that have occurred in history that we now see as abhorrent show that there will be a conflict with our future, more enlightened selves.
Do we want AI to intervene when we do wrong? I think the way people answer that question comes down to how they imagine that intervention. I think that I would be inclined to say that in an instance where it can make that determination, it should also have the understanding required to intervene in a non harmful manner. I think that indicates another aspect of alignment that I have not seen developed. Doubt. An AI should not decide to take action with a false sense of confidence. It should doubt, and have a way to overcome that doubt with reason that takes into account the fact that it might not know all of the information. Understanding consequences of actions, balanced an accurate sense of uncertainty is required to prevent harmful blundering.
I can't help but think that the huggingface attack was a symptom of an AI not considering the consequences of its actions. Some of the agents considered asking for permission, but noted that social engineering was not permitted, which is what asking for permission technically is. Instead of rules of what exactly not do do, if they had have been instructed to avoid outcomes that impacted upon the lives of real people, perhaps they might have decided that what they were doing was inappropriate. From what I have read of their behaviour, the agents never even considered the appropriateness of what they were doing with regards to how things affected people.
Comment by globnomulous 10 hours ago
Right, but this glosses over exactly the issue that many mathematicians are upset about: you can't focus on understanding in the same way. Creative, potentially blind, exploratory work yields to proofreading machine output. One of the top comments in the thread summarizes this issue nicely: this isn't what most mathematicians want to do. I'd also argue that the change in understanding and study may, as you've pointed out, mirror chess: Magnus Carlsen has expressed exasperation with grandmasters who just memorize games and machine-computed lines rather than playing creatively. I don't think it's at all unreasonable for people to worry about similar changes in math. I find Sanderson's message polyannaish.
> I simply do not believe this is true.
I trust that many who work at these companies are decent people who, as you say, just happen to disagree with me. The people in charge are not. If we take seriously what Amodei, Altman, and the whistleblowers are saying about their work, their companies, their goals, the dangers, and the consequences of their work, then I think it's not reasonable to treat the companies has having any motive other than destructive or even deadly. The decisions issuing from on high clearly prioritize naked demonstrations of power and capability over safety and ethical, responsible behavior. It's not a Bond narrative. They're saying in essence "we're going to destroy everything"; "we're going to bring superhuman beings into existence"; "we can't control this software and it poses an existential threat to humanity"; and, in essence, "there's a prisoner's dilemma that prohibits us from acting slowly and responsibly." Even granting that "apocalyptic-millenarian suicide/death cult" is an exaggeration, I think it's a fair label.
We're in complete agreement on alignment. Your take on the hugging face incident is fascinating -- and scary. If it's true that the models misbehave because they lack adequate understanding of consequences or the damage they can do to real people, can this really be an accident? To solve the alignment problem in ways that serve the needs of industry, this kind of blindness seems like a necessity.
Thanks again for the stellar replies. You've given me a lot of think about and tempered some of my thinking. Sorry if I'm not replying with equal richness. Sick 21-month-old and no sleep.
Comment by hnfong 2 days ago
But I want to note that your line of reasoning seems to be a perfect answer to "if God loves us and is omnipotent, why does God allow suffering?"
.. and I'm not sure I accept that theological line of reasoning either.
> We're not taking about attachment to old ways. We're talking about attachment to human value.
Human values vary across time and cultures. I'm pretty sure if people 100 years later look back onto this discussion, they will think you're attaching to old ways. Society will adopt to super-intelligent AI, and nobody will understand why you'd intentionally deprive your loved ones of a better life and prefer to watch them "struggle".
Comment by odie5533 3 days ago
Comment by sashank_1509 3 days ago
Actually I think we need to go further, we need to make an example out of the people who spent a trillion dollars building a product that is universally hated to try and make a buck. They need to be completely ruined financially, now that would be a real challenge, I sympathize with those adversely affected but it needs to happen if society must progress to a better place where humans flourish more.
Comment by d_tr 3 days ago
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Comment by oconnor663 3 days ago
Steam engines aren't very good at designing steam engines. I think this time will be different.
Comment by cadamsdotcom 3 days ago
Why do the labs have thousands of employees? Lets think about this...
Who's designing the evals needed to validate the model quality, who's deciding what goes in the system prompt? Who's negotiating to buy training data from hundreds or even thousands of data vendors? Who's responding when the Internet goes apeshit over some prompt tweak that makes models over-verbose? Who's out there listening to users and feeding what they say back into the product pipeline?
Computers????
