Tell HN: Musk doesn't "have" a Trillion, he has the leverage

Posted by ggm 3 hours ago

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I wish a competent economist could blog that Musk (and the other uber rich) don't have liquid cash to pile up on their yacht the way the graphics imply.

Even the act of selling his stake in tesla and X and spacex would alter the value of the holdings, alter the tax income for some nation state, the act of printing the money would in turn demand time and effort, shipping the money would incur costs.

Having the effective influence over investment disposition of $1T is amazing but it isn't actually the same thing qualitatively as "one trillion dollars" nor is it just a quantitative function over "1 million dollars". Because it's 1/30th of the entire US economy (around $30t) and so materially alters 3% of the value of the US working capital, and a little over 1% of the entire US stock market at $75t)

In order to have the money he'd create an instant liquidity crisis. He'd hoover up all the share trading cash, and so would instantly devalue all the other stocks. It would be a massive event.

A billionaire liquidating their shareholdings is 1,000th the impact. It would be notable but not an earthquake except in the narrow space they sold in. Billion dollar trades are done carefully. Million dollar trades are unremarkable.

His net worth is calculated in a sub multiple of actual sales, which are also huge, but it's not the trillion either. He didn't stake a trillion and sell a trillion. The trillion is a mutable legal fiction.

Comments

Comment by fsuts 51 minutes ago

But it’s the same for all non equity assets. As no one has everything in cash.

A private company owner needs to sell his company

A high net worth investor in a fund will have signed up to maximum redemptions and may be locks out during a crisis

Most assets have varying liquidity and you can only surely judge net worth as its present book value

Comment by aniokono 1 hour ago

Someone in Nigeria once said it's paper money. But wait, so he goes and buys other companies and they all have the same paper money?

Maybe such invisible "paper money" isn't such a bad thing if he can go shopping with it.

Comment by chistev 2 hours ago

We don't care about these semantics. He's a trillionaire.

Comment by maxrf 1 hour ago

I do; because it matters in the 'real world' ;-}

Comment by ferrouswheel 1 hour ago

It doesn't matter at all.

Almost no one with real wealth has liquid cash because liquid cash depreciates.