Not everyone is using AI for everything
Posted by yegg 3 days ago
Comments
Comment by acc_297 3 days ago
It's tough to answer because you want to hedge for both an AI enthused employer and an AI hesitant employer with limited information about who they are and how they personally use these products. I've been responding with a sort of long winded answer about how 'there is clearly a learning curve for how this technology fits into any process and how I always always always double double double check yadayadayada'
I'm probably using the chat/ask functionality on a daily basis for quick debugging / new technology learning questions but I have yet to really use the fully agent or computer-use products because I've had more bad results than good the few times I've tried them (re-factoring a big repo of decades old fortran+C code for modern compiler/OS some things started to work but ultimately I abandoned that effort).
Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
Have you considered just answering truthfully?
Would you even want to work somewhere where you need to play a role and where they flip out when you say the wrong word you should've correctly guessed through mind reading? That sounds not like a job but a toxic relationship.
Comment by emodendroket 3 days ago
Comment by massysett 3 days ago
Fair enough, so if there were one “right” answer, that would be the one to give whether true or not.
But here there is no obvious right answer. If the employer is looking for a particular answer, the poster doesn’t know what it is. In that case, the best thing to say is simply the truth, particularly when the truth that the poster gives here is completely reasonable.
Comment by inigyou 2 days ago
Comment by incognition 2 days ago
Comment by what 2 days ago
Comment by lwansbrough 2 days ago
According to you. That's not the opinion of every prospective employer. Hedging is the right strategy.
Comment by retired 3 days ago
The best benefit about working in a large office is that nobody checks the basement.
Comment by pipes 3 days ago
Comment by coldtea 2 days ago
If you're into long shot betting AND your savings aren't running out while waiting to land a new job, that might be a good strategy
Comment by TACD 2 days ago
Comment by overfeed 2 days ago
You call the response "cagey and evasive", but that is for an objectively a bad interview question, one wrung below "How many years experience do you have prompting Anthropic Opus? We are an Opus shop." People are not locked into their current way of using AI and it is trivial to match how one works with AI to match employers requirements. It's a question that deserves an idealized non-answer
Comment by staticautomatic 2 days ago
Comment by overfeed 2 days ago
I'm curious to know why you think asking about AI usage is a good interview question.
Comment by staticautomatic 2 days ago
Comment by Timwi 1 day ago
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Comment by singingfish 2 days ago
Comment by Loughla 2 days ago
Unless I'm looking after about 6 months and my savings isn't as healthy as it once was. Or one of my kids is sick. Or pretty much anything happens costing money.
Then I'll be miserable for a little while as I continue my job search.
Practicality, sometimes, is more important than ethics when other people rely on you.
Comment by coldtea 2 days ago
A lot of jobs don't work based on those criteria. In a bad job market, IT jobs don't either. Especially if it's your 20th application with no response.
Comment by butlike 1 day ago
Comment by arcanemachiner 3 days ago
A modern luxury, unavailable to many.
Comment by pibaker 2 days ago
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Comment by grugagag 2 days ago
In this economy it's really a luxury to nitpick about the job when there are bills to pay, mouths to feed, a roof over one's head is a must. The well of have a lot more options regarding this.
Comment by account42 2 days ago
Comment by krisoft 2 days ago
That assumes using/not using ai will make me hate the job. Which is not true at all for me. Would be perfectly happy either way. (Or rather to say my happyness would depend on other factors.) Obviously i wouldn’t want to be the only team member not using AI in a team using AI or vice versa.
Comment by throw1234567891 2 days ago
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Comment by kmote00 2 days ago
But I'm just curious: if someone were to give you a living wage to do nothing but watch TV all day for the rest of your life, how many years do you think might go by before you would start to ask yourself, Is this really what I want to spend my one, exquisite, irreplaceable life on?
Comment by acc_297 3 days ago
Comment by furyofantares 3 days ago
I think you'd rather have good odds at some companies and 0% at others, rather than abysmal but non-zero odds at all companies.
And as an added bonus, you might get hired at a company where you're actually a good fit, rather than one you weasled your way into, and get to pay rent, food bills, and other expenses through employment for a long time!
Comment by simonw 3 days ago
"Wouldn't give a straight answer on question X" isn't an instant no-hire, but it's not a positive signal.
Comment by ipaddr 3 days ago
Comment by airstrike 3 days ago
Comment by knollimar 2 days ago
Comment by onraglanroad 2 days ago
If you can accept that then you've learnt something.
Comment by sebzim4500 2 days ago
Comment by knollimar 2 days ago
He was an internal candidate, we were interviewing him to see if we could trust him with more responsibility (more X specifically), since the new role shouldn't cover up X when it happens. The role involved doing X for himself AND for other people.
Similar to the form of "tell me about your biggest weakness" and you responding with "I have no weakness".
Comment by onraglanroad 2 days ago
I've been on the recieving end of clueless folk trying to make me feel small when I've just been looking for a job, so I might be a bit sensitive about it! Sorry for any offense given. Thankfully I'm beyond that craziness now and can just do what I want for work.
Comment by staticautomatic 1 day ago
Comment by yen223 2 days ago
Where was this coming from?
Comment by knollimar 2 days ago
It was an internal candidate so it would be awkward to tell him to his face he was floundering.
Comment by Geezus_42 2 days ago
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Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
Plus, and leaving that aside, I have my doubts that even if you did that, that that company would stay alive for very long. Reality has the habit of eventually ripping this kind of unproductively delusional people (like e.g. a boss that flips if you don't say the right word with regards to the current hype) to shreds eventually.
Comment by lukevp 3 days ago
Comment by atomicnumber3 3 days ago
Look at musk's companies. They will basically never (on any near timescale...) produce GAAP profitability and yet their IPO is in the trillions. To the point that S&P refusing to suspend their GAAP profitability requirements means the index will basically never see this company in it (which I'm quite pleased about).
The power of already-accumulated capital is simply more powerful than things like "don't be completely pants-on-head stupid about a recent fad" "don't seig-heil in front of the world stage" "there's no point in having people come to an office just to spend all day on zoom" etc etc etc.
The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent, and companies can remain irrational longer than you can go without contributing to your 401k.
Comment by ben_w 2 days ago
"Eventually" yes, but while this phrase may have been about the stock market, it also applies to management: "the market can remain irrational for longer than you can remain solvent".
One concept I only learned a few years ago was the difference between "mistake theory" and "conflict theory". Rational decision-making is the former, political decision-making, including office politics, is the latter. It's important to know which of these kinds of battle you're fighting, or you'll make the wrong type of move.
Also, FWIW, I live in Germany and my unemployment insurance has run out because the job market is just that bad right now; I'm fortunate that I have enough passive income to support myself, but even then if my partner's unemployment insurance ever runs out I can't support both of us.
Comment by emodendroket 2 days ago
Comment by retired 3 days ago
Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
The same might not be true everywhere.
Comment by retired 3 days ago
Update:
Every street corner has a yellow garbage bin for recycling. That is where your plastic bottles go. Seems like a better system than having elderly going through bins.
Comment by Avalaxy 3 days ago
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Comment by LargoLasskhyfv 2 days ago
"My trash, a flash of joy.
For the poor people.
Enabling me, the blissful sheeple,
to consume on with abandon.
Everybody won."
Comment by thatjoeoverthr 3 days ago
Comment by yakshaving_jgt 3 days ago
It's… like… not that simple.
Comment by ipaddr 3 days ago
Comment by cyberax 2 days ago
No, I'm not stupid or lying.
And yes, it's true. It's just that this housing is not in Berlin.
Comment by ben_w 2 days ago
That said, an idea has come to mind: UK and Italy have had schemes where a home can be purchased for £1/€1 under the condition the new owner repairs them (the repairs would cost 20-150k). Given some of the really bad stock I've seen in some searches, this may be a good idea for Germany too.
Comment by cyberax 2 days ago
And yes, you can find even cheaper apartments.
Comment by bravetraveler 2 days ago
Comment by reg_dunlop 3 days ago
The attitude suggested by your response suggests you haven't lived that reality yet.
Either way, I'd rather be rejected by an employer for speaking my truth, than lie to be somewhere I'd rather not be.
Comment by pesus 3 days ago
Comment by satisfice 3 days ago
Yeah I rage quit my job 27 years ago and have been a struggling honest consultant ever since. Clients who want actual solutions to their problems come to me. Does that sound arrogant? Well I also have no savings and don’t own a house.
I don’t regret most of my choices, but I am aware that if somebody paid me enough money I would walk away from my principles. It would have to be a LOT of money.
Comment by pipes 3 days ago
Comment by d_silin 3 days ago
"Speak the truth, even if your voice shakes"
Comment by dspillett 3 days ago
You were replying to “The job market is much different when you're just starting out”. The past is not now, and you are not just starting out, so your comparison of their position and yours is invalid IMO.
> and will do it again.
Good for you for sticking to your guns, I'm about to do the same with a company that has all but said “dig into AI or get left behind”¹, but those starting out as freshly minted grads likely do not have the luxuries that we might have² and the jobs market is freakishly competitive for them right now³ in a way that I don't think it ever has been before.
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[1] time will tell if I leave of my own volition before getting kicked!
[2] experience (both actual experience and experience “talking the talk”) to help getting the next gig, a mortgage paid off so making ends meet is easier, etc.
[3] It had been heading that way for a while, the recent explosion of GenAI+agnetics has made it worse.
Comment by plandis 3 days ago
I certainly feigned enthusiasm when I was in high school to get an after school job in order to help my family buy food.
Comment by d_silin 3 days ago
Comment by plandis 3 days ago
Lack of adequate calories and nutrition negatively compound. You lose the ability to focus, you increase your medical risk.
I experienced that in my childhood. It’s terrible. I did very poorly academically when I did not have access to food. It’s astonishing to me how fast my academic performance improved after consistently having access to food.
Saying you would rather put yourself at risk instead of hedge your answer on a minor interview question in order to increase your chances of getting a job offer seems like an issue with prioritization.
