NYC congestion pricing cuts air pollution by a fifth in six months

Posted by pseudolus 10 hours ago

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Comments

Comment by 1970-01-01 10 hours ago

The fact that tolls are now directly useful to the entire public must not be underappreciated. This is good news for everyone.

Comment by afavour 10 hours ago

The run up to their implementation was so deeply frustrating. The sheer number of disingenuous objections. And they’ve all been proven false.

Comment by JumpCrisscross 10 hours ago

> sheer number of disingenuous objections

This is unfair. Nobody wants to pay more for anything. And many of the objections resulted in policy adjustments that made the programme better.

Comment by Hammershaft 10 hours ago

Which objections lead to better policy?

Comment by JumpCrisscross 9 hours ago

> Which objections lead to better policy?

The MTA "changed its flawed initial proposal to offer the [disability] exemption only to drivers or vehicles owners with state-issued disability plates" [1].

[1] https://www.nylpi.org/resource/letter-to-mta-regarding-conge...

Comment by hammock 10 hours ago

Which objections were proven wrong?

Comment by Hammershaft 9 hours ago

The objection that pricing will damage local retail, in aggregate retail has thrived from pricing.

https://bettercities.substack.com/p/congestion-pricing-is-a-...

Comment by CGMthrowaway 9 hours ago

Retail where? Inside the congestion zone? What about outside it?

Comment by Hammershaft 9 hours ago

I don't know, but specifically many people objected that the tax would hurt retail inside and they were wrong.

Comment by adgjlsfhk1 9 hours ago

If you are objecting to a policy because it will make that area better and as a result, hurt businesses elsewhere, you need to rethink your choices.

Comment by afavour 10 hours ago

I didn’t say every objection was disingenuous, just that there was an incredible number of objections that were.

Comment by tux1968 10 hours ago

I'm sure you're being honest about your intent, but a glancing read of your previous comment sounded categorical, to my ear at least, "And they've all been proven false."

Comment by 5kh 9 hours ago

It’s hard from reading what is written how it is intended. Written communication is hard since it doesn’t encapsulate tone, emphasis, and other cues. I read “all” in this case to mean: “most of the commonly espoused objections”.

Comment by GreymanTheGrey 9 hours ago

All of the disingenuous objections. The intent of the OP is very clear, imo.

Comment by RhysU 10 hours ago

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Comment by tomhow 10 hours ago

Please don't fulminate or engage in ideological battle here. The topic is fine to discuss and disagree about, but HN is for curious conversation not indignation, and the guidelines make it clear we're trying for something better here. You've posted several ragey comments in a short space of time, and that's not the way HN is meant to be used. Please have a read of the guidelines and make an effort to observe them when participating here.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Comment by afavour 10 hours ago

> Remember kids: congestion pricing is nothing but a tariff on transportation.

On driving. And it actually makes driving more appealing, there’s much less traffic so you can get where you’re going much quicker.

> Instead of making public transport more appealing through competition

Like having multiple subway systems? NYC did that already.

Comment by itissid 10 hours ago

This is also quantitatively correct because for two people coming in from afar you might change two trains or a bus and train and each ticket is at least 3.00$(bus/path from NJ) which is 24$ minimum both ways, with more than two it would make even more sense to take the car.

Congestion pricing brings in a toll above the 16$ you pay throu the tunnel. I think it's 18, So 34$ total?

So you are incentivized to get more than 2 people by car. Less traffic.

Comment by RhysU 10 hours ago

It makes driving more appealing if one discounts the best alternative use of the funds, which humans are irrationally likely to do. That driving seems better is because people suck at thinking about what else they might do with the money given compound returns on its investment.

Comment by eutropia 10 hours ago

Buses got significantly more reliable as a result of reduced traffic, more ridership on subways allowed for more police presence at stations, reducing crime.

Public transit got better.

Comment by RhysU 10 hours ago

[flagged]

Comment by Dylan16807 10 hours ago

"There is no such thing as a free lunch" is a very strong argument for tolls, I hope you realize.

> everyone paying the tolls who now needs to engage in additional pollution-causing economic activity merely to offset the costs of government-mandated congestion pricing

I don't think that's how economics work. People are already doing their best to generate money. Also even if that did happen, the thing you're describing as "pollution-causing" is GDP growth, which is overall desirable.

> tariffs

Whether a tariff is good depends on what the goal is (and whether it works toward that goal).

Comment by RhysU 10 hours ago

If people aren't working harder to offset the tolls then they're strictly poorer as a consequence of the toll.

Comment by Dylan16807 10 hours ago

You can say that about any tax. Which makes it extremely unconvincing as an argument against any particular tax, since in the long term money not collected from tax A will be collected from tax B.

(And they have the option of not driving, too.)

Comment by 8note 10 hours ago

not strictly. the pollution has gone down, for instance, reducing future health costs, and improving quality of life.

Comment by Hammershaft 10 hours ago

Pigouvian taxes are genuinely one of the few policies that really are nearly a free lunch in economics.

Comment by RhysU 10 hours ago

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Comment by ch4s3 10 hours ago

It’s a tariff on DRIVING in Manhattan, the place in America you least need to drive.