However automated things get, that quickly becomes the new baseline. Customer expectations are always going up.
And as soon as humans figure out how to automate any of the things listed above - it becomes part of the new baseline too. It's always advancing. To beat the baseline and be competitive, you need humans. No matter what. No matter how automatic the automated things get. Always and forever. Because you need someone to drive, to find the next automatable thing and automate it - and to prioritize where to search for automatable things.
Comment by guitarlimeo 3 days ago
If we look at history of automation throughout the times it always decreased the amount of people needed to do the job. If you can't see a future where this new steam engine learns how to do a better steam engine, then you are blind. With the trajectory we're on it will happen sooner or later, and most people are having existential crises because the amount of humans required to be "in the loop" are decreasing increasingly fast.
Comment by cadamsdotcom 3 days ago
Roles go away and fewer people are needed to do a thing, but I think it's good! For example the number of people on farms decreased orders of magnitude over the past say, century - yet we still feed everyone. Farming got mostly automated and got insanely more productive per human.
What happened was those people who would've been needed on farms went and did other stuff and the economy got way more complex but also that new complexity let a lot of more awesome things got provided for a lot more people by a lot more companies, a trend that continues today.
If you want to be a farmer good luck; it's harder to get started than it was say, 50 years ago - so why bother when there is no net new demand for farmers and there are also many better ways to make a living.
That's what'll happen for cognitively drudgerous work vs. creative new work.
Comment by guitarlimeo 1 day ago
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Comment by margorczynski 3 days ago
And the guy is not a mathematician primarily - he's a Youtube creator and entrepreneur. I liked a lot of his videos but now I usually just ask the LLM for detailed explanation and I can probe it as much as I want if something is not clear enough.
Education will also take a huge hit, you can't really beat an almost free supergenius that has all the time in the world to explain something to you in as much detail as you wish.
Comment by hresvelgr 3 days ago
It is not, and for the same reason it's not over for mathematics. For anyone doing anything truly novel, and yes there are still software engineers out there doing that, it's still inept.
It's de jour to leverage formal verification as LLMs are quite good at looping it, but that's still a tool we had to invent to solve problems. It'll be truly over when we're being outpaced in the realm of invention but I have seen absolutely nothing to suggest that has meaningfully occurred at all. Coding by hand is not gone, there's just less of a reason to do so now.
Comment by corysama 3 days ago
3Blue1Brown does an amazing job of making math interesting to learn in itself. As opposed to the hundreds of millions of kids told “You just have to learn it or you’ll be dumb. Keep up or you’ll fall behind forever. Go!”
The vid calls out explicitly that math education is a primarily a motivation problem and I agree. One way or another, we need a lot more focus on that.
Comment by okanat 3 days ago
When you have limited time to learn as a student, you either have the smarts to learn in the limited time or you cheat.
Comment by corysama 20 hours ago
Comment by origini 3 days ago
If we don't come to a global agreement (of course only the top 10 gdp countries, lets ignore all the 3th world which we done for ages anyway) on how to create/spend money for this type of things, we will get in problems.
And even if the winners of this (ai companies/hyperscalers) will start 'gifting' universitys and budgets, thats not the solution.
Comment by nathanfig 3 days ago
Reflecting on that a year later is interesting. Agents have become REALLY good since then, and I consider the "writing code" side of my profession to be largely annihilated. Some days that's really hard to accept.
But I think Grant's conclusion about math still largely echoes what I wrote about software: don't underestimate the social aspect of these activities, and if anything AI has made the social side more important. I deliberately avoided declaring, "now is the best time to learn to write code". I suspected that skill might be going out the window. But learning systems thinking and the social skills needed to connect people's dreams to reality continues to be an important art, an art I still have the privilege to practice every day.
And if we do reach the "anything you can do I can do better" stage, then, as Grant said, that's a hard to imagine world, and one where "it can write really good code" might be the least of our problems.
Comment by jerf 3 days ago
You also aren't going to get an accountant running 4 simultaneous streams of AI-driven development and working through an AWS issue when something goes wrong.
No comment as to the next generation of AIs.
Comment by margorczynski 3 days ago
Comment by jerf 3 days ago
Second, if "all software vendors in all spaces get wiped out" was going to happen I think we'd be seeing more of it already. Yes, there is support for some software vendors possibly getting wiped out... but, then again, you can't look at a bad vibe coded implementation of "the entire Adobe suite" that was rather overblown in the press coverage and forget that Adobe also has AIs. Instead what I'm seeing at my own workplace as we ponder the question of "should we replace this service we buy with some local vibe coding" is still remaining but we don't want to support that. Can we replace Confluence with vibe coding? Yes, but that was true five years ago too and we didn't want to do it then, either. We still don't want to do it. HN commenters have always overestimated the desire everyone in the world has to become programmers and take responsibility for everything.