Comment by d_silin 3 days ago
Comment by maxbond 3 days ago
Job interviews are a performance where you demonstrate you understand what professional expectations are and can abide by them. It's not dishonesty to not respond "I drink too much" when they ask "what's your biggest weakness?" just like it's not dishonesty to respond "can't complain" when someone asks "how are you today," even if you have a lot to complain about.
Once I interviewed someone and they described their tax fraud scheme to me. We didn't go with that candidate. Not per se because they committed tax fraud; because they demonstrated terrible judgment.
Comment by d_silin 2 days ago
Software development is not that high-stakes of a job anyway. There is always another interview. I got another one soon enough, where the employee AI policy fully aligned with mine, so telling the truth was an easy, pleasant experience.
Imagine you are a pilot or doctor. Any kind of interview reply that doesn't fully align with your values now carries a real risk for human lives.
Comment by maxbond 2 days ago
If that's what your values are, okay, I'm not going to tell you how to live, but it would be premised on a misunderstanding of what "hi, how are you today?" means.
I am not worried about what my pilot said in a job interview, I'm worried about what the check pilot thinks of their performance. Worrying about what they said in a job interview is like worrying about what they scored on the SAT. Once that hurdle is cleared, it instantly becomes irrelevant, because it was never measuring what we're actually interested in. It's a filter for people who are completely unqualified, it doesn't really measure a level of performance or alignment.
Comment by d_silin 2 days ago
I would expect absolute sincerity from pilot or a doctor during the interview, including history of mental health and professional mistakes. Authority over lives of people must come with full transparency. If you are caught lying or misrepresenting your experience and skills, not only you would lose your job, you should be blacklisted from occupation as well.
In every skill, everyone benefits from honesty, both employers and employees. But I am aware this is a minority view.
Comment by maxbond 2 days ago
I don't think we're going to bridge this gap but I also don't think that's really necessary. People have different values and it is what it is.
Comment by d_silin 2 days ago
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Comment by knollimar 3 days ago
Sometimes it's okay to say "I don't know" and it's okay to say "I don't care" and it's okay to say "It doesn't matter much to me".
Every interview is corpospeak where you infer the intended meaning of words anyway.
Comment by monkpit 3 days ago
Comment by reg_dunlop 3 days ago
I bootstrapped myself from poverty to Staff software engineer, past the age of 45.
Is that privileged? Or sheer will and force of effort?
I am not unique. I am an example.
Comment by monkpit 3 days ago
Even though your position might be the result of effort on your part, you do have to acknowledge that you’re privileged to be in a position to expend that effort on what you want, instead of something else, like finding fresh water daily, or whatever. It’s not sheer will that you were born in a (even marginally) more favorable environment than others.
The term “privilege” here doesn’t just mean a trust fund nepo baby.
Comment by GlacierFox 3 days ago
Comment by imtringued 2 days ago
That's the logical conclusion you're forced to arrive at if you take these people seriously.
Comment by monkpit 3 days ago
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Comment by kakacik 3 days ago
Ie I increased my salary, doing same job, all 100% perm position, roughly 30x compared to my first fulltime software dev job after university. Who cares? It doesn't mean anything, just an afterthought. I am father of 2 small kids, and trying my best to be a good father and role model, often succeeding, sometimes failing. Its by far the hardest effort of my life, it takes relentless 20-25 years and I see otherwise brilliant folks failing at this hard left and right.
Also I wish folks in IT were a bit more humble and considered other engineering careers, with +- same effort taking to get a degree, and much worse career progress/compensation/freedom to choose one's path. Arrogance is much more rare there.
Comment by hvb2 3 days ago
This is the mentality that says that if your company goes bust, you didn't work hard enough. Sometimes effort might be the problem..
No, not everyone can make it from nowhere to staff software engineer. That doesn't mean they're not trying hard enough.
Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
So while I agree that privilege is certainly a factor, so is what I've just said.
A lot of people here live very cushy lives that cushion them from very pointy thoughts and questions. As someone who too has to live in this world, I'd rather they didn't.
Comment by watwut 3 days ago
And you dont even get these nearly as often from people who work in lower paid positions. Or who are actually making moral tradeoffs that affects their income.
I have seen engineers take paycut or risk it because of this or that moral conviction. Not wanting to lie to customer, refusing job for gambling company, working one day less per week so that he volunteers for biblical something.
Just telling management no or just communicating about your work with ai or lack of it are not even one of those.
Comment by therealdrag0 3 days ago
Comment by bluefirebrand 3 days ago
This effectively does mean that I was not a moral actor at the time
Comment by therealdrag0 3 days ago
Would you have stolen or murdered to avoid being homeless? Would that have been a morally blameless act?
Comment by GlacierFox 3 days ago
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Comment by therealdrag0 3 days ago
I don’t think we’re talking about slaves are we?
Comment by KittenInABox 3 days ago
For example I think the decision to stick to certain morals is very hard if someone has a disabled dependent, are disabled themselves, or require consistent access to healthcare. There are different lines for different people of course. Our ire shouldn't go towards individuals who make these decisions but the people in power who force others to be in a position where these decisions need to be made.
Comment by d_silin 3 days ago
I don't want to preach martyrdom, but I am also offended by people choosing moral bankruptcy when faced with even the slightest hardships.
Comment by tisdadd 3 days ago
It is very sad to me that people do feel that pressure, and how the current job market is.
On topic with the article, I would love to be able to trust AI with more, but have found that I have some useful moments with it, but more because of Internet search not being how it used to be for quality.
Comment by ipaddr 3 days ago
My truth is I don't care either way . I get the sense that's the same for parent poster. They just want a job and to say the right thing to get past the hiring filter. Even if I did have a truth its not something I would put above being remote, pay and how a company develops software. I'd rather not have a truth and not have a daily standup.
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Comment by solatic 2 days ago
To give you just a little more context than other commenters -
You answer truthfully when you're interviewing from a position of power. Either you're already employed somewhere and you're taking your time exploring your options to see if maybe you can end up somewhere a little better, or you're an employer with applicants lined out the door and you want to winnow them down to the best match. In either case, you don't care too deeply if an individual interview sucks, you just move on.
Truth is always the first casualty of war. And when someone is out of work and fighting for their ~life~ livelihood, or a founder is trying to convince the first customer or the first engineer to take a risk on them so that they can get their baby off the ground, the truth dies real quickly.
Comment by zerobees 3 days ago
It's a job, not a relationship. It's best not to confuse the two.
In any workplace, you will occasionally have to do things you find boring or objectionable. And if you're hoping to find a corporation that is a "perfect match", it will only hurt more when they unceremoniously fire you because the quarterly revenue growth is 1% off or because you cracked an off-color joke.
Comment by quintushoratius 3 days ago
A relationship is defined as two parties that interact.
It's not friends, it's not romantic, and it's definitely not family, but a job _is_ a relationship.
That said, GP is absolutely correct that you can fall into toxic relationships with your employer. Especially in the US where, realistically, we're forced to rely on our employer for too many things (e.g. healthcare coverage), employers can and do take advantage of the situation.
Comment by zerobees 2 days ago
Comment by _carbyau_ 2 days ago
I agree with their "two parties interacting is a relationship". Hell, I have a "relationship" at the checkout as they scan my groceries. But it's not deep or long lasting, so as you'd expect either party makes near zero effort.
Secondly, they never said that every relationship requires perfect honesty in all things. I'm not volunteering to my checkout person that I will eat that party bag size chips in one sitting. They don't need to know and it's highly likely they don't care. I'll be gone out of their life in a minute.
However, your entire relationship with your employer is roughly based on "benefits for work". It is a recurring interaction, probably over a significant length of time. So it seems reasonable to be honest about how you work to avoid making the relationship toxic from the start.
But then I also agree with "Do whatever it takes to survive." and if toxic relationships mean you keep breathing, well it sucks but there it is.
I am fortunate to not be in that "survival" position so honesty works for me.
Comment by csomar 3 days ago
Comment by zerobees 2 days ago
Comment by hdhdhsjsbdh 3 days ago
This just sounds like a standard tech interview. Mind reading to find and perform the secret “signal”. Nobody flips out if you don’t find it, they just move on to one of the other 1,000 candidates for the role.
Comment by maxbond 3 days ago
Comment by queenkjuul 3 days ago
It's 2026, you gotta sell your soul just to get a phone screening
Comment by blitzar 3 days ago
I remember the graduate recruitment days - If you told the truth you were the only candidate they saw all day that wasn't the captain of the football team, top of the class and voted most likely to succeed - aka the worst candidate they saw all day.
Comment by Forgeties79 3 days ago
We all filter and “nudge” the truth during interviews. We all cater our responses to the person in front of us. Let’s not pretend otherwise. Your interviewers sure aren’t.
Comment by mitthrowaway2 3 days ago
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Comment by harrall 2 days ago
Two people might say “they love camping!!”
But does it mean…
- Going camping twice/year and partying by the river?
- Or going 20 times per year, sometimes on 4 week long trips?
Both types of people will, with complete honesty, tell you “they love camping” and only you, the asker of the question, can decode what that means. ayli can’t
Comment by aduwah 3 days ago
Said by no-one who has a decent paying job and has bills to pay
Comment by surgical_fire 2 days ago
This is terrible advice.
Everybody lies on interviews. Especially the interviewer.
Comment by pmontra 2 days ago
Unfortunately often employees forget that part of the goals of an interview. An employer never forgets its goal.
Of course the asymmetry stems principally from who pais whom and secondarily from who can wait more to find a better fit. Sometimes that's the employee.
If one is not desperate to get a salary immediately, it helps thinking that the company applied for an interview and agreed to let the interviewer come and inspect their premises, their personnel and their processes. The right questions derive from that realization. By the way, that's what auditors do.
Comment by AlwaysRock 2 days ago
People will say this is bad but then when they interview folks judge the interviewee if they dont answer questions how they expected the question to be answered.