Comment by RhysU 10 hours ago

You have never tried to leave the city for the suburbs after 9 pm. Driving is still immensely useful, as I sit in my Uber on the way home.

Comment by jonesetc 10 hours ago

The $9 toll made it worth your money to Uber instead? Seems like your suburb isn't very far. Maybe a train could help you out.

Comment by ch4s3 9 hours ago

It sounds like the problem is living in the suburbs.

Comment by _bohm 10 hours ago

How are you crashing out over a $9 toll while using a mode of transport that's (conservatively) 3x more expensive to commute just one way? Good grief lmao

Comment by 8note 10 hours ago

its not a tariff because tariffs are taxes on imports. you arent paying a tax related to the value of the goods being brought over, and to the extent that new car buyers are importing cars, its neglible compared to what youre trying to draw equivalence to, trump's 30% or so tariffs.

instead, its a toll or a usage tax.

but also, you want the economic activity of having people in the city, not the cost of supporting their light trucks. people coming from outside of new york are very costly in terms of pollution, road maintenance, and losing real estate to parking spaces.

Comment by scubbo 10 hours ago

> why isn't congestion pricing a tariff?

Because tariffs are imposed on trade between countries. That was easy!

Comment by RhysU 10 hours ago

[flagged]

Comment by fwip 10 hours ago

Oh, you're playing stupid little word games.

Comment by smileysteve 10 hours ago

Ironic that with a headline measuring a negative externality of driving that wasn't being priced in and you think transit got the artificial leg up.

Comment by fwip 10 hours ago

A tariff is a tax on imports. Driving is not an import.

Comment by jeffbee 10 hours ago

In American English, tariff always means a fee that applies to international imports and exports. It doesn't apply here.

Comment by csomar 10 hours ago

No it’s not. NYC transit is already one of the most expensive in the world and quality is suspect. Pushing money into a dysfunctional structure doesn’t make it functional and might make it worse. A money grab from the public that goes through a maze of expenses.

The solution was to re-structure the MTA. But that’s hard work. Politicians would rather blame the other side and just raise taxes. The people like it because they are grabbing money from what they consider it to be their oppressors.

Comment by jpalawaga 9 hours ago

The quality is not suspect. It is one of the world’s few 24/7 systems, and there are many capital improvements happening constantly. For example, making more stations accessible and improving switching equipment to improve reliability and volume.

This comment is typical HN “government bad can do no right” fodder. The MTA is truly a marvel in the service it provides. The only advantage it has is age, which is why it is so expansive.

Comment by Invictus0 9 hours ago

The MTA is billions in the red because it overpays the union workers and fails to commercialize the stations

Comment by amanaplanacanal 9 hours ago

You may not realize this, but the roads are also in the red. All transportation is subsidized out of taxes.

Comment by Invictus0 8 hours ago

You may not realize this, but there are numerous rail systems around the world that are not subsidized and are in fact profitable. See Japan, for instance

Comment by lmm 8 hours ago

Almost all rail in Japan is subsidized, directly and indirectly. Yes the single line that is the Tokaido Shinkansen is immensely profitable; even then, JR Central does not pay market-rate interest on even the portion of the construction debt that was not absorbed by the government.

Comment by jakelazaroff 8 hours ago

I don't want our public infrastructure to be profitable; I want it to be ubiquitous and frequent.

Comment by lmm 7 hours ago

The MTA does not overpay when you compare to other employers in central NYC. It's an extremely expensive city due to housing policy failures.

As for commercialising the stations, does the MTA try to do so and fail, or are they forbidden from doing so effectively (often by the same people who are pushing the narrative that there is something wrong with the organisation)?

Comment by jjj123 9 hours ago

I simply do not care if my public services are “in the red”. Let’s make them entirely in the red, please.

Comment by rayiner 9 hours ago

The point is that the MTA is deeply in the red even though it still charges significant fares. Meanwhile, systems like the London Tube manage to recover at least their operating costs without charging fares that are much if at all higher.

Comment by maxldn 7 hours ago

According to a quick search the nyc subway is $2.90 rising to $3 next year. This is comparable to, but slightly less than a zone 1 off peak ticket in London at £2.70. Most journeys are more expensive (on the train, busses are pretty cheap here)

Comment by ATMLOTTOBEER 9 hours ago

Even if the govt lights the money on fire we still get the benefit of fewer cars in lower manhattan.

What in particular about the MTA would you change?

Comment by JumpCrisscross 8 hours ago

> What in particular about the MTA would you change?

Remove the diversity compliance requirement from bids, e.g. [1]. Open up bids to any firm in the nation and select winners based on cost and competence only. Subject the MTA to a forensic audit every ten or twenty years.

[1] https://www.mta.info/document/180556

Comment by ako 5 hours ago

Usually diversity requirements don't come with lower competence requirements. They usually require people to be competent and then also equal opportunity. Or are you suggesting that all non-white non-male people are incompetent?

Comment by JumpCrisscross 3 hours ago

> diversity requirements don't come with lower competence requirements

They come with certification requirements. The one that RFQ lists are NYC specific.