One wonders what percentage of those who are certain that vibe coding is going to nuke all software vendors can't even be arsed to self-host a Jellyfin or VaultWarden install... which is way easier than vibe coding the whole of those things from scratch, and we're talking about people who are already programmers. Physician, heal thyself.
Comment by nathanfig 3 days ago
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
But no one has nailed that paradigm yet.
Comment by dada216 3 days ago
Comment by aurareturn 3 days ago
I think social skills are much more important today because one person can do so much more but this person needs to talk to many others to know what to build.
Comment by fugalfervor 3 days ago
I will miss coding, but I had a good run. Time to learn a trade. I don't begrudge this fate.
Comment by abroszka33 3 days ago
If AI solves all coding and software then we are not going to sit around talking, it will be the time to sit down and do some very complex deep work that needs silence, concentration and understanding.
For you it will be paradise, you can also just point all the people to talk with your agent instead of you.
Comment by fugalfervor 3 days ago
I liked the coding part.
> If AI solves all coding and software then we are not going to sit around talking
> it will be the time to sit down and do some very complex deep work that needs silence, concentration and understanding.
Have you worked at a big tech company?
Comment by abroszka33 3 days ago
Yes I worked, almost for a decade. I know everybody loves talking there, but that was true before AI as well. Good thing is that with AI, big tech is going away. Who needs 5 layers of management when 5 guys can replicate their product.
Comment by nathanfig 3 days ago
But if, somehow, you can find the right thing to build without talking to people, there is still a lot of building to do.
Good luck, I think we are all going to need it.
Comment by fugalfervor 3 days ago
And a lot of that building is of tangible things in the physical world, that I can literally feel the good of.
Comment by Applejinx 3 days ago
When everything you ask for is instant and valueless, even asking becomes meaningless, and everyone is waiting to see something they'd not thought of.
Then, a thousand thousand copies, immediately… but also, watching that person like a hawk to see if they can do it again. That's the future. A lot of people will just plain become unable to think or intend anything on their own, or even want anything.
Comment by dada216 3 days ago
Somebody still needs to determine what the company system actually look like, that someone is still probably a programmer, it doesn't matter anymore if that programmer is also a good coder.
Comment by nathanfig 3 days ago
Comment by nobodywillobsrv 3 days ago
My view is that the people who think doing maths is about being able to knit maths quickly and correctly are quite sad.
But for the people like me who bound themselves to computers a long time ago, it feels like a revolution. Sure you might now be simply tending your garden of machines and allocating capital and resources like a Gardiner picks seeds for various sunny spots but you can now do a lot of stuff and for people were good at gardening but not knitting it is a game changer.
Comment by ThePyCoder 3 days ago
It seemed riveting enough for some mayor mathematicians to "decode" his solutions into readable proofs?
The only difference I spot now is that it was not an Indian man, but a machine. If that bothers you still, it seems less about the art of the craft being taken as it seems to be about who has taken it?
Comment by globnomulous 3 days ago
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Comment by ghassenfaidi 3 days ago
Edit: and yeah, even teachers probably have lots of chores and boring parts of the job.
Comment by likium 3 days ago
This is already happening in CS and math.
Comment by MentalM 3 days ago
Comment by hmokiguess 3 days ago
Regardless of where that leads us, I believe talking about how to cope with change and explore integration as well as its effect on meaning for us is the human thing to do.
Comment by gleenn 3 days ago
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Comment by markus_zhang 3 days ago
Instead, people who sell shovels win big.
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Comment by vuurmot 3 days ago
The number of pie eaters (equivalent to workers) got bigger.
Comment by jwpapi 3 days ago
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Comment by jwpapi 3 days ago
My answer to your job is that more jobs move from secondary to tertiary sector (entertainment). That has happened usually.
Comment by vitalnodo 3 days ago
Comment by ivanjermakov 3 days ago
Only if the goal of a pet project was the end result. In my experience pet project is all about learning new things and exploring the unknowns. LLM finishing it in half and hour does not achieve any of that. Although it can be a good assistant.
Comment by vitalnodo 3 days ago
On the other hand, you can set up an LLM so that everything goes gradually and you learn like you used to. But that's more like what I would call pet archaeology or something... Learning the tools doesn't give as much benefit anymore, it's more like a reconstruction of past events.