Comment by tychota 2 days ago
They are here recruit "AI ready engineer" or other vague, bullshitty slogan.
You often need to pass this first barrier to discuss with real futur colleagues. Thus you have to give them what they want to hear.
Which is hard on AI considering how polarised the subject is.
Comment by sumeno 3 days ago
Comment by coldtea 2 days ago
It's a job interview, you're not supposed to do that, and they don't appreciate it when you do. Try something like:
- Where do you see yourself in 5 years?
- Working at a much better company than
this shithole
and see how it goes.Comment by jazz9k 3 days ago
To be honest, I don't think I would want to work with or hire you, based on your response here.
Comment by __mharrison__ 2 days ago
I would hedge towards AI usage if you didn't probe before and then justify why.
Ymmv, can also gauge whether you want to work for the company based on this
Comment by ACCount37 3 days ago
Comment by michaelsalim 3 days ago
From the 3 people I interviewed, all of the answers are very similar which is along the lines of: Kinda, but we need to be careful of using it, privacy, hallucination, etc.
All very safe answers and doesn't say anything new to me. If they had been more specific about why and their experiences with it, I'd probably favor them more due to their experience with it. It'd also signal to me that they form their own opinion rather than simply following the crowd.
Comment by foxglacier 3 days ago
Comment by michaelsalim 2 days ago
In this case though, I'll admit that it would be a negative signal if they never tried it even once and refuse to do so. You can't make a solid opinion on things you never try after all. It would be different if they at least gave it a shot and disliked it.
Comment by overfeed 2 days ago
I was arguing that this is a bad question elsewhere but you provided another reason. If a candidate tells you they haven't tried using AI (without saying why), that offers no signal at how well they'll do if you hire them, and you construe it as a negative signal. If you want to know if they would be willing to use AI as part of the job ask that question instead!
> You can't make a solid opinion on things you never try after all.
What do you think about using heroin?
Comment by michaelsalim 1 day ago
And if they can make an argument about why they're more effective without AI, more power to them. So if I were to ask the question directly as you suggest, it would be: Are you more effective than the other person I'm interviewing? - which i guess is the whole point of the interview.
> Heroin Fair point, but I also don't think that trying AI is anywhere close to the level of trying Heroin
Comment by account42 2 days ago
Of course you can, from the effect you see it have on others. Not everyone needs to do hard drugs to say they are bad for example.
Comment by robertn702 3 days ago
Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
That is of course assuming that they're looking for some long-term stable team member.
A skilled interviewer smells dishonesty.
However, and to be fair, whether and how they act on it depends on the specific situation.
Comment by ACCount37 3 days ago
Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
Most of our stuff in this world actually does work, and the reason why it does is that skilled (teams of) people that care have built it. Meaning that these people can be found in many _many_ places.
Comment by ipaddr 3 days ago
Very few jobs are looking for opinioned most are looking at people who might fit in unless you are hiring to distory from without.
Comment by chrysoprace 2 days ago
It's a gamble of the dice as to whether the engineering manager is equally realistic about LLMs or has unrealistic expectations about what LLMs can or can't do.
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Comment by tomrod 3 days ago
I'm an old hat on both sides of this type of discussion from a post-grad view.
Recommendation: use it to own the conversation and to signal mutual fit. Yes, your idea of AI lover versus hesitant matters. I recommend reframing the question to pivot to your fit to the org (and org fit to you) question. Show/concisely explain how you consider whether LLMs are fit to a task and how to tell it improves outcomes.
An outcome focus and willingness to show thought process around a common use case will be a substantially strong response.
Comment by AnotherGoodName 3 days ago
Comment by sdesol 2 days ago
The issue with this is, you need to know how to really program to be able to articulate the pros and cons, which a new grad would mostly likely not have.
For example, if you want to include how AI can onboard quickly, you really need to understand the pain points like, I tried asking people but really, everybody is busy. Or I've found coding agents help me speed up making code changes, but it some situations, they can help accelerate making mistakes.
I think the issue that a lot new grad are faced with is, you don't know, what you don't know.
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Comment by themafia 3 days ago
You should just be honest. If you're not a good fit for the company then you should honestly be eager to discover this.
> I've been responding with a sort of long winded answer
"I don't. I personally don't find value in them for the type of work I do. I am also uncomfortable with using their outputs under the current copyright regime. I also question how competitive any organization can possibly be if LLMs become the main driver of their work products."
> I've had more bad results than good the few times I've tried them
"I prefer to write correct code rather than debug bad code generated from a limited context window."
Comment by ltononro 1 day ago
I am really interested how someone can make a 100x of themselves when working. This often means "how are you using claude code", "what is your coding setup", "how do you decide if your agent is going in the right direction or not w/o looking directly at the massive amount of code generated". This is not technical, but it measures how much we would have to teach someone that comes from a non-industry background. Remember that companies have money, universities dont pay for a 200 USD Codex+Claude+Grok+Cursor per employee.
That said, I also had to ask the same stuff to folks from big techs that dont actually are software engineers. How are data scientist leveraging LLMs to automate experiments? Are they using it for something other than data viz? Are they using it for /loop exploration? how trustworthy are the agents right now for this?
Having someone with this grasp nowadays might be very very valuable IMO
Comment by vibe_that_works 3 days ago
- Any long-winded answer to a question is immediate out and has been for years.
- Not having used agents and not being able to comment on what to do and what not to do with them is immediate out since early this year.
Comment by zerobees 2 days ago
Hiring for technical roles, I love long-winded answers as long as they are coherent. I don't want slogans, I want to understand how you reason through problems and that I can trust your judgment. Everything else is secondary.
Note that this doesn't mean "rambling". Get to the point. But if you want to show me nuance / reasoning, I want to hear it. Also a good way to spot bullshitters.
> Not having used agents and not being able to comment on what to do and what not to do with them is immediate out since early this year.
I've not observed that anywhere. It takes a couple of hours to figure out how to use agents. It might be a slight negative if I suspect you're not demonstrating enough curiosity about what's one of the most significant developments in tech in a long time, but the assumption is easily overcome if you geek out about something else.
Comment by xpct 3 days ago
From all the tech that we have, agents are really not that hard to learn on the job. They're also not a magical silver bullet.
Comment by vibe_that_works 3 days ago
I think upskilling is the right move in this environment and it is dead simple: Invest a couple of days to show initiative, learn agents yourself and be able to speak from true experience.
Comment by moregrist 3 days ago
You’re more or less admitting that you’re playing trendy tech lottery. Which is fine, but maybe not generalizable to the whole industry.
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Comment by sdesol 3 days ago
I don't know about that, and I am 100% biased so take what I say with a grain of salt. My position is very much this: you may not trust coding agents to make code changes, but if you're not willing to treat them as a research aid or have them work for you, you're pretty much saying they can't help you work more efficiently.
I'm working on a Show HN post that includes:
https://github.com/gitsense/smart-ripgrep
It's a fork of BurntSushi/ripgrep. What I hope to show with it is that you don't have to use coding agents to code. They can be used to surface knowledge that's buried in documents, issue comments, PR discussions, and other places.
Believing coding agents are trendy would be like saying search was trendy in 1998. They're not going to change the world the way Anthropic wants us to believe, but they will shape how humans develop software. And I think for the better, since AI is capable of processing information at scale to help you move forward.
Comment by moregrist 2 days ago
What you’re selecting for is enthusiasm, knowing the current shibboleths of the in-group, and possibly for who knows how to use them to make a good demo.
And, fair enough, if that's what you want. But it's not "proven experience" in my mind.
Comment by ludicrousdispla 3 days ago
want a Flutter developer who is unusually strong at directing AI-driven software delivery. This is not a traditional "write the code yourself" role.
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Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
Why?
If the winding path is actually interesting and gives you insights into how the person works, why would that be a bad thing?
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Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
But that sounds more like "evasive" is the problematic attribute and not "long winding".
Which does show up at the same time often, true. But not always.
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Comment by vibe_that_works 3 days ago
I much rather prefer someone who needs 3 seconds to triage a question and tell me: "This is X, I know this, here is the solution" or "This is Y, I don't know it, but I will get back to you within 24h".
I do absolutely not want a "Well let's think jointly about this for a couple of minutes". There is no jointly with your boss. Let's do a some math of a 1:12 manager to direct report ratio. That means for every hour you have, your boss only has 5 minutes. And if you talk to your boss' boss, they have 25 seconds for every of your hours.
Comment by wk_end 3 days ago
So in the same interest of helping post-grad job seekers, do what you've gotta do to get yourself paid, but maybe don't presume that vibe_that_works speaks for every hiring manager.
Comment by tayo42 2 days ago
Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
Not to disagree of course that time is limited, but in my experience, optimizing it this harshly leads to poor results, because eventually, you just get leapfrogged by reality.
Hyper-optimized systems are brittle and can't really adapt to the market changing.
But yeah, I guess they still need developers. Just doesn't sound like a fun job :D
Comment by vibe_that_works 3 days ago
So let me take this a step further. You want to meet your boss' boss for 10 minutes to present them something. 10 minutes of his time are an equivalent of more than 20 hours of your time. So if your initial idea was to "take maybe 1-2h" to prepare for this -> You are underprepared by at least one order of magnitude.
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Comment by hypfer 3 days ago
Which might not be ideal, because "orging for the sake of org" to my understanding consumes significant resources not going into building products/marketshare/shareholder value.
But then again, I'm no hiring manager in such a structure, so this is probably just an uninformed take.
Comment by sensanaty 2 days ago
What does this even mean?
Comment by awkwardpotato 3 days ago
But why?
Most of my most fulfilling experiences in tech have come out sitting down and hashing out a problem with someone else (including with managers/leaders).
It sounds like a miserable org if I am not expected/allowed to have an actual back and forth conversation with my boss. If I'm employed to be on a team working on an aligned common goal, why would I not use that collective skill and experience to my fullest advantage?