> are you suggesting that all non-white non-male people are incompetent?

I’m saying a local-only bidding pool will necessarily be smaller than a national one. And requiring local certification guarantees the former.

I’m objecting to diversity compliance. Not diversity requirements. (Though even there, one needs to be cognizant of how quickly intersecting requirements can rapidly cascade the candidate pool to small numbers.)

Comment by hammock 10 hours ago

They better be. No one’s rooting for the smog, but a congestion tax is pretty regressive (hurts poorer people more)

Comment by energy123 10 hours ago

Poor people are forced by circumstance to live in the busiest areas so they will get the biggest health benefits and many do not own cars and often do not even own a car space, so I would beg to differ.

You can also offset the regressive nature of this taxation (if any) by putting the revenue into subsidizing public infrastructure like rail and bus.

Comment by seanmcdirmid 10 hours ago

Isn’t it the opposite though? The poor aren’t able to live in the most popular busiest areas, and usually have to live on the fringes of the city. They might train in though. This is mostly going to benefit the rich people who can still afford to live in the city, but with rent control there are still some non-rich people in the city.

Comment by CGMthrowaway 9 hours ago

It is both. People forget that probably a third of all housing in the congestion zone is rent-controlled or public housing.

Half of households in the congestion zone are living at or below 3x federal poverty level ($70K for a family of three). One in six residents makes $20K or less a year.

Comment by sysguest 7 hours ago

well it's not 100% this or that -- it's mixed up

really-rich people don't have to work/commute, so prefer to live in countryside with gardens

really-poor people can't afford cars, and rich(=busy) cities usually have accomodations for them -- so they live inside busy cities

Comment by seanmcdirmid 6 hours ago

Really poor people can’t afford cars in the city, and yes, they can exist in the city because of public housing snd rent control. And it really isn’t the cars that are expensive, or even operating the cars, but the parking.

There are lots of middle class commuters who can’t afford to live in the city: they aren’t lucky enough to win the lottery with a rent controlled unit, and are too rich to live in public housing, but still too poor to live in housing of a standard they can tolerate in the city even if their job is there.

Comment by lmm 10 hours ago

Not in NYC where less than half the population has access to a car.

Comment by hammock 10 hours ago

The congestion tax has far more impact on people who live and work above 60th or in the outer boroughs or NJ than it does Manhattanites. Retail, wholesale, trades, small businesses and yes commuters in these areas, which are poorer than Manhattan, suffer disproportionately

Comment by lmm 7 hours ago

Any evidence for that impact? While the prospect of displaced traffic was very much hyped, the data I've seen is that there's very little of it.

Comment by AniseAbyss 9 hours ago

[dead]

Comment by seanmcdirmid 10 hours ago

This mostly commuters and tradesmen. You aren’t going to get your tools on the train, snd you are driving into the city from white plains or somewhere similar.

Comment by smileysteve 10 hours ago

The alternative is the tradesmen can now apply their trade for 30 minutes more each way rather than sit in traffic (probably better overall) That, and apparently they and their kids can breathe easier.

Comment by afavour 9 hours ago

Tradesmen pass the charge onto their customers. Commuters already have to pay huge parking fees, by comparison the congestion charge is small change.

Comment by CGMthrowaway 9 hours ago

> Tradesmen pass the charge onto their customers

You mean to say people without cars are paying the congestion tax? :P

Comment by adgjlsfhk1 9 hours ago

Likely not. Reduced congestion decreases transit time which can easily pay for the conjestion charge.

Comment by lmm 9 hours ago

The people who are hiring tradesmen are disproportionately the rich.

Comment by seanmcdirmid 9 hours ago

Ya, definitely, I didn’t mean to imply otherwise.

Comment by knollimar 10 hours ago

2.90 is pretty accessible

Comment by jkaplowitz 9 hours ago

The 2.90 is even capped at $34 per week. Then there's the 50% discount for low-income NYC residents who qualify and apply for the Fair Fares NYC program, or for anyone regadless of residence who qualifies for reduced fares through age or a qualifying disability.

Both of these numbers are changing in early January to $3 and $35 respectively, but same idea.

Still, some European countries like Germany offer far cheaper than this, while others like the UK are probably pricer. NYC public transit gives very good value for the US at least.

Comment by orwin 3 hours ago

It hurts homeless more, that's a fact (although most,big cold city homeless couchsurf rather than sleep in their car in my experience, but it might be different in the US). But if you take 'poor people' as in the bottom 20% of earners, they probably don't drive, because car are expensive.

Comment by ashleyn 10 hours ago

Well, Mamdani wants to make transit free. Car taxes can probably help a lot to pay for that.

Comment by jkaplowitz 9 hours ago

Partial correction: he wants to make buses free, but not subways.

Comment by renewiltord 10 hours ago

Many things hurt the poor more, because there are many things that the poor do that have negative externalities that cannot be compensated for by the productivity of the poor. Strict enforcement against violent crime is pretty regressive in that more poor people are incarcerated when this is done. Others are that strict enforcement of traffic laws is pretty regressive; paid parking is regressive; as are fares for buses and trains. Requiring a minimum number of signatures for a ballot proposition is regressive. Allowing more expensive cars to incorporate more advanced safety features is regressive. Requiring grant applications to be carefully written is regressive. As are minimum flying requirements for pilots. DoD medical standards for soldiers are regressive. Officer ASVAB score requirements are regressive. Surgical requirements. Drug approval requirements.