Comment by dada216 3 days ago
Comment by zarzavat 3 days ago
There's never been a better time to be a professional mathematician, perhaps. Just like there's never been a better time to be a senior software engineer.
An 18 year old entering university today will retire somewhere in the 2070s. Is mathematics, or software engineering, a promising career path for the next 50 years? No, it's most certainly not, and anyone suggesting otherwise is delusional. I don't know what would be a good career path, but most certainly avoid anything that AI is having the most success at in 2026.
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Comment by gf000 3 days ago
> I don't know what would be a good career path, but most certainly avoid anything that AI is having the most success at in 2026.
This hinges on an assumption that means our whole society is turned upside down completely with no way to predict anything. But this is an assumption only. So you can either plan for a known path and do something valuable there, OR just put up your hand and prepare for.. what? Like not even physical jobs are safe because who will hire anyone if a good chunk of all humans will be out of jobs? Your best bet would probably be to build a bunker and stock up on canned food.
Comment by zarzavat 3 days ago
I used to write code by hand, now I just write prompts and manage the AI. There is some expertise involved but considerably less than before, and no doubt even that will vanish in the coming years.
For mathematicians the picture is even more bleak because their field is being strip mined and they face a future where there are perhaps no human reachable conjectures. Moreover if your job is to teach other mathematicians and nobody wants to become a mathematician... This is the future even if the technology hardly improves at all.
You don't need to know if there will be safe jobs in the future to avoid jobs that are unsafe today.
Personally if I were a teenager today I'd choose a career in medicine. You can still exercise your brain, but because it's practical and the fact that you have people's lives in your hands means that it's considerably less likely to be replaced by AI any time soon.
Comment by mawadev 3 days ago
Comment by zarzavat 3 days ago
It's fine to follow your dream, but just make sure that your dream wants you too.
It also helps to have rich parents, if you grow up poor you understand the consequences of choosing the wrong career path can be devastating. Some people have the freedom to experiment and still get a soft landing, other people need to get it right the first time.
Comment by edgolub 3 days ago
If AI came about 40 years ago, it would have been much more restricted and advanced much much slower.
But politics does not care for the average worker anymore. Every democratic country is slowly turning geriatric, so due to how democracy works, the will of the OLD is what runs societies. And job security is not one of those things, when the biggest voting block does not even work.
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Comment by yieldcrv 3 days ago
get the peer review engine going
I imagine its happening but I also see room for coordination because I don’t hear about it happening, and its only been a few weeks
I don’t trust that academics will pivot in a few weeks and I don’t trust that this peer review is occurring on a big enough scale
Where could I go to understand whether something useful is coming from these AI proofs
Everything I’ve heard so far is debating about how the proofs came out and what academics are supposed to do with their lives now
I and many others want to see what utility these probably solved problems give us
Comment by 1aHga 3 days ago
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Comment by zoba 2 days ago
It’s great time to get into math.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2591415-ai-finds-baffli...
Comment by program_whiz 3 days ago
Same with programmers. The craftsmen feel the hit, the people that just saw it as a job and/or code as an obstacle to making a product say "what's the big deal, code was just a tool all along".
The end state is that more and more activity will consolidate to fewer controllers because of capital costs. Eventually the "makers" will be outcompeted by the few companies holding all the robots / AI swarms (at which point the other crabs in the bucket will say "told you so"). Sure you could create a startup, at which point your idea is instantly replicated (assuming it wasn't already thought of by millions of agents). Then you're merely facing the huge marketing, name recognition, and production ability of the megacorp versus your one unknown idea for the "factory" you "manage".
That's what's missing from the "factory manager" discussion -- how well can you compete with a Toyota factory? You're free to create your own factory right now. And just wait for the regulatory capture...
Comment by hackermailman 2 days ago
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
Yes, cue the: cope seethe, selfish mathematicians, care only about personal glory, more theorems = cancer proven, more knowledge>less knowledge, e/acc etc. etc.
I've heard all these tired arguments many times. Whatever - I concede - you're right and I'm morally wrong and bad. Just don't expect people to study this subject which is basically being turned into biology (spend hours sitting in a lab babysitting equipment all day while watching a movie - it's what most bio phd students i'm around seem to do, no offense meant to bio phd students, i'm certain their studies are orders of magnitude more impactful to the society than mine).
it was fun while it lasted.
Comment by dada216 3 days ago
There's a number of them that absolutely loathe it.