Comment by sublinear 3 days ago
You're describing a coding sweatshop. What is the point of any discussion at all then? If the "boss" can't carve out enough time, that's their own problem. Letting that stress propagate to the team is plain bad leadership.
I know you might think some of these candidates don't have other much better choices to find work, but they absolutely do.
Comment by layer8 3 days ago
That’s a bit ironic, given the typical output of LLMs.
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Comment by throwaway219450 2 days ago
I could steer the conversation to explore if the candidate had insight into why GasTown or other "swarm" models exist though. Do they know what a system prompt is? How context is managed/affects output? How harnesses can delegate to simpler models, and when to use different classes of model? I wouldn't expect anything particularly deep here, but bonus points for a solid understanding/experience of the tooling and how to get the most out of token budgets is valuable.
To the parent point: even if you refuse to use LLMs for whatever reason, I would expect any coding applicant to have at least tried them. I'd assume the person is living under a rock if they said no.
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Comment by bornfreddy 2 days ago
That said, best of luck on the job hunt! Sometimes it just takes some time for the right opportunity to come along.
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Comment by gimili 2 days ago
I think you will find that both AI-pilled as well as AI-sceptics will actually agree on that approach, because it rejects the question of "how much" and rather reflects it towards the "when to use AI". Depending on who it is, you can then talk more about the beginning, end or center piece of it.
Comment by bluefirebrand 3 days ago
That's probably not going to be enough for AI maxxers, but it probably won't be too much of a turn off for anyone but the most extreme AI minners, and everyone in between will probably be fine with it.
Frankly I plan to steer well clear of any "the majority of our code is AI generated" shops for the foreseeable future. Seems like disasters waiting to happen and I'd rather let other people step on those rakes
Comment by lkjdsklf 3 days ago
Look at the uptime and incident rate of all the big tech companies that have gone all in on AI generated code
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Comment by whinvik 3 days ago
Having been in academia in the past and now in software I can say with a lot of certainty that this will take a lot more upfront work than otherwise.
Academic code does not have a lot of structure. And usually lacks a lot in terms of tests. While AI is best when it can mimic patterns as well as there are tests to target.
So you will probably need to budget a few weeks to establish good patters, docs as well as testing patterns before you can seriously make it really do what you want it to do.
Comment by acc_297 3 days ago
Even with 3 weeks I'm just not the Fortran/C programmer to get that job done so I moved on to other things.
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Comment by imtringued 2 days ago
The UI/UX is built around one-shotting the code as a single fully baked unit. There should be intense competition around having the best code review tools to adjust the fine details and yet everything is devolving into a text prompt, even CAD tools where being off by a millimeter or less can make a part completely useless even if it is 99% of the way there.
All of these tools are assuming that the LLM already achieved superhuman AGI capable of reading your mind while making zero mistakes.
Comment by Blikkentrekker 3 days ago
That this doesn't have a clear and obvious answer one can expect shows how the issue is politics, not strategy.
When you apply as a mechanic, there is no such weird political debates about certain power tools where people have passionate opinions on which tool to use.
Comment by WhyIsItAlwaysHN 3 days ago
The analogy I've had for myself is that it feels like using a bulldozer to dig rather than a shovel. If you use it to dig archaeological artifacts, it can make things worse than you started. A lot of the work however, is just moving dirt around, so you are wasting time by using a shovel.
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Comment by throwaway98797 2 days ago
personally i find this offensive and would disqualify the candidate.
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Comment by weavie 3 days ago
The reason a technical interviewer will be asking this question is because they want to see how you adapt to using new technologies, LLMs being one of the most disruptive technology that has hit the tech industry since at least the internet. You will likely be expected to use LLMs and they will want to know that you are someone who truly understands the capabilities of them - upsides and downsides, where to use them, what guardrails you need to put in place.
I'd encourage you to revisit the re-factoring task you worked on. Work out why it didn't work, work out what didn't work about it and if you have the chance try again, but use different techniques, there's a lot of conversations going on about what people find working and not working - try to join that conversation. Try to document what you learn. Then in the interview discuss these rather than just saying you gave up. The interviewer isn't going to check up on how successful your project was, they just want to know how you think and how you approach problems.
Comment by ChrisMarshallNY 3 days ago
In my experience, it's a mixed bag. I wrote this comment[0], yesterday. It reflects my current work, and how I am integrating an LLM.
I have used it for two parts of my project:
1) The backend (PHP), and
2) The frontend (Swift)
It has been a huge help, in both, but #2 is a cautionary tale. It really needs adult supervision, in developing native UIKit Swift apps. I'm realizing how truly bad the code it wrote was. I mean, terrible.
That's jarring, because it did a great job with #1. It made sound, reasonable design decisions, and provided code that is better than what I would write.
With #2, it behaved exactly like an inexperienced engineer, panicking, when confronted with real-world problems. My rewrite is going to feature a much simpler, sound approach.
All that said, it has been a net positive, and has increased my productivity by a large margin.
I guess the lesson I needed to get from this, is that it is good at helping me to find problems, but maybe not so good at fixing them.
Comment by ablob 3 days ago
It saddens me to see that high quality content is drowned in this sea of garbage to the point of being almost impossible to find.
Comment by gombosg 3 days ago
Then you go on to search for something, and find only results that are clearly AI generated pages and come to the conclusion that directly prompting some LLM is better than reading an AI slop page that's output by the same AI for slightly less specific prompt.
My concern is that this will only get worse over time - which is great for companies selling AI tokens and bad for society and whoever wants to interact with other humans over the internet.
Comment by junon 3 days ago
Swift, not so much. It's relatively new. Looking at AI's abilities like an engineer's career span scaled about 10-20x of time makes it make a bit more sense.
It's going to be worse at newer/niche things, intuitively - which is only going to get worse as it "learns" from garbage outputted by other LLMs moving forward.
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Comment by red75prime 3 days ago
You seem to assume that autoregressive pretraining (and unfiltered behavior cloning, maybe) are the only ways to improve LLM performance.
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Comment by lilbigdoot 2 days ago
I haven't really used LLMs much for coding (sabbatical before LLMs got good at coding, now looking for work) but I found with chats that they are great at exploring well trodden territory but as soon as you go a little bit off the beaten path they flail horribly
Comment by ChrisMarshallNY 2 days ago
They both do acceptably (but PHP better), as long as I don't push hard. The Swift that I get is ... meh, usually.
However, my PHP server, by design, is extremely conservative. It's meant to run on cheap shared hosting. I don't push the edges. The LLM seems to do a great job of respecting that, while still giving me good, modern, code.
The swift, on the other hand, has highly optimized UI (which also means that I'm not using SwiftUI). It shits the bed, when I push it.
Comment by ChrisMarshallNY 3 days ago
I'm unlikely to run into many of the problems that (for example) the PornHub developers hit, several times an hour.
In that case, I benefit from folks like you, that allow me to have solutions that scale down to my level.
Comment by anukin 3 days ago
Comment by ChrisMarshallNY 2 days ago
I suspect that the LLM training got much more from the react community, than Swift.
Comment by mrtksn 3 days ago
Comment by ChrisMarshallNY 3 days ago
That's fine, for a lot of corporate applications, but not for the stuff I write. I'm anal, I know, but that's how I roll.
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Comment by altern8 3 days ago
But I've seen Claude write crazy code in Python and JavaScript, too
Comment by ChrisMarshallNY 3 days ago
PHP has huge, entire frameworks and systems, refined over years.
Comment by graemep 3 days ago
Comment by ChrisMarshallNY 3 days ago
That's one of the things that I appreciate about the PHP that the LLM provides. It uses modern idioms that make better use of the modern language.
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Comment by zeroonetwothree 3 days ago
The classic AI Gell-Mann effect.
Comment by ChrisMarshallNY 3 days ago
The diagnosis, however, is not.
Have a great day!
Comment by wamatt 3 days ago
How does this connect to everyone's high level ideas/thoughts about "tech", "AI" and "morals and feels" etc. These lines can start to seem a little blurry, at least for me.
For example, would we say my partner is "using AI" (for all intents and purposes), if she's frequently using Google.com throughout the day, and then ends up picking and believing the AI generated answer overview at the top of the SERPs almost every time?
Or do we feel "uses AI", is more along the lines of the vampire kids running 1000 sub-agents on a mattress floor in SF?
I kind of find the whole spectrum really interesting because even basic phone use is now stuffed with AI, whether we choose to label it or not.
Comment by HappMacDonald 2 days ago
EG: That the entire conversation is juggled by the token selling shills, per usual.
Comment by AvAn12 3 days ago
But 2. For most other things, LLMs are fairly underwhelming. Research is usually mediocre. Try being rigorous and repeat your research prompt many times - then make a confusion matrix to tally up how many false positives and false negatives occur. And for the rest, be honest and ask yourself if the LLM is doing much more than a basic search engine query or trip to Wikipedia would have told you. For “normie” use cases, it’s handy-ish but far from revolutionary
Comment by gamblor956 2 days ago
Gemini still isn't sure what details are in the version of OBBA that actually passed, because there was more discussion about various proposals (that didn't make it into the bill) than there was about the final version of the bill itself.
Unfortunately, it's an intractable problem based on the ways that LLMs work. In order to overcome those limitations, you have to provide so much detail to the prompt that you would find the answer faster searching manually.
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Comment by dakiol 3 days ago
In that case, it's way better to simply write the code yourself.
Comment by mhss 2 days ago
No, is not way better to simply write the code yourself. Most of the code is written faster and better with Claude Code or equivalent. Very niche code is better written by hand. Even then, you're probably better off nudging something like Claude Code in the direction you need it to go. There's nothing interesting about writing it yourself unless you're still learning to code (in which case is a learning exercise for you, not only about the outcome).
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In fact - had there ever been a single case in the history of the internet where a service provider of any kind - hosting, storage, email, search, anything - has ever stolen intellectual property or trade secrets from a user and benefitted from it? Has that literally ever happened?