In fact, anything that requires a standard of performance will be regressive. We don't have to subordinate all goals to regression avoidance. In fact, no functioning society does that.

Comment by CGMthrowaway 9 hours ago

> Officer ASVAB score requirements are regressive

Used to be that you had to purchase an officer's commission...

Comment by renewiltord 8 hours ago

The glory days when we could charge cannon fire on horseback. This is what they took from us.

Comment by tootie 10 hours ago

I actually doubt it's very regressive in NYC. Also, you're still only counting the price and not the cost. The benefits are likely tilted towards the poorest residents who absorb the most costs of congestion in terms of both pollution and road safety. That's just an educated guess but it's very plausible.

Comment by masterphai 10 hours ago

A charge on the marginal driver looks regressive if you only examine who pays the toll, but not who’s been paying the externalities all along. Once you include the benefits - faster buses, cleaner air, better reliability, and the ability to reinvest revenue into transit - the incidence flips pretty quickly.

We’re basically shifting costs from people who can’t opt out of congestion to people who can. That’s about as progressive as a transport policy gets.

Comment by Ar-Curunir 9 hours ago

Poorer people disproportionately take public transit.

Comment by Pooge 10 hours ago

I live in Europe so it's still very much considered pedestrian-friendly, but cars and roads scale so bad. Especially with population density going through the roof in bigger cities.

I wonder how it's going to look like in 50 years.

Comment by frankest 10 hours ago

EV self-driving shuttles you can take on demand so nobody needs to keep a car

Comment by milesskorpen 10 hours ago

EVs help with air pollution & congestion, but a huge part of the AQI impact of cars is tires, and I don't think there's a solution for that yet short of "fewer cars"

Comment by amanaplanacanal 9 hours ago

How do EVs help with congestion? They take up the same amount of space as an ICE car.

Comment by crazygringo 8 hours ago

EV shuttles will come in lots of capacities. Vans, buses. But you won't need to worry about schedules or preset routes because it's all dynamic.

Wherever there would be the most congestion is precisely where the app will give you the biggest discount to switch from your private vehicle into a bus, then switch back into another private vehicle for the last 5 minutes of your trip.

Comment by amanaplanacanal 7 hours ago

None of what you are saying has anything to do with being an EV vehicle.

Comment by crazygringo 46 minutes ago

Derp. Quite right. For some reason I was thinking about self-driving instead...

Comment by dzhiurgis 4 hours ago

They can go into cheap, boring tunnels (little ventilation requirements)

Comment by bmicraft 2 hours ago

They can't (fire safety requirements make all tunnels expensive)

Comment by Aloisius 9 hours ago

I thought the tire wear particulates being a huge source of particulate air emissions was an overestimate due to misunderstanding and misquotation of primary literature by secondary literature used by regulatory agencies.

https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00792

Comment by d_sem 9 hours ago

electric bicycles have significantly less tire waste.

Comment by rcpt 8 hours ago

Braking dust is worse than tires, and EVs don't use brake pads nearly as much because they rely on regenerative braking.

Comment by Ar-Curunir 9 hours ago

How do EVs help with congestion

Comment by stouset 8 hours ago

EVs are just going to further escalate the race to the bottom with traffic that we’re already seeing with services like DoorDash.

Driving down the marginal cost per hour to operate a vehicle on the road and removing humans who are averse to sitting in endless traffic is not going to result in the utopia people think it will.

Comment by mmooss 8 hours ago

EV human-driven shuttles can do the same. Why do we need a robot for that?

Comment by dangus 9 hours ago

Or, how about this, connect them together and put them on rails to reduce friction.

You could even run them separate from the street with raised platforms for accessibility and sometimes even run them underground.

We could call this something like “underway” or “steel beam connect-o-cars”

Comment by dzhiurgis 4 hours ago

> put them on rails to reduce friction

Good luck climbing hills. A lot of systems like these moved away from rails onto rubber tires.

Rapid bus is probably best combination. Yes it will never match the throughput of rail, but it's vastly cheaper.

Comment by rayiner 9 hours ago

No, individualized point to point travel is better. I just got back from Tokyo and Taipei, which have transit systems better than any European country. And it was still faster to Uber everywhere.

Comment by amanaplanacanal 9 hours ago

Only because most people were taking the train. If everybody was taking a car you would be at a stand still.

Comment by rayiner 8 hours ago

Only if you build the city like Tokyo instead of like Dallas. Average commute in Tokyo is 45 minutes to an hour one way: https://nbakki.hatenablog.com/entry/2014/08/05/231455. Average commute time in Dallas is 26 minutes one way: https://dallas.culturemap.com/news/city-life/dallas-suburb-s...

I’m not aware of any transit-oriented city where average commute times are as low in absolute terms as in sprawling, car-dependent American cities. You just don’t like the aesthetics of that approach. I don’t either. But it’s an aesthetic critique at bottom.

