Total Iran Economic Damage Estimate
Posted by littlexsparkee 23 hours ago
Comments
Comment by westernmostcoy 22 hours ago
They are not neutral actors and this webpage (which is dated to April 23rd) is not neutral either.
Comment by littlexsparkee 22 hours ago
Comment by warumdarum 22 hours ago
You do not humilate the likes of putin and trump, to life and tell the tale.
Comment by mothballed 22 hours ago
Comment by ashivkum 23 hours ago
Comment by mortenjorck 22 hours ago
It would be interesting to see more detail on how this vehicle is structured and what sectors the commitments are in.
Comment by thinkcontext 22 hours ago
Comment by edaemon 22 hours ago
Comment by oa335 22 hours ago
How exactly did they arrive at this estimate? I would like to see a building-by-building breakdown, or at least a methodology. Feels very vibe-researched tbh.
Comment by dofm 22 hours ago
Comment by mothballed 22 hours ago
Comment by dofm 22 hours ago
Comment by pfdietz 22 hours ago
I'm expected the next Democrat president to cashier a bunch of high rank officers who went along with this. They weren't brave enough to risk their careers to object to illegal orders, so out they go.
Comment by maykthewessen 22 hours ago
reached approximately $113 billion in direct military spending till April alone
Spending. At parity with destruction.
Comment by dofm 22 hours ago
Even with inflation and interest it'd be under $5bn now.
Comment by margalabargala 22 hours ago
He cares about being able to put on a good spectacle. Shooting down the JCPOA did that. Going to war with Iran did that.
This might be a geopolitical loss for the US, but that doesn't make it a personal loss for Trump, whose interests are not aligned with those of the US.
Comment by dofm 22 hours ago
One thing you must understand about Trump is that he is a malignant narcissist: he has an absolutely acute sense for when shame attaches to him personally and he will do anything to deflect it or deny it.
In this case, for example, suddenly Vance is "the architect of the deal".
When he can no longer bear to be associated even to this level he will do something else awful to distract himself from the feelings he is experiencing. (You could argue that this is why the conflict started when it did).
But expect at least some more sabre-rattling about Greenland, more calling Canada the 51st State and Mark Carney "Governor", more dangling a Cuba invasion in front of pathetic Lidl' Marco, etc.
Comment by margalabargala 20 hours ago
- Be plausably better than Obama
- Enrich himself and his family
- Stay out of prison
The Iran debacle may have utterly failed at the first goal, but not the second two. His relatives made money hand over fist, and the Epstein files have exited public discourse for the time being.
Comment by mannanj 22 hours ago
Great extrapolation and extraction of value.
Comment by dofm 22 hours ago
- Trump is desperate to get out of this war, so Iran can ask for more or less whatever they like, and he will get Vance to agree to it —- notice how Vance is already "the architect of the deal" because it's terrible. So Iran is overestimating.
- He knows they will over-estimate, but doesn't care, since:
1) he (thinks he) is getting his allies in the region to pay and
2) the family will undoubtedly start brand new companies to bid for the work
Comment by mothballed 22 hours ago
Comment by Slartie 22 hours ago
Comment by stogot 17 hours ago
Comment by LtWorf 22 hours ago
Comment by dofm 22 hours ago
ETA: even a very hypothetical landslide Democratic Congress is substantially hands-tied over this deal. It's terrible and wasteful but going back on it is impossible.
Comment by gmuslera 22 hours ago
Comment by hokkos 22 hours ago
Comment by jazzyjackson 22 hours ago
Comment by whalesalad 22 hours ago
Comment by CapricornNoble 11 hours ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/8/kamala-harris-says-...
I kick myself every time I fail to place bets on Polymarket. When I heard her say that, I said to myself:
* "Not Russia, which has nuclear parity and now a massively-experienced (if preoccupied) conventional army? Not China, which dwarfs our production capacity and clearly intends to push us out of the West Pacific? Iran, really? So.....we are definitely going to war with Iran after the election. Kamala will lose the election but it won't matter. She has no independent thoughts in her head....which means The Decision-Makers have already decided what needs to happen, and gave her talking points to that effect." *
I coulda made a fortune. -_-
Comment by krapp 10 hours ago
I understand the de riguer thought terminating cliche in American political discourse is that both parties and all politicians are the same, equally corrupt, incompetent malicious, mere puppets bought by corporations and controlled by Israel, and therefore elections don't matter.
I'm not denying the Biden administration's complicity in aiding and abetting Israel's genocide or Harris's unwillingness to distance herself from it, both are disgusting, and the Democrats have no one but themselves to blame for their losses. But Donald Trump really has been qualitatively worse in what should be every conceivably relevant metric than everyone else in the field, including other Republicans.
Comment by CapricornNoble 3 hours ago