Comment by jacobgold 3 days ago
IMHO the best of both worlds option is agents working with deterministic CLIs. Where the agent does the reasoning (and text generation) but uses CLIs to carry out all of the actions (issuing refunds, unblocking accounts, or whatever).
It's possible to get very reliable and consistent work out of agents when they're using well written prompts with well designed CLIs.
Comment by variety8675 3 days ago
Comment by jacobgold 3 days ago
Although you can certainly do a better-and-worse job of preventing these kinds of issues.
Comment by camdenreslink 2 days ago
Sometimes you can have a multistep deterministic workflow with a decision that needs made somewhere in the middle, which is where an LLM that can call tools is useful.
I think there are much less repeated tasks where you would want a fully agentic process (but there are many ad hoc tasks where that is exactly what you want).
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Comment by jacobgold 3 days ago
Some people might use skill-based scripts, MCPs, or some kind of raw access to a database. My point is that well designed CLIs are the optimal programmatic interface, for many reasons.
Comment by bethekidyouwant 3 days ago
Wait raw access to the database? That’s one of the options for issuing a refund?
Comment by cflewis 3 days ago
At Big Tech Company I Work At the LLM is quite happy to make raw API calls. If it thinks the data is big, then it'll write a Python tool to do it.
The reason crafted backing CLIs are useful is you can guide the LLM towards stuff that is immediately useful rather than hoping the nondetermism can separate the wheat from the chaff.
Take CI: is it interesting to know which tests passed? Maybe, but probably not. What is really interesting is what failed. Instead of having the LLM go out and talk directly to the CI system, write an intermediate CLI that filters out less actionable stuff by default, and have a flag that'll deliver the full dump if necessary.
It's a skill to do this stuff, and it's a lot of hard won experience than something I think is easily teachable. You kind of have to feel out your model and how it "thinks" about solving problems.
And then a new model version comes out and you have to learn it all again!
Comment by kristiandupont 2 days ago
That sounds backwards to me. I hope that most places don't see "having agents involved" as the ultimate purpose, but will use agents where it makes sense, i.e. when deterministic systems fall short.
Comment by AlienRobot 3 days ago
But that's not worth trillions of dollars...
Comment by alexpotato 2 days ago
I've already commented on other posts that having LLMs build deterministic and testable tools is the real unlock.
Even for things like customer service, a LLM that analyzes customer support transcripts and then updates your call tree to better route people is a huge win.
Comment by JCTheDenthog 3 days ago
Comment by whehhshs 3 days ago
We are slowly waking up to the fact, which was always true, that “coding” is just a fanciful preparatory task in order to appease the spirits properly so that we may invoke the spirit of what we are actually after: a live, running process that does useful things. Code is completely useless when separated from that fact.
Typing it is a complete waste of time unless getting up close and personal with it will result in some kind of useful and actionable improvement in you or your understanding. Knowing when it does and when it does not have this property is a skill of its own.
Comment by quacked 3 days ago
I believe this is the general belief about basically every human skill, that if you stop doing the technical fundamentals you get worse at understanding the activity. The question is whether coding is like sailing a square-rigged wooden ship, which became completely useless knowledge after the invention of the steam engine, or if it's like playing an instrument, which while technically unnecessary after the advent of MIDI and other tools, absolutely hurts your ability to arrange, compose and perform if the skill is neglected.
For my money: I think the AI scenario is more like the latter, but "humans are worse at coding" isn't the consequence I see coming. I worry that in ten years we will be awash in software that's impossible to understand. I don't think that's happened in any human industry ever. Someone has always understood how the machines are built, even if they're very remote from the users of the machine.
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Comment by inigyou 3 days ago
If you find yourself writing repetitive code you should consider adding a layer of abstraction. If your language isn't powerful enough you can write a code generator.
Comment by nik282000 3 days ago
Like, perhaps, understanding that it is free of security and functionality bugs.
Comment by jcgrillo 3 days ago
That is one of the things code does. It also communicates the developer's thoughts about how that process should work to others. If the latter is neglected, the code becomes very difficult to collaborate on. Very few lines of code that are written are "write once". Mostly they're changed, repeatedly, over time by many people. The live, running process is a very temporary entity by comparison. Yes, it needs to exist and do useful work. No, it is absolutely not the only thing that matters.
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Comment by bandrami 1 day ago
Were people actually typing out the full text of source code before LLMs? Why?
Comment by whehhshs 3 days ago
Code is obscenely low level.
Comment by skydhash 3 days ago
No one has ever needed to do that for something that is new. And if it’s not new, you want to do it repeatedly with some guarantee of reliability. Not just in an uncontrolled manner.
That is why we have snippet systems, macros and code generators. And the best with code is to solve problem once and reuse the solution. Which we have done with libraries, frameworks and supporting software.
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Comment by wtetzner 3 days ago
I would argue that this is nearly always the case. I don't think people really understand programs that they've only read at more than a very superficial level. This is why I tend to make (temporary) small changes, printlns, etc. when exploring a new code base: it aids greatly in understanding how a program actually works.
And it's even worse (in my experience) with LLM generated code, as it tends not to result in particularly understandable code. It is a lot like LLM generated prose: it often looks entirely reasonable at a surface level, but has a of weirdness/incorrectness hidden beneath the surface. But that surface level makes it very hard to avoid glossing over the details when reviewing the code. For this reason, I personally find it's much more effort to carefully review code than it is to write it.
Humans make mistakes all the time, but their code tends to naturally be structured for human understanding (to some degree based on skill/experience) because they themselves needed to understand it to write it.
I think LLMs are very useful tools, but after quite a lot of experience using them, I think it's generally better to use them as a sounding board, or to help you get unstuck or remove points of friction. Using them to write all of your code (at least for me) seems like a net negative.
I also think it's extremely easy to overestimate how much time they save. It feels like they're a productivity boost because it takes less intense focus to implement something. But I've experienced several instances where actually writing the code myself would have been both quicker and have resulted in better code.
All that being said, it can also be really hard to not write all of your code with agents once you get used to it. There's also a kind of slot-machine-like effect where you write a prompt, excited for the result, and when it doesn't quite come out right, you think "ah just one more prompt and it'll be good." It's hard to see when you're actually doing it though.
It's also weird to me how much people think typing is what the LLM is replacing. Typing was never the hard part. It's the translation of the high-level idea into an unambiguous process that's hard. That's also the valuable part, that requires thinking through the edge cases and consequences of decisions, and that just gets glossed over when using an LLM unless you rigorously review what the LLM has done.
At the end of the day there's a real tradeoff to be made, and it's worth being conscious of what's being given up.
Comment by dukeyukey 3 days ago
Comment by skydhash 3 days ago
Those costs don’t disappear and it’s truly naive to think they don’t matter. Take security issues, they may arise because what you thinks was the input is merely a subset of the true input range. And the extra possibilities lead to unforeseen behavior.
A lot of programming is about ensuring that the input and the output are the sets defined in the specs. And the rest is that the transition/relation is the right tradeoffs of performance, correctness, and costs.
Comment by xigoi 2 days ago
Comment by Der_Einzige 2 days ago
https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/guides/structured-out...
https://github.com/guidance-ai/guidance
https://github.com/noamgat/lm-format-enforcer
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So, code?
Comment by Philip-J-Fry 3 days ago
Instead of using the LLM to create deterministic tools, we are using LLMs to replace them. It's completely backwards and I don't know why people (especially high ranking people in my company at least) seem to think that this is the way forward. No, I don't want a whole CI pipeline that is just LLM prompts. Yes it's very easy, but it's expensive, slow and prone to failure in ways you can't even predict.
Same things like using LLMs for the code review process. What would have been a simple linting rule is now a pass with an LLM rather than using the LLM to create the linting rule, which it is absolutely excellent at creating.
Comment by IAmGraydon 3 days ago
Yes, and we're also seeing lots of companies claiming they're using "AI" and it's just deterministic under the hood.
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Comment by rueh 3 days ago
The agent paradigm will eventually give way to experiences that are a hybrid of deterministic and non deterministic and you won’t even know the llm was involved or visible.
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Comment by romanovcode 3 days ago
The AI psychosis is a real thing.
Comment by KellyCriterion 3 days ago
Regardless which task is handed to him, he "discusses" it first with Claude and very often comes back with like "The AI said... X"
Comment by Philip-J-Fry 3 days ago
These people just destroy their ability to read and understand the systems they're working with. I actually see it as them making themselves redundant. Because if you can't understand anything without Claude, and Claude doesn't even give the right answers, then what are you worth?
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Comment by nutjob2 3 days ago
I bet lemmings are grateful they were left behind.
It beggars belief that people think that they should rush in some uncertain direction, like some drawbridge is going to be lifted the moment people work out what the right direction is. It's utter stupidity.
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Comment by romanovcode 3 days ago
Of course I will do that, I get paid for doing that.
Most of the times I can convince that AI is not necessary by showing small PoC flow with AWS diagrams of data flows. This works well especially if the ask comes from technical people.
Other times the C-level interjects (CEO, CFO, sometimes even CTO) and demands that AI should be there. I literally had CEOs send me instagram reels of some AI shovel-sellers to demonstrate that I am wrong and AI is the way to go. No point arguing after that because I have no problem implementing whatever AI they want rather than losing a paying project.
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Comment by sdesol 3 days ago
The issue is, they don't want to provide "better" support but "cheaper" support. Imagine a trained agent that understands the big picture. Now imagine a company investing in humans to use AI to retrieve knowledge that the human can easily identify as being relevant or not, and using that knowledge to better aid the customer.
Right now AI is being sold as a "we don't need support personells" instead of "how can we provide better service." For a lot of products, better service will probably not matter as "cheaper" products will win most of the time.
Most people don't want to pay for better. They want to pay the same for something better, which is what companies are not investing their time in figuring out how to use AI properly for I think.
Comment by Hendrikto 3 days ago
A lot of people want to pay for better, but that is hard. Better is more expensive, most of the time, but being more expensive is no guarantee for being better. It feels like the correlation is very weak. Most expensive products are just expensive, not good.