Comment by lmm 7 hours ago

> Average commute in Tokyo is 45 minutes to an hour one way: https://nbakki.hatenablog.com/entry/2014/08/05/231455. Average commute time in Dallas is 26 minutes one way: https://dallas.culturemap.com/news/city-life/dallas-suburb-s...

People in Tokyo will accept a longer commute for the sake of a better job or housing or both, because the commute is less miserable (and also because employers pay commute costs).

> I’m not aware of any transit-oriented city where average commute times are as low in absolute terms as in sprawling, car-dependent American cities.

Transit-oriented cities provide access to more jobs within a fixed range like 30 minutes even for car commuters. https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-021-00020-2/figures/4 . People in Dallas having shorter commutes isn't a sign that Dallas is built better, it's a sign that people in Dallas are avoiding switching to otherwise better jobs because it would make their commutes worse.

Comment by rayiner 1 hour ago

From your article: “The automobile provides better access than transit in all cities we compared, except in Shanghai, China, where automobile reaches about 90% of the jobs reachable by transit at 30 min.”

Comment by Mawr 5 hours ago

Tokyo has a population of some 14 million. Dallas is about 1.3 million. Did you pick cities with populations exactly 10x apart on purpose or something?

Got any real stats?

Comment by rayiner 2 hours ago

So what? Why do you need one city with 13 million people when the US has the land area to build 10 cities with 1.3 million people?

Comment by lmm 7 hours ago

It's a tragedy of the commons. For an individual, private car is faster, but the resulting traffic ultimately makes things slower for everyone. Public transit in Tokyo is faster than private cars in car-oriented cities.

Comment by rayiner 1 hour ago

That’s not true. Public transit in Tokyo is slower than driving in Dallas or LA. Average one-way commute in LA is just over 30 minutes: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B080ACS006037. For Tokyo it’s 45-60 minutes based on sources I’ve seen online.

Comment by Mawr 5 hours ago

If speed is your only concern, why not hire a helicopter? Oh, because cost is also a concern so we can't just look at what's "faster"? Rats.

Comment by defrost 5 hours ago

Why hire a helicopter when one can just be bought outright?

https://www.watoday.com.au/national/western-australia/mining...

Permitting can be a bitch though: https://www.afr.com/property/residential/rinehart-s-loses-bi...

so there's a reason not to.

Comment by dangus 9 hours ago

And how much did that cost? You can get around Tokyo on the subway system for $5 for an entire day, and it's a profitable system that largely does not rely on taxpayer subsidy.

And how fast would it be if Tokyo and Taipei's trains weren't handling 80% and 40% of trips, respectively?

If you reduce Tokyo's 80% trip usage rate down to 5% like many American cities, that means for every other car on the road in Tokyo you'd now see 5 cars instead. How's that Uber ride looking now?

Comment by uolmir 9 hours ago

Everywhere? This is a crazy thing to claim. I was also recently in Japan and I never took a car anywhere. I'm sure there are particular routes that are badly served but come on.

Comment by rayiner 8 hours ago

Everywhere. I was staying right next to Tokyo Station, too. I went from a meeting in Roppongi Hills to a bookstore in Jimbocho. Apple Maps says 31 minutes by train and 24 minutes by Uber.

And I was traveling alone this time. Last year when I went with my wife and three kids the differential was even more extreme. I’m convinced public transit is a major reason for the birth rate collapse in east asia.

Comment by dangus 28 minutes ago

So you spend like 3-5x more than a train ticket to save 6 minutes?

Comment by Mawr 5 hours ago

> I’m convinced public transit is a major reason for the birth rate collapse in east asia.

Sure thing. Just so we're on the same page, mind backing that up with the obvious basic research? You know, just a simple breakdown of birth rates vs public transit usage across the world. Rudimentary stuff.

Comment by rayiner 1 hour ago

There are studies showing that dense housing is correlated with lower birth rates. https://ifstudies.org/blog/more-crowding-fewer-babies-the-ef.... It’s possible that public transit has a similar effect.

Comment by dangus 26 minutes ago

A lot of obviously positive things correlated with lower birth rates, like not having half your kids die before they reach adulthood, being able to treat infections with antibiotics, not needing a crazy amount of labor to keep subsistence farming going.

Comment by dzhiurgis 3 hours ago

I've been few times to Japan. Limiting yourself to rail gets boring very quick.

Also if you travel (aka kinda pressed for time), esp. with larger group (aka family) a lot of time cars are cheaper and faster and more practical option.

Comment by rcpt 8 hours ago

That's so unbelievably difficult it might as well be impossible. It's easier to teach cars to drive themselves than it is to build transit. Ridiculous I know.

Comment by masterphai 10 hours ago

[dead]

Comment by AniseAbyss 10 hours ago

NYC has a better subway system than most Euro cities. Probably because NYC has the advantage of being old before cars became affordable.

For a few decades it seemed planners all over the world really had this crazy idea that everyone would just drive around for everything. Just put 10 lane highways straight through your town!

Comment by rsynnott 1 hour ago

> NYC has a better subway system than most Euro cities. Probably because NYC has the advantage of being old before cars became affordable.