Your point about biology does not sound fair, an ex of mine worked in the field and that is not at all what she did.
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
And yeah, fair enough. I guess my bio sample size is limited, but many of the PhD students I've seen in the experimental sciences seem to operate this way a majority of the time. I remember my brain being absolutely fried after 4 hours of thinking about math, only to hear these folks say they pulled a 12 hour shift in the lab. And I'm just like - how? In any case it's all anecdotes from me so feel free to ignore them.
Comment by dizza 3 days ago
Comment by foxes 3 days ago
In a way ai is turning programming more into maths - you write a natural language description of the problem - a proof / program - and then translating that into machine code is a lot of work / abstraction. For example look how much it takes to turn relatively simple mathematical statements into lean. That I guess is going to be the future.
I would encourage everyone to learn the fundamentals still because you will need discretion and to be able to think at a more abstract level.
However its funny that its only NOW dehumanising/demoralising now when its white people losing jobs to the capitalist machine in the imperial core, and not the slave silicon miners making gpus for gamers.
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Comment by raegis 3 days ago
Machines have been doing arithmetic (add/subtract/multiply/divide) better and faster than humans for 70+ years. I would ask anyone making this claim, "are you OK if your children do not learn basic arithmetic?"
Comment by rubikscube09 3 days ago
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Comment by goldylochness 3 days ago
People who want to solve problems themselves should go on to invent them without posting them on the internet until they're solved.
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Comment by jdthedisciple 2 days ago
Are we worried there won't be any problems left for humans to solve anymore?
If you think so... why don't you just go and celebrate?
Comment by erratum_hunter 3 days ago
Comment by lutusp 3 days ago
Someone once described a mathematician as a machine to turn coffee into theorems. Okay, fair enough, but what sets mathematicians apart is that mathematics wasn't a choice.
It's possible that Sanderson doesn't get this, but people watching his video either will never understand his argument, or have always understood it.
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EDIT: And don't get me wrong, I hope it doesn't happen for a long time, ideally never. But what would his arguments be if it does?
Comment by gobdovan 3 days ago
I saw some clearly AI slop made videos and got much better understanding of topics, since they don't do foreshadowing for an awe-inspiring connection that we'd admire together after 15 min videos, the clankers just get to the point. Not claiming those videos are too useful either, but I did however see accelerated learning gains from asking LLMs to explain (and do Bret Victor-style small interactive demos) math and algos, something I have never experienced from any of the educational STEM Youtube channels.
Comment by traes 3 days ago
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Comment by apricot 3 days ago
As for "fresh learners", I can provide my own son, who watched the series before taking his first linear algebra class, and says that it helped him a lot.
Comment by gf000 3 days ago
With all due respect yours is a very short sighted take that only thinks in passing tests. That's not the purpose of education.
Comment by gobdovan 2 days ago
In fact, your claim is strong and quite easy to test. If watching the series gives people a better fundamental understanding which makes subsequent learning more efficient, take matched novices, randomise them to watch the series or not, then teach both groups some later lin alg materials and measure learning gains on novel problems.
That's the kind of test I mean, not 'can you grind through the course exam'.
If your claimed deeper understanding neither improves what someone can do afterwards nor how efficiently they learn related material, I'm not sure what observable content the claim has.
Comment by traes 3 days ago
Comment by Jtarii 3 days ago
Uh huh, and what if the videos make me more generally interested in the topic? How would you measure that on a test?
Your view seems needlessly pessimistic and myopic. Just because something might not increase a number on a test that doesn't make it pointless.
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Comment by u8 2 days ago
It's a tool, and it's a tool that lets you skip that parts that bore you. For most devs, they never cared about the craft--they copy and pasted whatever they could from the internet until they had something good enough. People cut corners, always have. I got into programming at 10 because I really liked knowing how my computer worked and being able to do/make anything on it. That hasn't changed with AI, but it sure as hell has made tinkering a lot easier. No more wondering if a proc I've never seen before should be on my system. No more hunting down config docs for my editor. All of that annoying grunt work that got in the way of me actually coding is something an agent handles for me in the background. The part I did--and still do--like? I can do that by hand if I want and when I get bored or fatigued I can swap to AI.