If there was a reliable way to identify the "better" thing, I and a lot of other people would go for that every time we can.
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Comment by reg_dunlop 3 days ago
Instead of refining their approach, or challenging their current knowledge base for discovery of inefficiencies or baseless assumptions, they'd rather hit an "easy" button.
I understand the desire to NOT do work. I understand the desire to spend quality time and free time with family. And I understand the idea that familiarity breeds contempt.
What I don't understand is the willingness to replace a deterministic language/framework/approach with a probabilistic slop machine.
Comment by thatjoeoverthr 3 days ago
Comment by ytoawwhra92 2 days ago
People constantly call support for problems they can resolve themselves, where the product is actively trying to help them resolve the problem, and where copious documentation exists to communicate exactly how to resolve the problem. For many organisations these calls are >80% of support workload, which is why so many products make you complete a quiz before giving you a support form, or why you have to navigate a phone tree to get a person on the other end.
Most recent support call I assisted with was someone who was trying to sign in on a new device, sign in screen told them to check their email for a one-time code and enter it into the form on the screen. They called support because the email took longer than 10 seconds to arrive in their inbox, so they believed the code had already expired by the time it arrived. There was nothing in the form or the email communicating a 10 second code expiry (actual expiry is 60 minutes, not communicated in the form or email). They'd never actually tried to enter the code into the form and hit submit. Never clicked the help link. Just straight to the phone call.
Comment by throwatdem12311 3 days ago
Now that’s real value.
Comment by mikert89 3 days ago
Comment by reg_dunlop 3 days ago
These models do not have any experience. They're not sentient. And are in no way capable of being "smart", let alone becoming "smarter".
Comment by alexjplant 3 days ago
<b>Included in your plan limits until Jun 22</b> <br><br>Fable takes 2x the usage of Opus.
<b> Switch models when a message is flagged</b><k <br> When safety measures flag a message, automatically switch to a different model to keep chatting. When off, your chat will pause instead. <a href="https://support.claude.com/en/articles/153636
target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" > Learn more</a>
...and this was presumably generated with the flagship model from the world's most prestigious LLM company.Comment by sfn42 3 days ago
Comment by throwatdem12311 3 days ago
Ok wait maybe not the next one but surely the one after!
Hasn’t happened yet and there is no evidence it will.
Comment by laichzeit0 3 days ago
I’d actually love it if LLMs could skip the slow high level lanaguages entirely and just churned out some weird LLM bytecode that was closer to the metal. I don’t want to read it or understand it at all. Here’s my spec, build it and notify when done. I want to ship stuff not build or dick around with code. Basically like when I go to a shop because I want a table, I don’t care if some carpenter “crafted” it or a machine mass produced and spat it out. It’s cute, but most people just want stuff and don’t care how it’s built.
Comment by demorro 3 days ago
It's possible to say that LLMs producing code may be the same category of thing, but the non-determinism and ephemerality of it all makes it difficult to imagine.
Comment by throwatdem12311 3 days ago
My job is safe because I’m the only person at the company that actually understands what the actual code is doing and I’m the one that gets the calls at 2am and weekends.
“Weird LLM bytecode”
Why not just generate object code for the target mschine directly?
Comment by bjt 2 days ago
If we're just talking about AI chat interfaces, sure. But I think the way that AI usage is going to grow isn't mostly by getting more chat engagement. It's about baking AI features into software that people already use.
For example, suppose you asked the same people "How often do you search on Google?" I am willing to bet the numbers go up a lot. And all of those people are "using AI" in a very real sense, they just don't think about it when it's baked in.
Comment by magistr4te 2 days ago
Edit: The deciding factor being whether you want to figure out if people are interested in AI / find it useful, or if the question you seek answered is more akin to "X% of people consume lead in their food"
Comment by bjt 2 days ago
People engaging with the AI built into Google results pages can see it, and assumedly Google's A/B testing showed that they engaged with it.
Comment by rockskon 2 days ago
Maybe it's a better analogy to compare this to food-without-lead costing 10 times as much as food-with-lead in large part because of direct actions undertaken by lead manufacturers.
Comment by zamadatix 2 days ago
Comment by t0mpr1c3 2 days ago
I am guessing the threshold is when changes outgrow mere consumer convenience and start being something imposed without choice.
Comment by tripleee 3 days ago
"low effort and convenient" seems to consistently win over "best quality" and this is going to be a downgrade in everything, for everyone
Comment by inigyou 2 days ago
Comment by Gigachad 2 days ago
Contrast that to the last 10 years in Linux where things have become immensely better.
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Comment by spoaceman7777 3 days ago
As of 2023, 27% of American working-age adults were at a PIAAC Literacy Level of 1 or below, out of a total of 5 levels. This has gotten drastically worse in the past 10 years as, in 2013, Level 1 and below was only 17%.
Full scores for 2023 are: % Level 1 or below: 27% Level 2: 29% Level 3: 31% Level 4/5: 13%
For reference, Level 1 means someone can't really handle a full page of text, and can sort of handle simple 1-page web pages. Level 2 is the point where someone can start to handle a few pages of straightforward text, but still nothing particularly complicated.
(Both of those descriptions undersell just how bad it really is, but I'll leave it at that, for the sake of brevity.)
People that aren't using AI at all often aren't using it because they effectively can't. On a fundamental level.
Source: https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/piaac/2023/national_results.asp
Comment by ticulatedspline 3 days ago
https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/piaac/measure.asp?section=1&sub_...
I'm curious as to how I would score, I would definitely count myself as "literate" but I wonder how well I'd do on the level 4/5 tasks and if they cross over into more general memory, intelligence, and study habit metrics that even a normally "literate" person would not do well at.
Though given those descriptions I can't help thinking those would be great tests for AI. I'd love to see the proficiency scores for various models.
EDIT: Ok I just needed to scroll further, they have sample items in the last section up to level 4 and even at level 4 the question seemed trivial.
The most wordy one is the Q Drum article (which by the way Q drum is a real thing, kinda neat idea) and there's literally only two basic criticisms (flat land and expense) and if you had any idea what the life straw is you can probably construe what the similar criticism in the email is going to be without even looking.
Based on the scores and the proficiency description I assumed they were actually targeting some sort of normal distribution and levels 4/5 would be genuinely difficult explaining the scores. I'm now much more sad that the scores are so low.
At least I got a laugh at how they refer to each test item as "the stimulus" which has such a sterile/clinical flavor to it.
Comment by layer8 3 days ago
Comment by spoaceman7777 3 days ago
There's a whole level of ignorance out there that is honestly dumbfounding to even comprehend. The numbers for numeracy and problem solving are even more horrifying.
(It's for this reason that the most popular apps in the US are algorithmically generated feeds of photos, and often-non-verbal videos shorter than a TV advertisement.)
Comment by foxglacier 3 days ago
Comment by spoaceman7777 2 days ago
But, besides that, TikTok became the titan it is today during the pandemic. When everyone was indoors (not outside).
Per Google's quick answer, when searching "When did TikTok get really popular?": "TikTok's global popularity surged in 2020 due to pandemic lockdowns, with consistent growth since 2016, surpassing competitors in downloads by 2018."
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Comment by serial_dev 3 days ago
You would not judge what people think about politics by only reading comments on a Hasan Piker video (or only on a Nick Fuentes video).
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Comment by simonw 2 days ago
https://edition.cnn.com/2026/06/01/uk/hasan-piker-uk-entry-b...
Comment by krainboltgreene 1 day ago
Comment by JohnnyMarcone 2 days ago
These stats don't pass the smell test. About a third of people in the US have a bachelor's degree, but only 13% can pass level 4/5 literacy challenge? If you dig into the sample questions, they are not hard. A level 4 task has the person read a short article and pull out the criticisms of some products.
I know not everyone with a bachelor's degree is 'smart' but it's hard to believe 2/3rds couldn't pass level 4/5.
Also 13% have a master's degree, does that mean those 13% are the only people passing level 4/5?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Educational_attainment_in_the_...
Comment by ytoawwhra92 2 days ago
Yes, that's how bad the problem is.
I've worked with people with master's degrees who can't comprehend text more complex than a Slack message. I've watched them try and fail.
I think it is difficult for a highly-literate person to wrap their head around this. It's very possible to get through a bachelor's program with low literacy. It's even possible to do quite well. And at a reasonably good school.
There are some pretty successful businesses out there whose target market are essentially professionals with low literacy. They use more flattering descriptions in their marketing.
Comment by spoaceman7777 2 days ago
This is just how it is out there. Ask teachers what students are like these days. Think about designing for users. Or cross-reference with other info on this topic.
And, in regard to colleges... you have to keep in mind just how many colleges there are, how much the quality differs, the relative workloads of different degrees. There are a lot of people graduating with a GPA quite close to 2.0 at that full range too.
Also, think of how many college graduates never finish a book again after graduating college. Those numbers judge 18 to 65. And the age stats show that the older cohorts drag the scores down significantly.
The only upside to all of this is that it at least makes the chaos out there in the world make a bit more sense.
Comment by emodendroket 3 days ago
That's an interesting analogy as, despite the real ecological issues with it and principled arguments against meat eating, in general meat consumption has trended upward globally in country after country for decades.
Comment by sroerick 3 days ago
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Comment by embedding-shape 3 days ago
Google has search results still? I don't use Google much anymore (thanks Kagi), but this is what ends up showing for me, I don't even see any search results anymore: https://i.imgur.com/eHIA2Df.png It seems like it's 50/50 on page reload if the LLM-reply UI expands automatically or not, which covers my entire screen. I guess Google is doing some A/B testing perhaps.
Comment by Gigachad 2 days ago
Comment by embedding-shape 2 days ago
They should investigate if placing these search results above the limit of the screen/canvas height might lead to more people seeing them.
Comment by joks 1 day ago
Comment by NichoPaolucci 2 days ago
If I wanted to read an AI response to a query, I would use that tool specifically - I consider them different tools entirely.