Nah, it's just because it's very, very big, nearly 9 million people. Very big European cities have comparable transport, but most European cities are smaller than this.

NYC's subway system is a little smaller than London's (though its commuter rail system is much smaller), and both cities have similar populations. And a little bigger than Paris's.

(Comparing metro system sizes can get messy, because there are things that are called metros but aren't really (eg SF muni metro, which shares space with cars) and things which aren't usually called metros but are metro-like (some S-bahn type things, in particular))

Comment by mmooss 8 hours ago

> NYC has the advantage of being old before cars became affordable.

Aren't Euro cities generally much older than those in the New World?

Comment by lillecarl 8 hours ago

NYC was never bombed to rubble and explicitly rebuilt after the American dream that everyone should drive everywhere.

Comment by bmicraft 2 hours ago

Most cities weren't bombed, and no all that were got rebuilt only for cars.

Comment by CGMthrowaway 9 hours ago

There was a study published about how much air pollution dropped in NYC during the COVID lockdown. PM2.5 was found to have dropped 36%. However with more robust analysis, this drop was discovered to not be statistically significant. I would caution anyone reading this who is tempted by confirmation bias.

Source: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7314691/

Comment by foruhar 8 hours ago

I couldn't find anything more recent that this but apparently it has made the streets safer for pedestrians too. "Traffic fatalities in the Congestion Pricing zone are down 40% from last year."

This is from July 2025: https://transalt.org/press-releases/new-data-from-transporta...

Comment by weird-eye-issue 10 hours ago

"average daily peak concentrations of PM2.5 dropped by 3.05 µg/m³. For context, background pollution levels in the region typically hover around 8-9 µg/m³, making this reduction particularly significant for public health."

I think that the numbers are already low enough that the drop is actually not very significant, at all. Is there any data that shows better health outcomes at 8 vs 13 for PM 2.5 levels? From my understanding adverse health outcomes come at exposure over the long term to higher levels like 30 minimum

For context I have several air purifiers in my home and I'm all for better air quality but the percentage difference makes it sound like a much bigger drop but when these numbers are already so small I just am skeptical it really makes a difference...

Comment by hn_throwaway_99 9 hours ago

This is not accurate. The WHO (which recommends lower levels than US authorities) recommends an annual PM 2.5 level below 5 µg/m³: https://www.c40knowledgehub.org/s/article/WHO-Air-Quality-Gu...

But more importantly, when it comes to PM 2.5 levels, there are really no safe levels, the risks are just dose dependent, so lower is always better. In a city the size of NYC, lowering air pollution by 20% means a significant decrease in effects.

To give a good analogy, driving a car on the US is still quite safe, most of us take that risk, but still, thousands die annually from car accidents. A one fifth reduction in deaths from car accidents, even from its current low level, would be a major deal. In NYC, around 1 in 20 deaths is linked to air pollution.

Comment by weird-eye-issue 9 hours ago

That's the strictest "policy" I've seen and I was asking about any specific health data not WHO guidelines

"In NYC, around 1 in 20 deaths is linked to air pollution."

A difference between 8 and 12 PM 2.5 levels won't change that

Comment by hn_throwaway_99 9 hours ago

> A difference between 8 and 12 PM 2.5 levels won't change that

Yes, it will, and that's the point I was making.

There are some things that have no harmful affects below certain concentrations, in that they are not toxic at low levels. PM 2.5 particles are not one of those - they are toxic at all levels. It's quite similar, in this context, to ionizing radiation. There is no safe level of ionizing radiation - every X-ray you get will slightly increase your chance of getting cancer. Of course, in the risk/benefit analysis, the risk is low and the benefits for medical X-rays are high.

It's the same with PM 2.5 pollution - every percentage reduction results in fewer health effects and related deaths. It's fine to argue that some level of pollution is worth it to get the benefits of industrialization, but it's simply false to say a reduction from 12 to 8 PM 2.5 levels won't reduce related deaths.

Comment by orwin 3 hours ago

So about ionising radiation: UNSCEAR recommendation is to act as if no threshold effect exist at low doses for indeterministic effects (even though effectively we act as if a 100mSv threshold exists), but the medical literature isn't as clear cut. Precautionary principle should be respected in any cases.

The most recent epidemiology studies (studies on _very_ large cohort) do seems to favour a linear model without threshold (or, if the threshold exists, it is so low ambient radiation is enough to go past it), so I think you're right, but I wanted to nitpick because you wrote it like it was settled science and it's not yet, so I had to look up the PM 2.5 stuff too.

Comment by Forgeties79 10 hours ago

> I think that the numbers are already low enough

Is that low? I don’t know what is considered high or low here.

Comment by hammock 10 hours ago

What did it do to GDP? (Sincerely asking)

Comment by tim333 26 minutes ago

Anecdotally, living in London where we have congestion charge, I doubt it changed GDP much. GDP is basically total spend and if people don't spend on one thing they'll probably spend on another.

In terms of real economic output I'd guess it helped a bit as it made things quicker for workmen who needed to get around while reducing the more leisure driving. But we've had lots of much larger changes like covid and brexit that would probably drown things out in the numbers.