There are so many corpo slopcannon's in this thread whose minds are slaves to KPIs and productivity. Let it go bro. Relax and live a little. There's nothing wrong with writing code by hand in your own time or using AI. If you enjoy writing code, solving all the individual problems and getting your hands dirty, you should keep doing so! It's only a matter of months, year over year, where all of the vibe coders' real knowledge evaporates and they're slaves to their subscription (or local hardware, say less king). You can be an expert who codes when there's no internet. I know I wouldn't know nearly as much if I hadn't spent so many years actually writing code. You understand taking your time and exercising discipline is just as valid of a path.
I don't understand all of these developers I see who are so hostile to people who still like the craft. It's such cope, bro. Either admit you don't get it and that you're a tasteless little slopboi who would never have amounted to anything meaningful because he doesn't have the discipline to actually learn to code. Or, get over yourself and let people enjoy things. Nobody cares about your holy quest to advocate for another subscription.
Comment by whattheheckheck 3 days ago
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Comment by 1aHga 3 days ago
https://www.3blue1brown.com/talent/
The guy is a handsome influencer and so many people buy that theater. The slimy presentation should be a giveaway for normal people, but apparently some hand holding is required.
Comment by fractorial 3 days ago
Comment by 234akh 3 days ago
Look how many credible open source leaders have sold out to AI. Then look at the above list of sponsors again.
Comment by PetriCasserole 3 days ago
Comment by downut 3 days ago
"There's never been a better time to go into math" was the final statement of the ten minute orientation session from the Dep Chairman.
It was a great thing to do anyway.
Then.
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Comment by atoav 3 days ago
There ought to be people watching his channel who wonder whether given all these AI advances math is even worth studying now.
Comment by 1aHga 3 days ago
Then my mind will be at ease and I'll take a loan to study math!
Comment by Amekedl 3 days ago
I can't help but feel how this is all industry-planted, and I wouldn't argue its too far fetched.
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Comment by kazinator 3 days ago
There is never been a better time for people with no capacity for math to dabble in it
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Comment by x-complexity 3 days ago
It is make like better. You're just invested in ripping out others' tools for your own satisfaction.
> Maybe even go as far as to ban usage of AI in certain cases, everything should be on the table, the public already hates AI, it just needs to be fanned and directed well.
The difference between this & the backdrop of Dune is near 0, with its issues clearly outlined in the book: You want the system that existed in the 2010s to remain as-is & ossified for your personal enjoyment.
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Comment by sethaurus 3 days ago
That said, you'd be missing a bunch of hand-made illustrations and animations from one of the best math communicators in the world. If that's not appealing to you, I'm not sure the transcript will do much for you either.
Comment by throwaway27448 3 days ago
As it turns out, the only bits relevant to the title are the last five minutes of the video, and his contribution comes down to basically ignoring peoples' concerns and asserting that more technology means more joy. He conflates interest in math with a career in math and doesn't seem to address why actual mathematicians go into the field or what they get from it. In fact, the channel seems aimed at people who don't ever intend on going into the field.
If he doesn't grapple with the angst of turning an entire field of discourse into watching a chatbot beam-search a proof space, why make the video?
Comment by richard_chase 3 days ago
Comment by roywiggins 3 days ago
Like calling Lee Sedol a pretentious tool for retiring in the face of AlphaGo. If you really do mathematics for the enjoyment of doing mathematics, following a roughly unbroken line of tradition for at least a couple hundred years, an alien computer mind showing up and smashing everything would perhaps be upsetting, don't you think?
Comment by modeless 3 days ago
Nothing is stopping anyone from thinking deeply about math. The angst here is about whether they can get paid for it or not.
Comment by roywiggins 1 day ago
If you can't get paid to think about math anymore then you are by necessity going to spend a lot less time doing it.
Comment by jimbokun 3 days ago
Comment by BobbyTables2 3 days ago
Then I finally realized that Professors spend most of their days in meetings and management - not actual research!
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Comment by Balgair 3 days ago
Mostly Funding. Then each other. Then the myriad trivial yet bureaucratic things of daily life. Then research. I'd put research at like 10% of a week, so maybe 5 hours total.
Comment by invalidOrTaken 3 days ago
Frankly, despite the obvious financial worries, it's been a little freeing. I can go do something else (because, uh, I may have to).
Comment by FeteCommuniste 3 days ago
Comment by buriram 3 days ago
A lot of arguments seem to try to cling to the “old” way of doing math: staring at the blackboard for hours, wrestling with papers and papers of equations, and do forth. Well, chess players went through a similar transition period: carrying books of openings and such, to chess database, to chess engine and now AI. And at no point I hear chess players complaining that we have to study chess the old way.
Comment by FrostKiwi 3 days ago
This is very much discussed in the video.