It's definitely taken some time to get into the habit - perhaps defaulting to Google as the search engine was my first mistake.
However, most people I've seen run a quick search DO in fact just read the AI response (often with a caveat of "this is just from AI but..." which I appreciate), because for a lot of things it IS good enough or exactly what they needed.
Comment by KellyCriterion 3 days ago
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Comment by nutjob2 3 days ago
Anyone who does a search and accepts the first answer just doesn't care much or is incompetent. Anyone with any critical thinking whatsoever does way more than that if they want a correct answer.
Comment by arkaic 2 days ago
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Comment by 1vuio0pswjnm7 2 days ago
Still haven't tried it
Comment by 1vuio0pswjnm7 5 hours ago
"followed up by someone with 5k karma"
Incorrect. Maybe the reply was made in haste
Anytime a comment of mine receives lots of upvoites thare will always be some snarky replies. It's almost guaranteed
These will sometimes include personal attacks
Note all I did here was relate a personal anecdote: I'm not using "AI". HN commenters do this every day, many times off-topic
I expressed no opinion. I did not make any argument, prediction or "recommendation". All I did was state a fact, 100% on-topic
Comment by 1vuio0pswjnm7 1 hour ago
*there
Comment by mike_hock 2 days ago
Comment by oblio 1 day ago
At least use AI to know your enemy...
Comment by Drakexor 1 day ago
Comment by ErrantX 3 days ago
For example; ChatGPT is replacing my Google searching. Not necessarily because it's better, or because it's summaries are better than Google (I find them subjectively better but it's not clear cut).
But because the app has a nice history; can ask a relatively complicated question and go do something else and then come back to it, ask a follow up. Etc.
None of that is specifically an AI benefit, but it's a workflow that really helps, well, flow.
Comment by satvikpendem 3 days ago
Also, Gemini is free or at least has much higher usage limits than ChatGPT or Claude, and it's well integrated into Android and soon Apple with their new Siri, so things like circle to search just work well.
Comment by inigyou 2 days ago
Comment by ErrantX 3 days ago
If I am honest I believe my final solution will be a combination of Open Claw, a custom knowledge wiki based on Wikmd. I just need a good all for Claw with history that is as good as gpt
Edit: and context too. It inferred my energy supplier from previously chats and so when I just asked a pertinent question it referenced their policy. Admittedly Google will have way more context if they get the product right.
Comment by serial_dev 3 days ago
Comment by satvikpendem 3 days ago
Comment by gamblor956 2 days ago
The AI search results were actually better last year; significantly fewer hallucinations.
Comment by enraged_camel 3 days ago
- I'm getting my roof replaced due to hail damage. Insurance originally covered only $5k due to depreciation. I fed the insurance policy to AI. I learned about the appraisal clause and invoked it. At the end, I got another $6,500 back.
- I was having issues with plumbing. Four different plumbers came, they all said the cast iron pipes under the house need to change. Quotes ranged from $35k to $55k. I had AI walk me through the process. It taught me about the yard line vs. under-slab distinction, and suggested getting just the yard line replaced first because it's much cheaper and can fix the issue. I did that and spent $6k. The issue was fixed. I "saved" $30k for now by deferring that massive month-long project. (For brevity, I'm omitting a ton of boring technical stuff I learned about plumbing that helped me make the optimal decision - none of the contractors bothered explaining any of it.)
- My 2010 Hyundai Santa Fe is starting to show its age. I've taken it to multiple different repair shops, then fed their diagnoses and recommendations to AI and figured out which ones are trying to fleece me and which ones are being more careful and conservative with their repair recommendations. Probably saved several thousand dollars there. Learned a lot about cars too!
- My partner and I are converting the backyard to a wildlife sanctuary. The AI helped us plan what to plant where (depending on lots of factors like sunlight location, irrigation access, etc.) and it has been going really well. Also planned out a dragonfly pond to deal with mosquitoes. AI created a project plan, including schematics, material purchase list and step-by-step instructions.
- I've been wanting to do various other home improvement projects, but only ones that make financial sense. I took photos of my house, both inside and outside, and fed them to AI, and said "give me a list of projects I can do that will have high ROI for when I decide to sell this house". It spent 15 mins doing deep research, then came back with a long, prioritized list. If I do all the projects, I'd be spending about $40k and it would improve the house valuation by about $90k.
I can go on. There's probably dozens of stuff that I've used it for over the past year that led to massive time and money savings, and I've learned a ton as well about topics I normally would not have been exposed to or bothered to research myself. And I'm not even including all the work-related usage, both for my employer and my side business. That would be its own very long list.
Comment by satvikpendem 3 days ago
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Comment by edgarvaldes 3 days ago
I don't get these comments.
Comment by FromTheFirstIn 2 days ago
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Comment by rpdillon 3 days ago
This is a pattern I encourage - the AI might not be reliable, but with coaching, it can produce reliable tools. `colordiff` was causing issues with `less` when I was looking at diffs (character encoding issues I think), and when I asked Kimi K2.6 what to do, it built me a rust command-line diff tool in one shot that I've been using ever since (it even downloaded rust, wrote the tool, and compiled it).
Comment by NathanaelRea 3 days ago
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Comment by jacobgold 3 days ago
"No, everyone is not using the internet for everything."
Which would have been entirely true when written, and entirely false a relatively short time later.
Everyone does use the internet for everything today, and everyone will use AI for everything soon.
Comment by mawadev 3 days ago
Comment by jacobgold 3 days ago
I'm not saying it is a good thing, but this is completely out of touch with how dependent (most) people are on these technologies.
Comment by mawadev 3 days ago
Comment by simonw 3 days ago
Comment by bluefirebrand 3 days ago
What's the difference between then and now?
Pay phones, basically? Physical maps being available in public places more readily?
Comment by simonw 3 days ago
I tried to pick an obvious example to illustrate how that's not true.
The difference is that, prior to everyone having a smart phone, people had backups for if they ran into trouble. They might simply not go somewhere that they might have trouble returning from. They sorted out their travel plans in advance - someone to pick them up from a location at a time. They memorized phone numbers so they could call from a pay phone if they needed to. They carried cash or a cheque book to pay for cabs.
Comment by bluefirebrand 3 days ago
But you're definitely right. We become pretty reliant pretty quickly. I think that should be concerning with the way technology is trending in society
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Comment by sublinear 3 days ago
Local models are highly likely to dominate in the long run as "good enough" inevitably becomes trivially cheap. This is a very different pattern of incentives and adoption compared to the internet.
I think it's more similar to the advent of personal computers. They had a brief surge and then turned into something else (smartphones, cloud, etc.) for all but a few niche cases. AI is not changing the consumer landscape. It's getting absorbed into existing platforms where there's a clear use case and benefit. It's just another expected software feature. This is far from the first time people have rejected a "personal assistant" concept and they'll just keep rejecting it.
Comment by jacobgold 3 days ago
I agree that where models run will will change over time, probably they'll run everywhere, but it's still the same kind of AI we are talking about.
Smartphones are personal computers.
Comment by sublinear 3 days ago
It makes perfect sense that they exist and were way overdue for an update, but they're just extra blades on the multitool. Perhaps in some designs they become more integral, but that is expected and invisible.
Yes "everything", but that's not even close to sufficient to become a huge breakthrough like the internet.
Comment by yndoendo 3 days ago
Using AI everywhere would be the equivalent of using a screw driver to pick the piece of stuck broccoli out of your teeth. It will cost you more, to fix your teeth, than using a proper tool.
Comment by __natty__ 2 days ago
Comment by why_at 3 days ago
70% of people report reducing meat consumption, but research has shown that these intentions have very little correlation with people's actual behavior.
Comment by lynndotpy 2 days ago
That has to count for something.
Comment by arthurjj 3 days ago
This makes me less bearish on the AI investments that are being made, if 70% of the working age population isn't using AI then there still is a lot of growth. The future is here, it's just not evenly distributed (yet)
Comment by FromTheFirstIn 2 days ago
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Comment by leptons 3 days ago
A small group of developers at my company have set up volumes of skill.md and other instructions for the AI to write Jira tickets, then take action on those Jira tickets by writing the code. The AI submits a pull request. Then there's another AI to review the code. They've written the game plan for the AI to do all of this. All the human does now is click "approve" without even reading the PR, and then someone clicks "merge". There's no coding, no critical thinking by a human anymore except for telling the AI what to do... which really anyone at the company could do. I doubt I'll have a job at this company much longer after 8 years employed there.
Comment by bigstrat2003 3 days ago
Comment by simonw 3 days ago
If you're working in some vanishingly rare domain then maybe it's not yet, but most coding challenges are very much in the wheelhouse of the current frontier models.
Comment by sdesol 2 days ago
I honestly can't see things going back to what it was 5 years ago. We will probably not have the future that Anthropic hopes for, but I think every developer will be required to chat with AI as part of the planning process to reduce a companies "bus factor" risk.
Comment by jdw64 3 days ago
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Comment by leptons 3 days ago
I am constantly looking for a new job, but all of them are also require AI coding experience.
Comment by monkaiju 3 days ago
Comment by zeroonetwothree 3 days ago
If I worked in marketing/growth for an AI company I would try to consider some ways of breaking through this gap.
Comment by canyp 3 days ago
Comment by michaelbuckbee 3 days ago
If you consider things like the machine learning filters in your smartphone camera and Google's AI Overviews for searches it's entirely plausible that the US is currently at 75%+ of AI usage.
Comment by antonvs 3 days ago
Comment by yegg 3 days ago
[1] https://sparktoro.com/blog/new-research-20-of-americans-use-...
Comment by antonvs 2 days ago
And as a clickbait headline, "not everyone" makes sense.
But, realistically, the NYT obviously isn't talking about, say, the North Sentinelese islanders. Similarly, it's probably not really talking about people who don't do the kind of white collar work where AI is, so far, most prevalent.