Comment by dataviz1000 10 hours ago

I wonder myself this too. Would people have to say "If NYC was a country would its GDP be 11th largest in the world compared to being the 12th largest GDP in the world like in 2024?"

What we can quantify is the economic impact the San Antonio River Walk has or the impact the Atlanta Beltline has which is billions of dollars in added economic activity. Based on those examples, likely it will increase the NYC GDP by millions if not hundreds of millions. We can prove with dollar amounts getting rid of cars in these cases increase the GDP by billions but in NYC they are only decreasing them so probably won't have the positive impact completely getting rid of cars does.

Comment by orwin 3 hours ago

Since GDP growth in the US is dependant on medical care and on new car sales, it probably decreased it on the short term.

A sudden decrease in car crash would probably decrease the GDP the year it happen, then the fact that less people are dying or disabled would probably increase it in the long run. It will probably have the same effect here.

Comment by tonymet 10 hours ago

and downtown activity. i know NYC rebounded better than most us cities, but nearly all of them still ended lower than pre-Covid

Comment by petesergeant 10 hours ago

No city has reliable data on this for a fleet of reasons. The high quality data tends to show little effect on retail foot traffic, slightly more reliable commute times, and then the wealth of health benefits. Linking this to output seems to be beyond economists for cities that have done something similar (London, Stockholm, Milan, etc)

Comment by hammock 10 hours ago

Is this an AI assisted answer?

Comment by jazzyjackson 8 hours ago

Doubting the humanity of other community members ought to be against guidelines

Comment by petesergeant 9 hours ago

Not every comment that disagrees with you was written by a computer

Comment by lomase 4 hours ago

How much respiratory disseases and deaths asociated with polution do to GDP? (Sincerely asking)

Comment by tim333 20 minutes ago

I'm not sure GDP is a good guide there since whether you drop dead at 60 or 80 doesn't effect the GDP much. Though obviously there's a value to the individual there.

Comment by tootie 10 hours ago

It's frustrating how poorly most people understand economics and the distinction between price and cost. Everybody in the world is being asked to blithely accept the massive unpaid costs of motor vehicle usage. This is a tiny step towards recouping some of this costs. Roadways, parking, collisions, pollution, noise have all be costs born by all of us. And in NYC that's a load of non-drivers. We should be adopting all sorts of policies to pass those costs on to drivers.

People panic over the thought of free buses when we have millions of miles of free roads.

Comment by apparent 9 hours ago

> we have millions of miles of free roads.

Are you familiar with the gas tax? Vehicle registration fees?

Comment by adgjlsfhk1 9 hours ago

They don't begin to cover road construction costs (not even mentioning fair market rent for the amount of area they take up)

Comment by rcpt 8 hours ago

Roads are very expensive. Those taxes are never high enough to pay for the roads.

Comment by apparent 8 hours ago

I did not say they cover 100% of the roads. I was responding to a comment claiming that roads are free.

Comment by dzhiurgis 3 hours ago

Wait until you learn how expensive railway is

Comment by orwin 3 hours ago

To maintain? Way less, even high speed track are less expensive than highways (especially per traveller)

Comment by postflopclarity 9 hours ago

are you familiar with how negligible a fraction of the costs that car-dependent infrastructure imposes on society those two taxes represent

Comment by lmm 7 hours ago

Neither of which is required to use the road in all cases.

Comment by apparent 7 hours ago

True, you can ride a bicycle/scooter/etc. or just walk on roads without paying. All motor vehicles pay registration fees if I'm not mistaken. And in at least some states, they hit EVs with higher fees, to make up for lost gas tax revenue. I think some states are even moving towards per-mile fees for EVs, for this purpose. But most road damage is done by big rigs and other heavy vehicles, which are basically all ICE.

Comment by bdangubic 9 hours ago

there isn’t a yard of a road that is free

Comment by bmicraft 2 hours ago

If you're only paying for a couple of those yards, does it matter if the others are literally free or if you distribute that payment to all of them while paying a couple percent each?

It's a distinction without a difference.

Comment by johnnienaked 8 hours ago

WFH anyone?

Comment by listenallyall 10 hours ago

The article says "average daily peak concentrations of PM2.5 dropped by 3.05 µg/m³. For context, background pollution levels in the region typically hover around 8-9 µg/m³, making this reduction particularly significant for public health."

But 8-9 was already considered a safe level: "Most studies indicate PM2.5 at or below 12 μg/m3 is considered healthy with little to no risk from exposure. If the level goes to or above 35 μg/m3 during a 24-hour period, the air is considered unhealthy." (https://www.indoorairhygiene.org/pm2-5-explained/)

So, good job on reducing pollution, but you already had very safe levels (well, the article doesn't tell us what the old "peak concentrations" were). Since the levels were "little to no risk", the claim of "significant health benefits" (i.e. reduction in disease or death) should be challenged.