In fact, the group the NYT is most likely referring to as "everyone" is really "readers of the NYT". It might be hard to come up with numbers for that, but I suspect they'd be a lot higher.
Anecdotally, at the company I'm at (late-stage venture-backed), everyone from software developers to people on the marketing, sales, and finance side are using AI. And we're not unique. This will make the statement ring true to many people, even if it's not globally true in an absolute sense.
This all makes more sense once you've truly internalized the Yogi Berra quote about a certain popular restaurant: "No one goes there anymore. It's too crowded."
Comment by jzemeocala 3 days ago
Comment by tanaykarnik 3 days ago
and for the ones that are using it (especially the paid subs). the lure is undeniable.
Comment by aocallaghan17 3 days ago
Software engineers are definitely in a bit of a bubble here. Are we just early adopters who see the value sooner, or does it uniquely benefit software engineering, or do we just like cool automation and we're deluding ourselves that this adds value beyond the cost?
Comment by bigstrat2003 3 days ago
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Comment by targafarian 3 days ago
The moment you have to interact with the physical world or humans (psychological, imaginative, aesthetic, etc), there are often undiscovered or changing rules—or no rules at all. Or systems are subject to perturbations beyond a defined scope.
The other thing I believe is software developers are experts at doing the things that allow them to make doing those very things easier and more automated. And they do this in public, perfectly documented online.
Both because of the things I described above and because software developers have created the largest machine-accessible training set for plying their trade of any trade, ML—that is ultimately interpolating massive datasets to do things—is unsurprisingly uniquely successful for software tasks.
Comment by demorro 3 days ago
Comment by TheOtherHobbes 3 days ago
The less popular a language, the more models struggle.
Writing, UI, and presentations have similar knowledge bases.
Outside of those, quality becomes much more hit and miss. If you ask for a recipe you may get something good, or you may get something completely inedible and random.
"Domain specific knowledge" really means "strong foundations and relevant abstractions" and LLMs just don't do that reliably.
Comment by gambiter 3 days ago
> Computers should adapt to people. Asking people to make themselves more legible to software — to turn themselves into a database — is a doomed idea.
I've been in software a long time, and I do sort of see this trend, but I think it's because these are tools that build other tools. The interface has always been a 'best I can do for now' thing, with the focus on doing things that are useful. Computers were just calculators in the beginning, which led to more complex calculators, instruction sets, programming languages, operating systems, GUIs, interconnectivity, etc.
What people are doing today is experimenting, like they always have. They're putting their experiments out there so that others can use them and build on them. Some will use those tools to build other tools, and some won't. But over time, the experiments that work will get distilled and turn into real products that people who 'do not yearn for automation' will still want to use, so it seems like the value is there.
I guess the real question is whether they will create value that offsets the near-term costs, because I don't think the billions in investments are sustainable, and I'm not convinced the centralized data center paradigm is the right way.
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Comment by kylehotchkiss 3 days ago
I also just bought a completely mechanical film camera to learn a new old skill with no tech to fall back on.
Comment by paulcole 3 days ago
Comment by dismalaf 3 days ago
My wife uses it for a (non-computer related) business though and it's great for all sorts of normally tedious marketing/social media type jobs though. Stuff that doesn't really require accuracy just needs text on pictures that looks good quickly.
I think everyone just has FOMO and doesn't want to lose to competitors. Eventually it'll die down.
Comment by egorfine 2 days ago
Comment by tanaykarnik 3 days ago
i am not saying it's really powerful or great. but the lure is undeniable. because of how low friction it has become.
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Comment by negergreger 3 days ago
Looking things up and asking questions was always something for a minority of the population so the language model usage being relatively low isn't a surprise.
Problem arises if the non-AI segment is leveraged to create regulations that impact the AI using segment negatively.
Comment by arisAlexis 3 days ago
Comment by nutjob2 3 days ago
Actually anything that is about 90% great and 10% disastrously wrong is utter crap given the way people want and do use AI models.
They are great tools in the right hands and awful in the wrong.
Comment by acc_297 3 days ago
the tech is pretty good at helping identify simple bugs when they happen and to write short sections of code given very explicit instructions but yeah I have yet to see good examples of short one sentence ideas turned into a working product that looks better than anything that could be a UDemy tutorial app.
Comment by inigyou 2 days ago
Comment by vb-8448 3 days ago
They are great on exploring, understanding and finding bugs in existing codebase.
They are great for simple or one time scripts/programs.
They are terrible, really terrible coders. The overengineering is so deep in their training that no matter what is your prompt, your skills or agents.md/claude.md, if you don't babysit them continuously, at some point they will just fuck up your codebase.
Comment by KaiShips 3 days ago
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Comment by 1vuio0pswjnm7 2 days ago
Surreptitious surveillance, probably with dubious consent
Is Redmond afraid to just ask users
Then compare the data
If no one asnwers when asked then maybe that means they don't wish to allow Microsoft collect that data
"SearchLight asked about a range of technologies and to say "whether you believe the overall impact of each technology on society is positive or negative." AI only has an +8% net positive rating right now, right next to +7% for social media, which were only greater than crypto at -17%."
LOL. This is what happens when people are asked for their opinions
Comment by 1vuio0pswjnm7 2 days ago
Comment by Lerc 2 days ago
I guess that goes with the notion that for any really idiotic take you can think of, there's going to be someone out there confidently promoting it.
In general, most claims of 'everyone is...' means "Most of the people around me that I observe are..."
Which might mean they are not around other perspectives, or it might mean they just are not observing other perspectives.
Comment by jstummbillig 3 days ago
Nor should they! It's such a shit thing to be emotionally invested in. Imagine people would have been upset about databases. It's really fantastic software and we should be happy to have it, and now go and make the most of it, for all of us.
Comment by adham541 3 days ago
Comment by keeda 2 days ago
https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2025/nov/state-gen...
Interactive data tracker here: https://www.genaiadoptiontracker.com/
I'll note that despite this, most AI providers are very compute constrained (see: the skyrocketing backlogs of each cloud provier; Claude's 9's until a few weeks ago until Anthropic, along with Google -- of all companies -- renting capacity from Elon.)
That could be a material reason for the overall low adoption. I think the big AI players are carefully balancing multiple conflicting priorities with their limited compute: acquiring and keeping users with free or heavily subsidized tokens, while ensuring they can satisfy their paying customers' SLAs. If there was more compute they would probably invest more in marketing and pushing adoption further (and indeed, a Google exec was quoted saying exactly that after a big Gemini launch.)
Something else to consider: If only 10% of users use GenAI daily, that leaves a potential 45x growth minimum on the horizon (the remaining 90% of users x 5 weekdays, assuming everyone chills on weekends, and ignoring that agents use way more tokens.) Which is why every hyperscaler has been scrambling to build out more capacity.
The typical question at this point is, where's the payoff? Two points:
1. Despite this relatively low level adoption, AI company revenues are already spiking at unprecedented rates. (Not just the frontier labs, even the smaller startups, as reported by investors, enterprise customers as well as Stripe, their payment processor: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46730182)
2. The St. Louis Fed study above notes that there has been a ~1.89 percentage points increase in national labor productivity since 4th quarter 2022, which could be explained by their data on GenAI adoption.
They are careful to call out that causation is impossible to prove, but the possibility that GenAI may already be having a noticeable impact on national-level economic indicators only 3+ years since launch is wild.
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Comment by kaydub 3 days ago
Everybody is using LLMs/AI. All the time. It's in every facet of your life. Just because you didn't input the prompt, doesn't mean you're not consuming the end product of LLMs all day, everyday, on websites like this one, reddit, tiktok, instagram, facebook, etc.
Addressing the article, if you're hyperfocused on whether people are using AI and only consider AI use a chatbot... well, you're not honestly covering all the AI use out there. And reading the other stats, it seems like this article is trying to paint a narrative. Why is the Datos stat only considering "Desktop use" for instance.
Not to mention their stats are actually astounding and DON'T show what the headline is trying to assert. 1/3 of people using AI regularly is a FUCK TON of people in a VERY short span of time to uptake a new technology.
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But more likely it’s just that those who still listen to Hard Fork agree with the conclusions before listening to the podcast.
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Comment by Zetaphor 3 days ago
Additionally when the finally bubble bursts and the executives wake up from psychosis and look to distance themselves from this because it's become a dirty word, you'll be one of the first to go. The nail that sticks out gets hammered down and all that.
I do think there are real benefits and productivity gains with this technology, but it does not benefit everyone equally. It's great for the programming parts of my job, but useless in the other 40% of the work. I have coworkers for whom generative AI has no obvious practical application, and yet management is trying to find a way to shoehorn it in anyway. No doubt because they've also drank the kool-aid and are eager to reduce headcount.
This attitude of it making everything more productive and anyone who doesn't follow will be left behind is not just false, it's cruel and myopic. You're talking about people's livelihood being taken away because a handful of executives decided this is how things should work despite the MASSIVE number of shortcomings and poor product market fit.
Edit: I also almost missed where you're seemingly celebrating the devaluation of human labor as a result of this. Please stop and reflect on how your position may read to someone who is just trying to put food on the table.
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Comment by simonw 3 days ago
That aside, this piece is interesting and ties together some useful numbers and studies.
I hadn't seen the recent Microsoft paper showing:
> 30 percent of the US working-age population is using AI [...] with at least 90 minutes of usage time in a given month.
I'm honestly impressed at how high that number is! That's a lot of adoption for a technology (LLM chatbots) that didn't exist four years ago.
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Comment by simonw 3 days ago
"Everyone Is Using A.I. for Everything. Is That Bad?" - subheading: "Either way, let’s not be in denial about it."
It's clearly intended as rhetorical hyperbole - like "everyone's on their phone at the movie theater" or "everyone's fed up with AI hype".
If you read the actual transcript it makes it very clear that it's not claiming "Everyone is using AI" almost immediately:
> ChatGPT is the sixth-biggest website on Earth. Something like 43 percent of Americans in the work force use generative A.I.
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