Comment by orwin 3 hours ago

Even if the risk was linear/exponential with threshold at 12 for everyone, including infants and elderly, the 30% average reduction is likely mostly done by smoothing the peaks (since you probably have a base level of PM2.5). So you would have more than a 30% reduction in days in which you are exposed to above-threshold PM2.5

Btw, it's a very legitimate remark, please don't down vote the parent. (Sorry about meta commentary I try to avoid)

Comment by energy123 10 hours ago

The hidden risk of round numbers and sharp thresholds in clinical practice:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41746-025-02079-y

Smaller doses of a poison are better than less small doses. Using coarse linguistic categories to argue otherwise is an abuse of the purpose of categories as a linguistic tool.

Comment by listenallyall 2 hours ago

Kinda irrelevant, since 12 isn't really a round number (like 10 would be).

Further, the article is essentially saying that there is far less difference between 11 and 13 than might be assumed by a categorical model that says one level is inside the "safe" level and one is outside of it. But that isn't the issue here - 9 was already quite safe, the risk is very close to zero, so going lower doesn't reduce risk much - because the existing risk can't get much lower.

> Smaller doses of a poison are better than less small doses

Since 1996, the EPA has mandated that unleaded gasoline must be below 0.05 grams of lead per gallon. While the elimination of lead up to this point was a massive benefit to public health, is there any significant health benefit to reducing this further below 0.05? If so, who's claiming that and why haven't the standards changed in 30 years?

Comment by khannn 10 hours ago

Regressive tax keeps the poor out of area with their older vehicles that pollute more than people who can afford to pay a $9 fee per day. News at 11.

Comment by anyonecancode 10 hours ago

Who are these mythical people who can pay $500/month to park below 60th street but will be bankrupted by the congestion toll?

Comment by khannn 9 hours ago

$1.50 toll on rideshare drivers/users and/or people getting dropped off at work.

Comment by JumpCrisscross 9 hours ago

> $1.50 toll on rideshare drivers/users and/or people getting dropped off at work

Anyone Ubering to and from work is not among New York's poor.

Comment by nickv 10 hours ago

You act like driving in NYC is free even without the congestion price. You realize how much it costs to park in Manhattan right? $50/day? And if you are coming from the Jersey side, you realize how much the toll is for the tunnel? $17-27.

So yea, if you're poor, you're not driving your beater to SoHo and parking in a lot for $50 daily.

Comment by seanmcdirmid 10 hours ago

Most people driving into the city aren’t parking in Manhattan. When I was living in west Chester county, I would drive in into midtown and always find street parking near Columbia, free. I was surprised how easy it was to drive into the city because I heard lots of stories that it wasn’t. No tolls either.

Comment by nickv 10 hours ago

I'm confused, if you lived in Westchester and were parking by Columbia why would you be in Midtown? Mind you, it's still like $14-$22 to cross the GWB and if you parked by Columbia after driving down from Westchester you don't have a congestion charge to worry about.

Comment by seanmcdirmid 9 hours ago

I’m not sure, I’m a bit hazy about the names, it was a dormitory, I never actually saw the school. The dormitory wasn’t on campus. We were interning at IBM Hawthorne at the time and my friend was living at a Columbia dorm and commuting. Sometimes when I took the train the nearest train line stop (to get back to Hawthorne) was Harlem.

Comment by nickv 9 hours ago

I get it, remember the congestion zone isn't the entire borough of Manhattan. It's just below 59th street. And, if you were driving down there, good luck finding parking in the literal densest place on planet earth during work hours (187k people/sqm). Driving in the congestion relief zone is not a right.

(Also, this thread's root was "regressive tax affecting the poor" which I assert again, is just a silly mischaracterization)

Comment by afavour 9 hours ago

Columbia is over 40 blocks north of the congestion zone. You’d be able to do the exact same thing today.

Comment by petesergeant 10 hours ago

The American mind truly struggles with the concept of people not owning cars

Comment by khannn 9 hours ago

The European mind quivers at the thought of a state with a bigger area than most EU countries

I like walking around new cities, but a lot of people are car life types

Comment by nickv 9 hours ago

But we're talking about New York City here, not Kansas. Specifically the congestion zone which during the work day is the most congested place in the world (187,500 people/sqm).

Comment by JumpCrisscross 9 hours ago

> I like walking around new cities, but a lot of people are car life types

Congestion pricing makes driving in New York better. Broadly speaking, the tendency for someone to have a problem with the scheme is proportional to their distance from and inversely related to the amount of time they've ever spent in New York.

Comment by rsynnott 1 hour ago

... I mean, that seems entirely irrelevant when discussing New York City, which is, geographically, rather small (though very dense).

Comment by lmm 7 hours ago

What does the size of the state have to do with anything?

Comment by CGMthrowaway 9 hours ago

We did perfect their mass production, and it propelled us to the world's largest economy. The only country with better GDP growth over the last 100 years is Japan, and that's in large part because they perfected the manufacture of cars themselves.

Comment by Mawr 5 hours ago

Right, it's not the geopolitical situation, but cars. Natural resources + every potentially powerful hostile country is across entire oceans = success.

Comment by rsynnott 1 hour ago

> We did perfect their mass production

I mean... Toyota would beg to differ (and realistically US car manufacturers today are closer to the Toyota model of car mass production than the traditional US one).